FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1 - April 2005 p.47
The 2004 cereal production is estimated at some 1.185 million tonnes, including about 52�000 tonnes of off-season crop. The important millet crop is expected to decrease by 40 percent to some 379�166 tonnes, while sorghum production is 30 percent down from the previous year. Although commercial imports and pledged food aid will largely cover the rice and wheat requirements, the shortfall in millet could be more difficult to offset given the low availability and trade of this cereal in the subregion. This could result in millet being replaced by maize and rice.
| CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2004/05 MARKETING YEAR (November/October) | ||||
| � | Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals |
| � | [ | thousand tonnes | ] | |
| Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 232 | 1 220 | 1 452 |
| Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 240 | 837 | 1 077 |
| Previous year imports | 252 | 635 | 45 | 932 |
| Previous five years average imports | 267 | 634 | 57 | 958 |
| 2004/05 Domestic Availability | - | 218 | 1 005 | 1 223 |
| 2004 Production (incl. paddy rice) | - | 240 | 945 | 1 185 |
| 2004 Production (incl. milled rice) | - | 168 | 945 | 1 113 |
| Possible stock drawdown | - | 50 | 60 | 110 |
| 2004/05 Utilization | 285 | 850 | 1 040 | 2 175 |
| Food use | 280 | 826 | 695 | 1 801 |
| Non-food use | 5 | 24 | 145 | 174 |
| Exports or re-exports | - | - | 200 | 200 |
| Possible stock build up | - | - | - | - |
| 2004/05 Import Requirement | 285 | 632 | 35 | 952 |
| Anticipated commercial imports | 285 | 625 | 35 | 945 |
| of which: received or contracted | 25 | 240 | 19 | 284 |
| Food aid needs | - | 7 | - | 7 |
| Current Aid Position | � | � | � | � |
| Food aid pledges | 2 | 12 | - | 14 |
| of which: delivered | 1 | - | - | 1 |
| Donor-financed purchases | - | - | 1 | 1 |
| of which: for local use | - | - | 1 | 1 |
| for export | - | - | - | - |
| Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 26 | 76 | 64 | 166 |
| Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
| 2004 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | - | 100 | 113 | 110 |
| 2004/05 Import requirement compared to average | 107 | 100 | 61 | 99 |
| Cereal share of total calorie intake | � | � | � | 61 |
| Additional Information | � | � | � | � |
| Major foodcrops | millet; sorghum; rice; maize; wheat | |||
| Lean season | August-September | |||
| Population (000s) | 10 834 | � | � | � |
| GNI per capita in 2003 (US$) | 550 | � | � | � |