
	food outlook	No.1, April 2005
	global information and early warning system on food and agriculture(GIEWS)

Highlights

Roundup

Basic food commodities

Other relevant agricultural commodities

Ocean freight rates

Fertilizers

Special features

Statistical appendix

	TABLE A1. World cereal production (million tonnes)
	TABLE A1 (cont.)
	TABLE A2. World imports of cereals (million tonnes)
	TABLE A2 (cont.)
	TABLE A3. World export of cereals (million tonnes)
	TABLE A3. (cont.)
	TABLE A4. Cereal supply and utilization in main exporting countries (million tonnes)
	TABLE A5. World cereal stocks1 (million tonnes)
	TABLE A6. Selected export prices of cereals and soybeans (US$/tonne)
	TABLE A7. Wheat and maize price indices
	TABLE A8. Price indices and selected export prices for rice
	TABLE A9. Price indices and selected international prices for oilcrop products
	TABLE A10. Wheat and maize future prices (US$/tonne)
	TABLE A11. Ocean freight rates for wheat (US$/tonne)
	TABLE A12. Selected international commodity prices
	TABLE A13. Selected international meat prices
	TABLE A14. Fertilizer spot price ranges (bulk f.o.b., US$/tonne)

Statistical note

Statistical appendix

TABLE A1. World cereal production (million tonnes)

	Wheat			Coarse Grains
	2002	2003 estimate	2004 forecast	2002	2003 estimate	2004 forecast
ASIA	251.9	245.3	254.1	212.5	217.1	230.5
Bangladesh	1.5	1.3	1.5	0.1	0.1	0.1
China¹	90.3	86.5	91.3	133.8	126.5	141.2
India	71.8	65.1	72.1	25.7	34.7	33.5
Indonesia	-	-	-	9.7	10.9	11.4
Iran (Islamic Rep. of)	12.5	13.5	14.0	4.2	4.8	4.2
Japan	0.8	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.2	0.3
Kazakhstan	12.7	12.0	10.4	3.0	3.3	2.4
Dem. People’s Rep. of Korea	0.1	0.2	0.2	1.8	1.9	1.9
Korea, Republic of	-	-	-	0.4	0.4	0.4
Myanmar	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.8	0.9	0.8
Pakistan	18.2	19.3	19.4	2.2	2.1	2.2
Philippines	-	-	-	4.3	4.6	5.5
Saudi Arabia	2.0	2.0	1.6	0.3	0.2	0.2
Thailand	-	-	-	4.5	4.5	4.5
Turkey	19.5	19.5	20.5	10.9	10.7	11.3
Viet Nam	-	-	-	2.5	2.9	3.5
AFRICA	16.2	21.4	23.1	79.9	90.9	87.7
North Africa	11.7	17.0	17.5	9.9	12.7	12.4
Egypt	6.6	6.8	7.2	7.4	7.6	7.8
Morocco	3.4	5.1	5.5	1.9	2.8	2.9
Sub-Saharan Africa	4.6	4.4	5.6	70.1	78.2	75.3
Western Africa	0.1	0.1	0.1	33.2	36.1	34.4
Nigeria	0.1	0.1	0.1	18.6	19.2	19.2
Central Africa	-	-	-	2.8	2.8	2.9
Eastern Africa	1.9	2.4	3.6	18.2	22.3	20.8
Ethiopia	1.1	1.7	2.8	5.6	7.9	8.9
Sudan	0.3	0.4	0.5	3.5	5.6	2.9
Southern Africa	2.6	1.8	1.9	15.9	17.0	17.2
Madagascar	-	-	-	0.2	0.2	0.2
South Africa	2.3	1.5	1.7	10.5	10.2	10.3
Zimbabwe	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.9
CENTRAL AMERICA	3.2	2.7	2.4	28.9	32.4	34.1
Mexico	3.2	2.7	2.4	25.3	28.6	30.5
SOUTH AMERICA	18.1	23.6	25.3	65.0	80.2	73.3
Argentina	12.3	14.6	16.0	18.7	19.2	17.6
Brazil	2.9	6.0	5.8	37.0	50.5	44.9
Colombia	-	-	-	1.4	1.6	1.7
NORTH AMERICA	59.9	87.4	84.6	264.0	302.0	346.6
Canada	16.2	23.6	25.9	20.1	26.6	26.7
United States of America	43.7	63.8	58.7	243.9	275.4	319.9
EUROPE	209.6	154.3	216.7	220.3	196.8	242.6
Bulgaria	3.6	2.0	4.0	2.5	1.9	3.2
European Union²	104.0	91.3	135.1	107.1	96.0	150.9
Hungary³	3.9	2.9	6.0	7.8	5.8	10.7
Poland³	9.3	7.9	9.9	17.6	15.6	19.6
Romania	4.4	2.5	7.7	9.9	9.6	16.8
Russian Federation	50.6	34.0	45.3	33.7	30.2	29.6
Ukraine	19.8	4.3	17.5	16.4	15.5	23.2
OCEANIA	10.4	26.0	20.7	8.3	13.4	11.0
Australia	10.1	25.7	20.4	7.7	12.8	10.5
WORLD	569.5	560.7	626.8	878.8	932.8	1 025.8
Developing countries	262.4	267.1	280.2	370.6	404.9	410.7
Developed countries	307.1	293.6	346.6	508.2	527.9	615.1

¹ Including Taiwan Province.

² Up to 2003 15 member countries, from 2004 25 member countries.

³ From 2004 included in EU 25.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A1 (cont.)

	Rice (paddy)			Total Cereals
	2002	2003 estimate	2004 forecast	2002	2003 estimate	2004 forecast
ASIA	517.7	530.2	547.1	982.0	992.6	1 031.7
Bangladesh	37.8	38.8	38.3	39.4	40.1	39.8
China¹	176.3	162.3	181.5	400.4	375.3	414.1
India	109.0	130.5	127.5	206.5	230.2	233.0
Indonesia	51.5	52.1	54.1	61.1	63.0	65.4
Iran (Islamic Rep. of)	2.9	3.3	3.4	19.5	21.6	21.6
Japan	11.1	9.7	10.9	12.2	10.8	12.0
Kazakhstan	0.2	0.2	0.2	15.9	15.6	13.1
Dem. People’s Rep. of Korea	2.2	2.2	2.4	4.1	4.3	4.4
Korea, Republic of	6.7	6.0	6.8	7.0	6.4	7.2
Myanmar	22.8	22.9	22.0	23.7	24.0	22.9
Pakistan	6.7	7.3	7.5	27.2	28.6	29.0
Philippines	13.0	14.2	14.4	17.3	18.8	19.9
Saudi Arabia	-	-	-	2.3	2.2	1.8
Thailand	26.1	27.2	25.2	30.5	31.7	29.7
Turkey	0.4	0.4	0.4	30.7	30.6	32.2
Viet Nam	34.4	34.5	35.7	36.9	37.4	39.2
AFRICA	17.5	18.0	18.4	113.7	130.3	129.2
North Africa	6.0	6.2	6.4	27.6	35.9	36.4
Egypt	6.0	6.2	6.4	20.0	20.7	21.3
Morocco	-	-	-	5.3	8.0	8.5
Sub-Saharan Africa	11.4	11.8	12.0	86.1	94.3	92.8
Western Africa	7.2	7.4	7.3	40.5	43.6	41.8
Nigeria	3.4	3.4	3.5	22.0	22.6	22.7
Central Africa	0.4	0.4	0.4	3.2	3.2	3.3
Eastern Africa	0.9	0.9	1.0	21.0	25.6	25.3
Ethiopia	-	-	-	6.8	9.6	11.7
Sudan	-	-	-	3.8	5.9	3.4
Southern Africa	2.9	3.1	3.3	21.4	22.0	22.4
Madagascar	2.6	2.8	3.0	2.8	3.0	3.2
South Africa	-	-	-	12.8	11.7	12.0
Zimbabwe	-	-	-	0.7	1.0	1.0
CENTRAL AMERICA	2.7	2.6	2.5	34.8	37.7	39.0
Mexico	0.2	0.3	0.3	28.8	31.6	33.2
SOUTH AMERICA	19.8	19.9	22.7	103.0	123.6	121.3
Argentina	0.7	0.7	1.1	31.8	34.4	34.7
Brazil	10.6	10.4	12.8	50.5	66.9	63.5
Colombia	2.3	2.5	2.7	3.8	4.2	4.4
NORTH AMERICA	9.6	9.1	10.5	333.4	398.4	441.7
Canada	-	-	-	36.3	50.1	52.6
United States of America	9.6	9.1	10.5	297.2	348.3	389.1
EUROPE	3.2	3.2	3.4	433.2	354.4	462.7
Bulgaria	-	-	-	6.2	3.9	7.2
European Union²	2.6	2.7	2.8	213.7	190.0	288.9
Hungary³	-	-	-	11.7	8.8	16.7
Poland³	-	-	-	26.9	23.4	29.5
Romania	-	-	-	14.3	12.1	24.5
Russian Federation	0.5	0.4	0.5	84.8	64.6	75.4
Ukraine	0.1	0.1	0.1	36.3	19.9	40.8
OCEANIA	1.3	0.4	0.6	20.0	39.8	32.2
Australia	1.3	0.4	0.5	19.1	38.9	31.4
WORLD	571.7	583.3	605.2	2 020.0	2 076.8	2 257.7
Developing countries	546.0	560.1	579.1	1 178.9	1 232.1	1 270.0
Developed countries	25.8	23.2	26.1	841.1	844.7	987.7

¹ Including Taiwan Province.

² Up to 2003 15 member countries, from 2004 25 member countries

³ From 2004 included in EU 25.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A2. World imports of cereals (million tonnes)

	Wheat (July/June)¹			Coarse Grains (July/June)
	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast
ASIA	42.2	41.0	49.6	58.2	58.7	58.1
Bangladesh	1.7	2.0	1.9	0.2	0.1	0.1
China	1.4	4.0	8.1	7.3	6.6	7.2
Taiwan Province	1.0	1.0	1.1	5.1	5.1	5.0
Georgia	0.5	0.5	0.5	-	-	-
India	0.1	-	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1
Indonesia	4.0	4.4	4.4	1.7	1.4	1.2
Iran (Islamic Rep. of)	1.8	0.5	0.2	1.7	1.7	2.5
Iraq	2.2	2.0	2.5	0.1	0.3	0.2
Israel	1.6	1.0	1.5	1.4	2.0	1.5
Japan	5.4	5.6	5.6	20.4	20.3	19.8
Dem. People’s Rep. of Korea	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.2
Korea, Republic of	4.1	3.2	3.9	9.0	9.1	8.9
Malaysia	1.4	1.4	1.4	2.4	2.5	2.6
Pakistan	0.2	0.2	1.5	-	0.2	0.2
Philippines	3.2	3.1	3.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
Saudi Arabia	0.2	0.1	0.3	7.2	7.4	7.9
Singapore	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.2
Sri Lanka	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
Syria	0.6	0.2	0.2	1.2	1.4	1.6
Thailand	0.9	1.0	0.9	0.1	0.1	0.1
Yemen	2.0	2.1	2.5	0.2	0.3	0.2
AFRICA	28.8	25.0	25.0	16.4	14.3	15.4
North Africa	17.5	14.6	14.9	10.4	9.3	9.5
Algeria	5.5	3.3	3.5	1.8	2.0	1.8
Egypt	6.0	6.9	7.1	5.3	4.7	4.8
Morocco	2.7	2.2	2.0	1.4	1.0	1.2
Tunisia	1.7	0.7	0.8	1.1	0.8	0.9
Sub-Saharan Africa	11.3	10.4	10.2	6.0	5.0	5.9
Côte d'Ivoire	0.3	0.3	0.3	-	-	-
Ethiopia	1.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	-
Kenya	0.4	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.6	1.2
Nigeria	2.4	2.4	2.3	0.1	0.1	0.1
Senegal	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	-	-
Sudan	1.0	1.1	1.2	0.1	0.1	0.1
South Africa	1.0	1.0	0.9	1.0	0.7	0.7
CENTRAL AMERICA	6.9	7.3	7.6	12.1	12.1	12.7
Cuba	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.3	0.3	0.3
Dominican Rep.	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.9
Mexico	3.2	3.6	3.8	8.7	8.6	8.9
SOUTH AMERICA	11.4	10.8	9.9	6.0	5.7	5.9
Brazil	6.6	5.6	4.8	0.7	0.7	0.5
Chile	0.4	0.4	0.3	1.0	1.0	1.0
Colombia	1.2	1.2	1.3	2.3	2.1	2.2
Peru	1.3	1.3	1.4	0.9	0.8	1.0
Venezuela	1.0	1.4	1.4	0.7	0.7	0.7
NORTH AMERICA	2.2	1.8	1.5	7.1	5.0	4.7
Canada	0.2	0.1	-	4.5	2.5	2.5
United States of America	2.0	1.8	1.5	2.6	2.4	2.3
EUROPE	15.9	17.7	8.8	7.1	11.5	5.6
Belarus	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2
European Union²	11.9	5.8	5.5	4.2	6.9	3.0
Poland³	0.1	0.8	-	0.4	0.7	-
Romania	0.6	2.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1
Russian Federation	0.5	1.1	1.1	0.3	0.9	1.5
Ukraine	0.5	3.6	0.1	0.1	0.3	-
OCEANIA	0.8	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.1
New Zealand	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1
WORLD	108.1	104.3	103.0	107.1	107.4	102.5
Developing countries	79.4	75.0	82.1	69.9	67.7	70.0
Developed countries	28.8	29.3	20.9	37.2	39.6	32.5

¹Including wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent, but excluding semolina.

² Excluding trade between the EU member countries. Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries.

³From 2004/05 included in EU 25.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A2 (cont.)

	Rice (milled)			Total Cereals¹
	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast
ASIA	13.5	11.7	11.8	113.8	111.4	119.5
Bangladesh	1.6	0.6	1.0	3.5	2.8	3.0
China	0.4	0.9	0.7	9.1	11.5	16.0
Taiwan Province	0.1	0.2	0.2	6.2	6.3	6.3
Georgia	-	-	-	0.5	0.5	0.6
India	-	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3
Indonesia	2.5	1.0	1.2	8.2	6.8	6.8
Iran (Islamic Rep. of)	0.9	0.7	0.6	4.4	2.9	3.3
Iraq	0.8	1.1	1.1	3.1	3.4	3.8
Israel	0.1	0.1	0.1	3.1	3.1	3.1
Japan	0.7	0.7	0.7	26.5	26.6	26.1
Dem. People’s Rep. of Korea	0.7	0.6	0.5	1.4	1.1	1.1
Korea, Republic of	0.1	0.2	0.2	13.2	12.5	13.0
Malaysia	0.6	0.7	0.6	4.3	4.6	4.5
Pakistan	-	-	-	0.2	0.4	1.7
Philippines	0.9	1.0	1.1	4.2	4.2	4.3
Saudi Arabia	0.8	0.9	0.8	8.2	8.4	9.0
Singapore	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.8
Sri Lanka	-	0.2	-	1.1	1.3	1.2
Syria	0.2	0.2	0.2	1.9	1.8	2.0
Thailand	-	-	-	1.0	1.1	1.0
Yemen	0.3	0.3	0.3	2.5	2.6	2.9
AFRICA	8.0	8.4	8.0	53.2	47.7	48.4
North Africa	0.2	0.2	0.2	28.1	24.1	24.6
Algeria	-	0.1	0.1	7.4	5.3	5.3
Egypt	-	-	-	11.3	11.6	11.9
Morocco	-	-	-	4.2	3.3	3.2
Tunisia	-	-	-	2.9	1.5	1.7
Sub-Saharan Africa	7.8	8.2	7.8	25.1	23.6	23.9
Côte d'Ivoire	0.8	0.8	0.8	1.1	1.1	1.2
Ethiopia	-	-	-	2.0	0.6	0.2
Kenya	0.2	0.2	0.2	1.0	1.3	2.0
Nigeria	1.5	1.5	1.3	4.0	4.0	3.7
Senegal	0.6	0.7	0.7	1.0	0.9	1.0
Sudan	-	-	-	1.1	1.3	1.3
South Africa	0.8	1.0	0.9	2.8	2.7	2.4
CENTRAL AMERICA	2.0	2.1	2.1	21.0	21.6	22.3
Cuba	0.6	0.6	0.6	1.8	1.9	1.9
Dominican Rep.	-	0.1	0.1	1.0	1.2	1.3
Mexico	0.5	0.5	0.5	12.4	12.7	13.2
SOUTH AMERICA	1.4	1.3	1.0	18.9	17.8	16.8
Brazil	1.1	0.9	0.7	8.4	7.1	6.0
Chile	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.5	1.5	1.4
Colombia	0.1	0.1	-	3.6	3.4	3.4
Peru	-	0.1	0.1	2.2	2.2	2.4
Venezuela	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.8	2.1	2.2
NORTH AMERICA	0.7	0.8	0.7	10.0	7.6	7.0
Canada	0.3	0.3	0.3	5.0	2.9	2.7
United States of America	0.5	0.5	0.5	5.0	4.7	4.2
EUROPE	1.8	1.9	1.8	24.7	31.1	16.2
Belarus	-	-	-	0.6	0.6	0.4
European Union²	0.7	0.9	1.0	16.8	13.6	9.5
Poland³	0.1	0.1	-	0.6	1.5	-
Romania	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.9	2.6	0.3
Russian Federation	0.5	0.5	0.5	1.2	2.5	3.1
Ukraine	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.7	3.9	0.2
OCEANIA	0.4	0.4	0.4	1.3	1.0	1.1
New Zealand	-	-	-	0.2	0.3	0.4
WORLD	27.7	26.5	25.8	242.9	238.2	231.3
Developing countries	23.3	21.8	21.3	172.6	164.5	173.4
Developed countries	4.3	4.7	4.5	70.3	73.7	57.9

¹ Trade in rice refers to the calendar year of the second year shown.

² Excluding trade between the EU member countries. Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries.

³From 2004/05 included in EU 25.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A3. World export of cereals (million tonnes)

	Wheat (July/June)¹			Coarse Grains (July/June)
	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast
ASIA	16.9	16.6	9.1	17.7	15.3	6.6
China²	1.0	2.1	0.8	15.0	11.3	4.0
India	5.4	5.0	0.8	0.1	0.8	0.3
Indonesia	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.3
Japan	0.4	0.4	0.4	-	-	-
Kazakhstan	5.7	5.4	3.8	0.5	0.5	0.3
Myanmar	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
Pakistan	1.7	0.2	0.1	-	-	-
Syria	0.8	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.2
Thailand	-	-	-	0.1	0.7	0.5
Turkey	0.6	0.8	0.8	0.5	0.5	0.1
Viet Nam	-	-	-	-	-	-
AFRICA	0.5	0.5	0.5	2.0	2.2	2.2
Egypt	-	-	-	-	-	-
Ethiopia	-	-	-	-	-	0.1
Nigeria	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
South Africa	0.2	0.2	0.2	1.1	1.2	0.9
Sudan	-	-	-	0.1	0.2	0.1
Uganda	-	-	-	0.2	0.1	0.2
CENTRAL AMERICA	0.5	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.4	0.3
SOUTH AMERICA	6.4	8.9	10.8	15.9	17.0	14.6
Argentina	6.3	7.5	10.0	12.3	10.1	10.4
Brazil	-	1.2	0.5	3.0	6.2	3.5
Paraguay	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5
Uruguay	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
NORTH AMERICA	32.0	47.6	41.3	49.3	54.6	57.6
Canada	9.1	15.3	15.8	1.7	3.5	3.7
United States of America	22.8	32.3	25.5	47.6	51.1	53.9
EUROPE	41.8	12.4	24.8	18.0	11.5	16.8
Bulgaria	0.9	0.2	0.9	0.7	0.1	1.0
Czech Rep.³	0.5	-	-	0.1	0.3	-
European Union⁴	15.4	7.6	14.0	6.6	3.8	5.0
Hungary³	1.3	0.5	-	1.5	0.4	-
Romania	0.1	-	0.5	0.4	0.2	1.8
Russian Federation	14.5	4.0	5.4	3.8	3.3	2.3
Ukraine	6.6	0.1	3.5	4.1	2.8	5.8
OCEANIA	10.9	17.0	16.0	3.6	5.0	4.3
Australia	10.9	17.0	16.0	3.6	5.0	4.3
WORLD	108.9	103.4	103.0	107.0	106.1	102.5
Developing countries	17.9	19.9	16.0	34.6	33.1	22.5
Developed countries	91.0	83.5	87.0	72.5	72.9	80.0

¹ Including wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent, but excluding semolina.

² Including Taiwan Province.

³From 2004/05 included in EU 25.

⁴ Excluding trade between the EU member countries. Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A3. (cont.)

	Rice (milled)			Total Cereals¹
	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast
ASIA	21.6	20.5	19.8	56.2	52.3	35.5
China²	2.7	1.0	1.5	18.6	14.4	6.3
India	4.4	2.6	2.5	9.8	8.4	3.6
Indonesia	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.3
Japan	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.6	0.8	0.8
Kazakhstan	-	-	-	6.2	5.9	4.2
Myanmar	0.4	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.4
Pakistan	2.0	1.9	2.2	3.6	2.1	2.3
Syria	-	-	-	1.1	1.3	0.9
Thailand	7.6	10.1	8.5	7.7	10.8	9.0
Turkey	-	-	-	1.2	1.3	0.9
Viet Nam	3.9	4.1	4.1	3.9	4.1	4.1
AFRICA	0.6	0.8	0.8	3.0	3.5	3.5
Egypt	0.6	0.8	0.8	0.6	0.8	0.8
Ethiopia	-	-	-	-	-	0.1
Nigeria	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.1
South Africa	-	-	-	1.2	1.4	1.1
Sudan	-	-	-	0.1	0.2	0.1
Uganda	-	-	-	0.2	0.1	0.2
CENTRAL AMERICA	0.1	0.1	-	1.1	0.9	0.8
SOUTH AMERICA	1.2	1.7	1.6	23.5	27.5	27.0
Argentina	0.2	0.4	0.4	18.8	18.0	20.8
Brazil	-	0.1	0.1	3.0	7.5	4.1
Paraguay	-	-	-	0.5	0.5	0.7
Uruguay	0.6	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.9	0.9
NORTH AMERICA	3.8	3.2	3.4	85.1	105.3	102.3
Canada	-	-	-	10.8	18.7	19.5
United States of America	3.8	3.2	3.4	74.3	86.6	82.8
EUROPE	0.2	0.2	0.2	60.1	24.1	41.8
Bulgaria	-	-	-	1.7	0.3	1.8
Czech Rep.³	-	-	-	0.6	0.3	-
European Union⁴	0.2	0.2	0.2	22.2	11.6	19.2
Hungary³	-	-	-	2.8	0.9	-
Romania	-	-	-	0.5	0.2	2.3
Russian Federation	-	-	-	18.3	7.3	7.8
Ukraine	-	-	-	10.7	2.9	9.3
OCEANIA	0.2	0.2	0.2	14.6	22.3	20.4
Australia	0.2	0.2	0.2	14.6	22.2	20.4
WORLD	27.7	26.5	25.8	243.6	235.9	231.3
Developing countries	23.2	22.5	21.7	75.7	75.6	60.1
Developed countries	4.4	3.9	4.1	167.9	160.3	171.2

¹ Trade in rice refers to the calendar year of the second year shown.

² Including Taiwan Province.

³From 2004/05 included in EU 25.

⁴ Excluding trade between the EU member countries. Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A4. Cereal supply and utilization in main exporting countries (million tonnes)

	Wheat¹			Coarse Grains²			Rice (milled basis)
	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast	2002/03	2003/04 estimate	2004/05 forecast
	UNITED STATES (June/May)			UNITED STATES			UNITED STATES (Aug./July)
Opening stocks	21.2	13.4	14.9	45.0	31.0	28.8	1.2	0.8	0.8
Production	43.7	63.8	58.7	243.9	275.4	319.9	6.5	6.4	7.3
Imports	2.1	1.7	1.8	2.3	2.2	2.2	0.5	0.5	0.4
Total Supply	67.0	78.9	75.4	291.2	308.6	350.8	8.2	7.7	8.5
Domestic use	30.5	32.5	32.3	214.5	226.0	241.6	3.5	3.7	3.9
Exports	23.1	31.6	27.9	45.8	53.8	53.1	3.9	3.3	3.3
Closing stocks	13.4	14.9	15.2	31.0	28.8	56.1	0.8	0.8	1.3
	CANADA (August/July)			CANADA			THAILAND (Nov./Oct.)³
Opening stocks	6.7	5.7	6.1	3.5	3.2	4.2	3.4	3.5	2.0
Production	16.2	23.6	25.9	20.1	26.6	26.7	17.2	18.0	16.7
Imports	0.2	0.0	0.0	4.2	2.2	2.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
Total Supply	23.1	29.3	32.0	27.8	31.9	33.1	20.7	21.6	18.6
Domestic use	8.2	7.5	8.7	22.0	23.0	23.2	9.5	9.5	9.0
Exports	9.2	15.7	15.8	2.7	4.7	3.9	7.6	10.1	8.5
Closing stocks	5.7	6.1	7.5	3.2	4.2	6.0	3.5	2.0	1.1
	ARGENTINA (Dec./Nov.)			ARGENTINA			CHINA (Jan./Dec.)^{3 4}
Opening stocks	1.0	2.1	2.0	1.2	1.1	1.3	83.4	73.7	60.2
Production	12.3	14.6	16.0	18.7	19.2	17.6	120.9	111.3	124.4
Imports	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.9	0.7
Total Supply	13.3	16.6	18.0	19.9	20.2	19.0	204.6	185.9	185.2
Domestic use	5.2	5.8	5.5	7.8	8.7	7.7	128.3	124.7	126.1
Exports	6.1	8.8	10.5	11.1	10.2	10.5	2.7	1.0	1.5
Closing stocks	2.1	2.0	2.1	1.1	1.3	0.8	73.7	60.2	57.6
	AUSTRALIA (Oct./Sept.)			AUSTRALIA			PAKISTAN (Nov./Oct.)³
Opening stocks	7.1	3.1	5.4	1.9	1.3	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.5
Production	10.1	25.7	20.4	7.7	12.8	10.5	4.5	4.8	5.0
Imports	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Total Supply	17.6	28.8	25.8	9.6	14.1	11.4	5.0	5.2	5.5
Domestic use	5.4	5.5	5.4	5.7	6.4	6.3	2.7	2.8	2.9
Exports	9.1	17.9	16.2	2.6	6.7	4.4	2.0	1.9	2.2
Closing stocks	3.1	5.4	4.2	1.3	0.9	0.7	0.3	0.5	0.4
	EU (July/June)⁵			EU⁵			VIET NAM (Nov./Oct.)³
Opening stocks	12.5	15.0	12.3	18.0	18.0	14.9	4.5	4.9	4.9
Production	104.0	91.3	135.1	107.1	96.0	150.9	23.0	23.0	23.8
Imports	11.9	5.8	5.5	4.2	6.9	3.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Total Supply	128.4	112.1	153.0	129.3	120.9	168.8	27.5	27.9	28.7
Domestic use	97.9	93.8	118.0	104.7	105.3	143.0	18.7	19.0	19.6
Exports	15.5	7.8	15.0	6.6	3.8	5.0	3.9	4.1	4.1
Closing stocks	15.0	10.5	20.0	18.0	11.8	20.8	4.9	4.9	5.0
	TOTAL OF ABOVE			TOTAL OF ABOVE			TOTAL OF ABOVE
Opening stocks	48.5	39.2	40.7	69.7	54.6	50.2	93.0	83.3	68.3
Production	186.3	219.0	256.1	397.5	429.9	525.5	172.1	163.6	177.2
Imports	14.5	7.5	7.3	10.8	11.3	7.4	0.9	1.4	1.1
Total Supply	249.3	265.8	304.1	477.9	495.8	583.1	266.0	248.3	246.6
Domestic use	147.1	145.2	169.8	354.6	369.4	421.7	162.8	159.7	161.6
Exports	63.0	81.7	85.4	68.7	79.3	77.0	19.9	20.3	19.5
Closing stocks	39.2	38.9	48.9	54.6	47.1	84.4	83.3	68.3	65.4

¹ Trade data include wheat flour in wheat grain equivalent. For the EU semolina is also included.

² Argentina (Dec./Nov.) for rye, barley and oats, (March/February) for maize and sorghum; Australia (November/October) for rye, barley and oats, (March/February) for maize and sorghum; Canada (August/July); EU (July/June); United States (June/May) for rye, barley and oats, (September/August) for maize and sorghum.

³ Rice trade data refer to the calendar year of the second year shown.

⁴ Including Taiwan province.

⁵ Excluding trade between the EU member countries. Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries.

Note: Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A5. World cereal stocks¹ (million tonnes)

	Crop Years ending in:
	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004 estimate	2005 forecast
TOTAL CEREALS	611.5	631.7	600.1	575.2	483.7	410.6	449.5
Wheat	242.0	246.6	243.7	235.7	202.4	159.7	163.6
held by:
- main exporters²	50.4	50.2	52.3	48.5	39.2	38.9	48.9
- others	191.6	196.5	191.4	187.2	163.2	120.9	114.7
Coarse Grains	233.2	234.5	207.7	197.1	162.8	147.9	189.2
held by:
- main exporters²	80.5	78.0	76.6	69.7	54.6	47.1	84.4
- others	152.6	156.5	131.1	127.5	108.3	100.8	104.8
Rice (milled basis)	136.3	150.6	148.7	142.4	118.5	103.0	96.7
held by:
- main exporters²	95.5	101.2	99.1	93.0	83.3	68.3	65.4
excl. China³	4.3	7.4	8.5	9.7	9.6	8.1	7.8
- others	40.9	49.4	49.7	49.4	35.2	34.7	31.3
Developed Countries	172.4	166.1	161.4	168.9	144.4	122.7	172.7
Australia	3.0	4.5	5.2	9.2	4.6	6.4	5.0
European Union⁴	37.1	34.5	32.0	31.1	33.7	23.1	41.4
Canada	12.5	13.5	14.1	10.3	8.9	10.3	13.5
Hungary⁵	2.9	2.2	1.5	2.0	1.4	1.0	-
Japan	6.4	6.2	6.0	5.7	5.3	4.7	4.9
Poland⁵	4.3	3.8	2.2	3.0	3.1	2.6	-
Romania	3.5	3.7	0.4	2.5	2.0	1.2	4.6
Russian Federation	5.8	4.9	6.5	13.5	12.5	7.1	9.1
South Africa	2.5	1.8	2.9	1.9	3.8	3.5	3.4
Ukraine	2.2	2.2	2.3	5.2	5.1	2.9	4.4
United States	77.8	75.6	77.4	67.4	45.2	44.4	72.5
Developing Countries	439.1	465.6	438.7	406.3	339.3	287.9	276.8
Asia	399.1	425.9	401.6	366.1	305.1	247.1	235.1
China³	299.3	311.3	281.1	249.2	210.2	165.3	159.4
India	47.3	57.4	62.3	60.3	40.4	31.1	28.4
Indonesia	6.6	7.0	6.3	4.4	5.1	5.2	4.3
Iran, Islamic Rep. of	2.2	3.8	3.5	4.4	3.8	3.0	2.1
Korea, Rep. of	2.8	3.3	3.0	3.2	3.1	2.9	2.9
Pakistan	9.2	8.7	9.4	6.6	2.8	1.8	1.7
Philippines	2.6	1.9	2.2	1.9	2.2	1.9	2.1
Syria	4.0	3.7	2.9	3.7	3.8	3.6	3.8
Turkey	9.4	8.3	8.7	7.9	8.1	7.7	7.7
Africa	27.4	25.1	23.6	24.2	21.3	23.1	23.2
Algeria	2.8	1.7	1.6	1.9	2.5	2.8	2.6
Egypt	4.6	4.3	4.3	4.2	3.4	2.9	3.0
Ethiopia	1.4	1.5	2.3	1.8	0.8	0.4	1.0
Morocco	5.2	3.7	2.1	2.0	2.0	3.4	4.5
Nigeria	1.9	1.7	2.2	2.2	2.1	1.7	1.5
Tunisia	1.9	2.1	2.1	2.3	2.0	2.4	2.4
Central America	6.2	6.5	6.1	5.9	4.6	5.8	7.1
Mexico	5.0	5.0	4.5	4.6	3.3	4.5	5.9
South America	6.2	7.9	7.3	9.9	8.2	11.9	11.3
Argentina	1.8	1.8	1.6	2.3	3.2	3.5	3.0
Brazil	1.5	2.7	1.7	3.6	1.6	5.3	5.5

¹ Stock data are based on an aggregate of carryovers at the end of national crop years and do not represent world stock levels at any point in time.

² The major wheat and coarse grains exporters are Argentina, Australia, Canada, the EU and the United States. The major rice exporters are China (including Taiwan Province), Pakistan, Thailand, the United States and Viet Nam. See Table A.4 for country details.

³ Including Taiwan Province.

⁴Up to 2003/04 15 member countries, from 2004/05 25 member countries.

⁵From 2004/05 included in EU 25.

Note: Based on official and unofficial estimates. Totals computed from unrounded data.

TABLE A6. Selected export prices of cereals and soybeans (US$/tonne)

	Wheat			Maize		Sorghum	Soybeans
Period	US No.2 Hard Red Winter Ord. Prot.¹	US Soft Red Winter No.2¹	Argentina Trigo Pan²	US No.2 Yellow¹	Argentina²	US No.2 Yellow¹	US No.1 Yellow¹
Annual (July/June)
2000/2001	128	101	124	86	84	93.0	184
2001/2002	127	113	119	90	89	95.0	182
2002/2003	161	138	145	107	102	112.0	222
2003/2004	161	149	154	115	109	118.0	305
Monthly
2004 – March	171	158	153	129	110	132	374
2004 – September	155	139	126	97	95	101	219
2004 – October	155	141	120	93	93	95	210
2004 – November	162	139	116	94	86	96	217
2004 – December	160	139	111	96	89	96	224
2005 – January	157	142	107	96	82	96	220
2005 – February	154	143	113	94	81	96	216
Weekly
2005 – March wk1	159	154	128	101	86	101	240
2005 - March wk2	157	154	124	98	83	97	244
2005 - March wk3	163	161	128	104	88	104	262
2005 - March wk3	153	150	128	99	85	97	241
2005 - March wk5	152	143	130	98	85	95	241

¹ Delivered US Gulf ports.

² Up River f.o.b.

Sources: International Grain Council and USDA.

TABLE A7. Wheat and maize price indices

	Wheat¹	Maize²
Period	(1997/98-1999/00=100)	(1997/98-1999/00=100)
Annual (July/June)
1999/2000	93	92
2000/2001	97	87
2001/2002	99	91
2002/2003	121	108
2003/2004	119	116
Monthly
2004 – February	120	125
2004 – August	108	105
2004 – September	119	98
2004 – October	120	94
2004 – November	123	94
2004 – December	122	97
2005 – January	123	97
2005 – February	121	95

¹ The wheat price index has been constructed based on the IGC wheat price index, rebased to

July/June 1997/98-1999/00 = 100. The IGC wheat price index is composed of a simple average of

following price quotations, converted to an index, with base July/December 1986 = 1000:

a Australian Standard White, fob Eastern States - second position quoted

b Canadian No.1 CWRS 13.5%, fob St. Lawrence

c Canadian No.1 CWRS 12.5%, fob Vancouver

d United States No.2 HRW (Ordinary), Gulf

e United States No.2 SRW, Gulf

f United States No.2 DNS 14%, fob Lakes

g United States No.2 Western White, fob Pacific

² United States Maize No.2 Yellow (delivered Gulf ports) with base July/June, 1997/98-1999/00 = 100

Sources: FAO, International Grain Council, USDA

TABLE A8. Price indices and selected export prices for rice

	Export Prices ( US$ per tonne)				FAO Indices ( 1998-2000=100)
Period	Thai 100% B¹	Thai broken²	US Long grain³	Pakistani Basmati⁴	Total	Indica		Japonica	Aromatic
Period	Thai 100% B¹	Thai broken²	US Long grain³	Pakistani Basmati⁴	Total	High quality	Low quality	Japonica	Aromatic
Annual (January/December)
2001	177	135	264	332	74	74	74	76	69
2002	197	151	207	366	72	73	75	67	74
2003	201	151	284	358	82	79	81	82	91
2004	244	207	372	486	104	101	110	104	96
Monthly
2004 – February	221	184	355	449	98	92	99	105	96
2004 – October	250	205	335	479	101	100	108	98	91
2004 – November	265	215	332	457	101	101	110	92	98
2004 - December	280	220	329	455	103	102	114	93	97
2005 - January	293	230	330	460	106	106	121	94	97
2005 - February	298	234	324	453	107	107	123	93	96
Weekly
2005 – March wk1	291	228	324	450	)
2005 – March wk2	296	232	316	472	) 106	106	122	93	96
2005 – March wk3	298	231	316	472	)
2005 – March wk4	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.	470	)

¹ White rice, 100% second grade, f.o.b. Bangkok, indicative traded prices.

² A1 super, f.o.b. Bangkok, indicative traded prices.

³ US No.2, 4% brokens f.o.b.

⁴ Basmati: ordinary, f.o.b. Karachi.

Note: The FAO Rice Price Index is based on 16 rice export quotations. 'Quality' is defined by the precentage of broken kernels, with high (low) quality referring to rice with less (equal to or more) than 20 percent brokens. The Sub-Index for Aromatic Rice follows movements in prices of Basmati and Fragrant rice.

Sources: FAO for indices. Rice prices: Jackson Son & Co. (London) Ltd. and other public sources.

TABLE A9. Price indices and selected international prices for oilcrop products

	FAO Indices ( 1990-92=100)			International Prices ( US$ per tonne)
Period	Oilseeds	Edible/Soap Fats/Oils	Oilcakes/ Meals	Soybeans¹	Soybean Oil²	Palm Oil³	Soybean Cake⁴	Rapeseed Meal⁵
Annual (October/September)
1998/99	89	125	82	209	483	514	149	104
1999/00	83	91	89	209	355	337	180	124
Semestral
2000/01 – Oct.- Mar.	82	76	98	206	314	254	198	146
2000/01 – Apr.- Sep.	82	86	94	197	356	289	178	135
2001/02 – Oct.- Mar.	83	95	100	188	378	323	175	135
2001/02 – Apr.- Sep.	90	107	104	213	445	392	174	122
2002/03 – Oct.- Mar.	103	124	106	241	543	442	186	133
2002/03 – Apr.- Sep.	104	123	110	246	535	414	197	149
2003/04 – Oct.- Mar.	140	144	138	351	653	512	274	199
2003/04 – Apr.- Sep.	121	140	126	294	612	464	240	157
2004/05 – Oct.- Mar.	111	134	115	264	539	420	205	133

¹ Soybeans (US, No.2 yellow, c.i.f. Rotterdam).

² Soybean oil (Dutch, fob ex-mill).

³ Palm oil (Crude, c.i.f. North West Europe).

⁴ Soybean cake (Pellets, 44/45%, Argentina, c.i.f. Rotterdam).

⁵ Rapeseed meal (34%, Hamburg, f.o.b. ex-mill).

Note: The FAO indices are calculated using the Laspeyres formula; the weights used are the average export values of each commodity for the 1990-92 period. The indices are based on the international prices of five selected seeds, ten selected oils and fats and seven selected cakes and meals.

Sources: FAO and Oil World.

TABLE A10. Wheat and maize future prices (US$/tonne)

	May		July		September		December
	this year	last year	this year	last year	this year	last year	this year	last year
Wheat
February 22	118	146	120	145	122	146	125	148
March 1	124	141	127	142	128	144	131	146
March 8	124	135	126	137	129	138	131	142
March 15	135	137	138	138	140	139	143	143
March 22	127	155	130	157	132	158	135	160
March 29	123	149	126	151	128	152	132	155
Maize
February 22	85	116	87	117	90	114	93	113
March 1	86	119	89	120	91	118	94	117
March 8	84	115	87	117	89	114	93	113
March 15	90	121	93	123	95	119	97	118
March 22	84	125	87	127	90	126	93	125
March 29	84	120	87	122	89	120	92	118

Source: Chicago Board of Trade

TABLE A11. Ocean freight rates for wheat (US$/tonne)

	From US Gulf ports to:
Period	EU¹	CIS Black Sea^{1 2}	Egypt¹	Bangladesh¹
Annual (July/June)
2000/2001	13.10	40.97	15.00	18.31
2001/2002	11.00	40.97	15.00	18.50
2002/2003	12.50	40.97	16.67	22.50
2003/2004	28.27	41.89	36.96	48.50
Monthly
2004 – March	42.00	52.00	50.00	70.00
2004 – September	32.00	39.00	44.00	49.00
2004 – October	33.00	39.00	44.00	49.00
2004 – November	39.00	45.00	53.00	62.00
2004 – December	40.00	47.00	52.00	86.00
2005 – January	36.00	45.00	50.00	81.00
2005 - February	35.00	42.00	47.00	70.00
2005 - March	38.00	44.00	49.00	80.00

1 Size of vessels: EU over 40 000 tonnes; CIS 20 000-40 000 tonnes; Egypt over 30 000 tonnes; Bangladesh over 40 000 tonnes.

2 Excludes CIS and United States flag vessels.

Note: Estimated mid-month rates based on current chartering practices for vessels ready to load three to four weeks ahead.

Source: International Grains Council

TABLE A12. Selected international commodity prices

	Currency and Unit	Effective Date	Latest Quotation	1 month ago	1 year ago	Average 1989-91
Sugar (I.S.A. daily price)	US cents per lb	25.02.05	9.01	9.07	6.14	11.4
Coffee (I.C.O. daily price)	US cents per lb	18.02.05	91.01	80.04	59.24	76.7
Cocoa (I.C.C.O. daily price)	US cents per lb	18.02.05	73.97	69.39	69.93	56.0
Tea (total tea, Mombasa)	US$ per kg.	24.12.04	1.50	1.43	1.62	1.5
Bananas (Latin America,	€ per tonne	06.12.04	1 026¹	828¹	894	566
f.o.t., Benelux/Hamburg)			816²	690²	696²
Cotton (COTLOOK, index “A” 1-3/32")	US cents per lb	25.02.05	54.45	52.35	73.7	78.5
Jute “BWD” f.o.b. Mongla at sight	US$ per Ton	25.02.05	350	350	245	391.2
Wool (64's, London)	Pence per kg	25.02.05	402	401	458	466

¹ EU duty paid, estimated.

² Estimated price for EFTA markets.

TABLE A13. Selected international meat prices

	FAO index of international meat prices (1990-92=100)	Indicative international meat prices (US$ per tonne)

		Chicken¹	Pork²	Beef³	Lamb⁴
Annual
1994	102	921	2 659	2 384	2 975
1995	99	922	2 470	1 947	2 621
1996	96	978	2 733	1 741	3 295
1997	96	843	2 724	1 880	3 393
1998	83	760	2 121	1 754	2 750
1999	84	602	2 073	1 894	2 610
2000	85	592	2 083	1 957	2 619
2001	84	645	2 077	2 138	2 912
2002	82	579	1 830	2 127	3 303
2003	90	614	1 884	2 112	3 885
2004⁵	102	749	2 073	2 513	4 599
Monthly
2004 - Jan.	103	700	1 706	2 380	4 391
2004 - Feb.	99	747	1 735	2 194	4 734
2004 - Mar.	101	859	1 980	2 144	4 633
2004 - Apr.	97	830	2 099	2 251	4 574
2004 - May	97	791	2 210	2 527	4 488
2004 - Jun.	104	835	2 342	2 571	4 552
2004 - Jul.	102	789	2 245	2 676	4 587
2004 - Aug.	105	741	2 009	2 807	4 532
2004 - Sep.	104	697	2 128	2 770	4 513
2004 - Oct.	104	702	2 176	2 629	4 578
2004 - Nov.	105	714	2 128	2 610	4 715
2004 - Dec.	n.a.	682	2 091	2 594	4 889

¹ Chicken parts, United States export unit value.

² Frozen pork, United States export unit value.

³ Manufacture cow beef, Australia, cif prices to the United States.

⁴ Lamb frozen whole carcass, New Zealand, wholesale prices London.

⁵ index: January-June 2004, chicken and pork: January-September 2004, beef and lamb: January-October 2004.

TABLE A14. Fertilizer spot price ranges (bulk f.o.b., US$/tonne)

	February 2005	March 2005 ¹	March 2004	Change from last year ² (percentage)
Urea
Baltic	183 – 186	210 - 215	129 – 131	41.9
Persian Gulf	214 – 217	223 - 227	153 - 157	38.9
Ammonium Sulphate
eastern Europe	81 – 85	82 - 86	64 - 69	24.8
Diammonium Phosphate
North Africa	257 – 260	248 - 258	230 - 237	10.7
US Gulf	226 – 227	225 - 226	218 - 220	3.5
Triple Superphosphate
North Africa	187 – 189	187 - 188	162 - 165	15.0
US Gulf	202 – 202	201 - 202	176 - 179	13.8
Muriate of Potash
Baltic	135 – 160	139 - 160	87 - 102	56.1
Vancouver	135 – 160	135 - 160	105 - 130	25.5

¹Up to 10 March 2005.

² From mid-point of given ranges.

Source: Compiled from Fertilizer Week and Fertilizer Market Bulletin.


Economic and Social Department	About us	Disclaimer	©FAO, 2005

Statistical appendix

TABLE A1. World cereal production (million tonnes)

TABLE A1 (cont.)

TABLE A2. World imports of cereals (million tonnes)

TABLE A2 (cont.)

TABLE A3. World export of cereals (million tonnes)

TABLE A3. (cont.)

TABLE A4. Cereal supply and utilization in main exporting countries (million tonnes)

TABLE A5. World cereal stocks1 (million tonnes)

TABLE A6. Selected export prices of cereals and soybeans (US$/tonne)

TABLE A7. Wheat and maize price indices

TABLE A8. Price indices and selected export prices for rice

TABLE A9. Price indices and selected international prices for oilcrop products

TABLE A10. Wheat and maize future prices (US$/tonne)

TABLE A11. Ocean freight rates for wheat (US$/tonne)

TABLE A12. Selected international commodity prices

TABLE A13. Selected international meat prices

TABLE A14. Fertilizer spot price ranges (bulk f.o.b., US$/tonne)

TABLE A5. World cereal stocks¹ (million tonnes)