FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3 - December 2004 p.15
A joint FAO/CILSS Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission that visited the country recently provisionally estimated this year�s cereal output at 3.06 million tonnes, some 14 percent lower than the record crop harvested in 2003 but still above the average for the previous five years. Output of millet, which was seriously damaged by drought and desert locusts, declined by 26 percent to about 881 000 tonnes. Imports of cereal in the marketing year ending in October 2005 are forecast to increase sharply to some 245 000 tonnes. Commercial imports and pledged food aid will largely cover the rice and wheat requirements. However, the shortfall in millet could be more difficult to offset given the low availability and trade of this cereal in the sub-region. This could result in millet being replaced by sorghum and rice. The shortfall could also be partly covered by unregistered imports from neighbouring coastal countries.
CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2004/05 MARKETING YEAR (November/October) | ||||
� | Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals |
� | [ | thousand tonnes | ] | |
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 96 | 3 469 | 3 564 |
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 95 | 2 857 | 2 952 |
Previous year imports | 31 | 118 | 6 | 156 |
Previous five years average imports | 54 | 180 | 15 | 249 |
2004/05 Domestic Availability | - | 63 | 2 967 | 3 030 |
2004 Production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 95 | 2 967 | 3 063 |
2004 Production (incl. milled rice) | - | 63 | 2 967 | 3 030 |
Possible stock drawdown | - | - | - | - |
2004/05 Utilization | 47 | 250 | 2 977 | 3 275 |
Food use | 46 | 240 | 2 442 | 2 729 |
Non-food use | 1 | 10 | 475 | 486 |
Exports or re-exports | - | - | 60 | 60 |
Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
2004/05 Import Requirement | 47 | 188 | 10 | 245 |
Anticipated commercial imports | 37 | 180 | - | 217 |
of which: received or contracted | - | - | - | - |
Food aid needs | 10 | 8 | 10 | 28 |
Current Aid Position | � | � | � | � |
Food aid pledges | 6 | 16 | 2 | 24 |
of which: delivered | - | - | - | - |
Donor-financed purchases | - | - | - | - |
of which: for local use | - | - | - | - |
for export | - | - | - | - |
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 4 | 19 | 194 | 216 |
Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
2004 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | - | 100 | 104 | 104 |
2004/05 Import requirement compared to average | 88 | 104 | 67 | 98 |
Cereal share of total calorie intake | � | � | � | 75 |
Additional Information | � | � | � | � |
Major foodcrops | millet; sorghum; pulses; maize | |||
Lean season | July-September | |||
Population (000s) | 12 614 | � | � | � |
GNI per capita in 2003 (US$) | 300 | � | � | � |