FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2003 p.37
The 2003 main paddy crop is forecast at 2.8 million tonnes, 5 percent above last year’s level. The coarse grain crop, mainly produced in southern parts, is estimated to be reduced by 14 percent compared to last year due to drought. Cereal imports and food aid needs are forecast in the new marketing year at 353 000 tonnes.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2003/04 MARKETING YEAR (April/March) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | 10 | 2 671 | 181 | 2 862 |
| Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | 10 | 2 530 | 173 | 2 713 |
| Previous year imports | 101 | 230 | 16 | 347 |
| Previous five years average imports | 94 | 194 | 14 | 302 |
| 2003/04 Domestic Availability | 10 | 1 904 | 155 | 2 069 |
| 2003 Production (incl. paddy rice) | 10 | 2 800 | 155 | 2 965 |
| 2003 Production (incl. milled rice) | 10 | 1 904 | 155 | 2 069 |
| Possible stock drawdown | - | - | - | - |
| 2003/04 Utilization | 115 | 2 124 | 183 | 2 422 |
| Food use | 115 | 2 004 | 162 | 2 281 |
| Non-food use | - | 120 | 21 | 141 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | - | - | - |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
| 2003/04 Import Requirement | 105 | 220 | 28 | 353 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 80 | 215 | 10 | 305 |
| of which: received or contracted | - | 40 | 5 | 45 |
| Food aid needs | 25 | 5 | 18 | 48 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | 25 | 5 | 9 | 39 |
| of which: delivered | 10 | 5 | 7 | 22 |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | 1 | 1 |
| of which: for local use | - | - | 1 | 1 |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 7 | 116 | 9 | 132 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2003 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | 100 | 111 | 90 | 109 |
| 2003/04 Import requirement compared to average | 112 | 113 | 200 | 117 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake | 53 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops | rice; roots; tubers; maize; fruit | |||
| Lean season | February-March | |||
| Population (000s) | 17 292 | |||
| GNP per capita in 2002 (US$) | 240 | |||