FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2003 p.40
A recent FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission provisionally estimated cereal production in 2003 at some 195 000 tonnes (including re-exports), some 68 percent above last year’s poor harvest and 21 percent above average. Following this good harvest, cereal imports requirements are forecast to decline to some 305 000 tonnes, mainly wheat.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2003/04 MARKETING YEAR (November/October) | ||||
| Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
| [ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
| Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 85 | 31 | 116 |
| Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 82 | 79 | 161 |
| Previous year imports | 413 | 29 | 2 | 445 |
| Previous five years average imports | 279 | 40 | 4 | 323 |
| 2003/04 Domestic Availability | - | 52 | 116 | 168 |
| 2003 Production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 79 | 116 | 195 |
| 2003 Production (incl. milled rice) | - | 52 | 116 | 168 |
| Possible stock drawdown | - | - | - | - |
| 2003/04 Utilization | 279 | 76 | 118 | 473 |
| Food use | 234 | 62 | 94 | 390 |
| Non-food use | 30 | 12 | 18 | 60 |
| Exports or re-exports | 15 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | 5 | 5 |
| 2003/04 Import Requirement | 279 | 24 | 2 | 305 1/ |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 258 | 15 | 1 | 274 |
| of which: received or contracted | 65 | - | 4 | 69 |
| Food aid needs | 21 | 9 | 1 | 31 |
| Current Aid Position | ||||
| Food aid pledges | 12 | - | 1 | 13 |
| of which: delivered | - | - | - | - |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
| of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 84 | 23 | 34 | 141 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2003 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | - | 96 | 147 | 121 |
| 2003/04 Import requirement compared to average | 100 | 60 | 50 | 94 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake | 54 | |||
| Additional Information | ||||
| Major foodcrops | wheat; rice; millet; sorghum | |||
| Lean season | July-September | |||
| Population (000s) | 2 776 | |||
| GNP per capita in 2002 (US$) | 410 | |||
1/ Includes 15 000 tonnes of wheat for re-exports.