FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - June 2004 p.38
The FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission estimated the 2004 cereal production at 1.84 million tonnes, 14 percent below last year’s near-normal level. Imports of maize will be necessary in the 2003/04 marketing year because of the satisfactory production and unprecedented levels of maize carry-over stocks, however, some amounts of cross-border maize imports are expected. Imports of cereals are estimated at 408 000 tonnes, of which maize accounts for 358 000 tonnes for 2004/05 marketing year. Food aid of 50 000 tonnes is recommended.
CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2004/05 MARKETING YEAR (April/March) | ||||
Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
[ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | 1 | 88 | 2 052 | 2 141 |
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | 2 | 88 | 2 102 | 2 192 |
Previous year imports | 59 | 2 | 43 | 104 |
Previous five years average imports | 45 | 2 | 161 | 208 |
2004/05 Domestic Availability | 2 | 43 | 1 768 | 1 812 |
2004 Production (incl. paddy rice) | 2 | 66 | 1 768 | 1 836 |
2004 Production (incl. milled rice) | 2 | 43 | 1 768 | 1 812 |
Possible stock drawdown | - | - | - | - |
2004/05 Utilization | 60 | 43 | 2 118 | 2 221 |
Food use | 60 | 40 | 1 726 | 1 825 |
Non-food use | - | 3 | 339 | 342 |
Exports or re-exports | - | - | - | - |
Possible stock build up | - | - | 53 | 53 |
2004/05 Import Requirement | 58 | - | 350 | 408 |
Anticipated commercial imports | 58 | - | 300 | 358 |
of which: received or contracted | - | - | 5 | 5 |
Food aid needs | - | - | 50 | 50 |
Current Aid Position | ||||
Food aid pledges | - | - | 9 | 9 |
of which: delivered | - | - | - | - |
Donor-financed purchases | - | - | 5 | 5 |
of which: for local use | - | - | 5 | 5 |
for export | - | - | - | - |
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 5 | 3 | 145 | 153 |
Indexes | [ | Percentage | ] | |
2004 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | 85 | 75 | 84 | 84 |
2004/05 Import requirement compared to average | 130 | - | 217 | 196 |
Cereal share of total calorie intake | 58 | |||
Additional Information | ||||
Major foodcrops | maize; pulses; roots; tubers; rice | |||
Lean season | February-March | |||
Population (000s) | 11 938 | |||
GNI per capita in 2002 (US$) | 160 |