FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2 - September 2005 p.53
Based on an estimated domestic cereal availability of 4.46 million tonnes and total utilization requirement of about 6.05 million tonnes, the total cereal import requirement in 2004/05 (November/October) is estimated at 1.60 million tonnes, mostly wheat. With commercial imports anticipated at 1.11 million tonnes, the food aid requirement amounts to 486 000 tonnes. As of mid-August, food aid pledges stood at 561 000 tonnes of which 476 000 tonnes have been delivered.
CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2004/05 MARKETING YEAR (November/October) | ||||
Wheat | Rice | Coarse Grains | Total Cereals | |
[ | thousand tonnes | ] | ||
Previous year production (incl. paddy rice) | 398 | 1 | 5 550 | 5 949 |
Previous five years average production (incl. paddy rice) | 305 | 11 | 4 052 | 4 368 |
Previous year imports | 1 124 | 30 | 141 | 1 295 |
Previous five years average imports | 1 045 | 37 | 107 | 1 189 |
2004/05 Domestic Availability | 467 | 1 | 3 988 | 4 456 |
2004 Production (incl. paddy rice) | 467 | 1 | 3 388 | 3 856 |
2004 Production (incl. milled rice) | 467 | 1 | 3 388 | 3 856 |
Possible stock drawdown | - | - | 600 | 600 |
2004/05 Utilization | 1 778 | 40 | 4 234 | 6 052 |
Food use | 1 381 | 39 | 3 561 | 4 981 |
Non-food use | 47 | 1 | 573 | 621 |
Exports or re-exports | - | - | 100 | 100 |
Possible stock build up | 350 | - | - | 350 |
2004/05 Import Requirement | 1 311 | 39 | 246 | 1 596 |
Anticipated commercial imports | 1 000 | 39 | 71 | 1 110 |
of which: received or contracted | 738 | 49 | 69 | 856 |
Food aid needs | 311 | - | 175 | 486 |
Current Aid Position | ||||
Food aid pledges | 311 | - | 250 | 561 |
of which: delivered | 311 | - | 165 | 476 |
Donor-financed purchases | - | - | 53 | 53 |
of which: for local use | - | - | 53 | 53 |
for export | - | - | - | - |
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) | 40 | 1 | 104 | 145 |
Indexes | [ | percentage | ] | |
2004 Production compared to average (incl. paddy rice) | 153 | 9 | 84 | 88 |
2004/05 Import requirement compared to average | 125 | 105 | 230 | 134 |
Cereal share of total calorie intake | 56 | |||
Additional Information | ||||
Major foodcrops | sorghum; millet; wheat; roots; tubers; oils | |||
Lean season | September-October | |||
Population (000s) | 34 360 | |||
GNI per capita in 2003 (US$) | 460 |