FAO Fisheries Circular No. 972/4 Part 1

FAO Fisheries Circular No. 972/4, Part 1

FIEP/C972/4, Part 1 (En)

FUTURE PROSPECTS FOR FISH AND FISHERY PRODUCTS
4. Fish consumption in the European Union in 2015 and 2030
Part 1. European overview

by
Pierre Failler

With the collaboration of

Gilles Van de Walle
Nicolas Lecrivain
Amber Himbes
Roger Lewins

Centre for the Economics and Management of Aquatic Resources
Portsmouth, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland


FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS
Rome, 2007

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Table of Contents


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ISSN 0429-9329

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Failler, P.
Future prospects for fish and fishery products.
4. Fish consumption in the European Union in 2015 and 2030. Part 1. European overview.
FAO Fisheries Circular. No. 972/4, Part 1. Rome, FAO. 2007. 204p

ABSTRACT

This report presents the major results for fish consumption (consumption per capita and apparent consumption), production (captures, aquaculture and commodities) and fish trade (exports and imports) estimations and projections for 28 countries in Europe from 1989 to 2030.

The projections show an increase in the demand for seafood products to 2030. The average per capita consumption by the 28 countries will move from 22 kg/caput/year in 1998 to 24 kg/caput/year in 2030. The two additional kilograms per capita signify that the net supply will have to increase by 1.6 million tonnes (Mt) (respectively 1.1 Mt for the 2 extra kilos per person and 550 000 tonnes due to the 22 million population growth over the period). Aquaculture growth will not be able to meet the increasing demand; therefore, imports are projected to rise to 11 Mt (+15 percent from 1998), increasing the dependency of Europe on the rest of the world for its fish and fish products.

©FAO 2007


Contents

LIST OF TABLES   (Download pdf 182 kb)

LIST OF FIGURES

FOREWORD

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Introduction
Fish consumption per capita 1989–2030
Net supply of fish for human consumption 1989–2030
Production: captures, aquaculture and commodities 1989-2030
Foreign trade
Intra-european trade
Discussion and conclusion
Executive summary appendix
1.     INTRODUCTION  (Download pdf 280 kb)
1.1  Objectives
1.2  Scope of the study
1.3  Novelty of the method
1.4  Contents of the report
2.     METHODOLOGY  (Download pdf 52 kb)
2.1  Traditional methods
2.2  Difficulties with these traditional methods
2.3  Presentation of the method of the study
3.     MAIN RESULTS FOR 2015 AND 2030  (Download pdf 217 kb)
3.1  Consumption 2005–2030
3.2  Net supply 2005–2030
3.3  Production 2005–2030
3.4  Foreign trade 2005-2030
3.     DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION  (Download pdf 17 kb)

REFERENCES  (Download pdf 40 kb)

ANNEX 1: HISTORY OF THE EUROPEAN UNION  (Download full Annex section pdf 780 kb)

ANNEX 1: HISTORY OF THE EUROPEAN UNION

ANNEX 2: DEFINITION OF COMPONENTS AND FLOWS TO CONSIDER

ANNEX 3: SOCIO-ECONOMIC OVERVIEW OF EUROPEAN COUNTRIES

ANNEX 4: POPULATION PROJECTIONS 1998-2030

ANNEX 5: PRESENTATION OF PRODUCTION, TRADE AND CONSUMPTION,
1989-1998


ANNEX 6: EUROPEAN MARKET

ANNEX 7: CONSOLIDATED RESULTS UP TO 2030

ANNEX 8: COMMODITIES FLOWS AND PRODUCTION IN NET WEIGHT
1989-1998 AND 2005-2030


ANNEX 9: EUROPEAN IMPORTS CONTROLS

ANNEX 10: NON-FOOD USE PRODUCTION, EXPORTS, IMPORTS

ANNEX 11: NET SUPPLY BY FAO GROUPS OF SPECIES AND SPECIES
1989-1998


ANNEX 12: ACP COUNTRIES

ANNEX 13: PRODUCTION TABLES

ANNEX 14: TRADE TABLES

ANNEX 15: NET SUPPLY 2005-2030
BACK COVER  (Download pdf 31 kb)

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