FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2003 p.42
An FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission in May estimated the 2003 cereal production at over 1.8 million tonnes, some 2.7 percent above last year’s level. Import requirements are estimated at 744 000 tonnes, mainly rice and wheat, but also maize meal for southern areas, because moving maize from the surplus areas of North to the South remains uncompetitive due to high internal transport costs. Commercial imports are estimated at 539 000 tonnes and food aid at 205 000 tonnes, of which 121 000 tonnes are emergency food aid for large numbers affected by drought in southern provinces. Local purchases of maize will complement the emergency food aid requirements.
CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2003/04 MARKETING YEAR (April/March) | ||||
Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
[ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 164 | 1 600 | 1 764 |
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | 2 | 172 | 1 513 | 1 687 |
Previous year imports | 241 | 252 | 257 | 750 |
Previous five years average imports | 207 | 164 | 160 | 531 |
2003/04 Domestic Availability | - | 133 | 1 611 | 1 744 |
2003 Production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 200 | 1 611 | 1 811 |
2003 Production (incl. milled rice) | - | 133 | 1 611 | 1 744 |
Possible stock drawdown | - | - | - | - |
2003/04 Utilization | 289 | 393 | 1 806 | 2 488 |
Food use | 274 | 359 | 1 383 | 2 016 |
Non-food use | 5 | 34 | 303 | 342 |
Exports or re-exports | - | - | 90 | 90 |
Possible stock build up | 10 | - | 30 | 40 |
2003/04 Import Requirement | 289 | 260 | 195 | 744 |
Anticipated commercial imports | 205 | 248 | 86 | 539 |
of which: received or contracted | 14 | 7 | 92 | 113 |
Food aid needs | 84 | 12 | 109 | 205 |
Current Aid Position | ||||
Food aid pledges | 90 | 16 | 49 | 155 |
of which: delivered | 17 | 16 | 22 | 55 |
Donor-financed purchases | - | - | 8 | 8 |
of which: for local use | - | - | 8 | 8 |
for export | - | - | - | - |
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 15 | 19 | 74 | 108 |
Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
2003 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | - | 116 | 106 | 107 |
2003/04 Import requirement compared to average | 140 | 159 | 122 | 140 |
Cereal share of total calorie intake | 43 | |||
Additional Information | ||||
Major foodcrops | roots; tubers; maize | |||
Lean season | February-April | |||
Population (000s) | 18 634 | |||
GNP per capita in 2002 (US$) | 210 |