Table 3: WHEAT - Commodity Balances, 1987-89 Average, 2000 Baseline and 2000 Uruguay Round Scenarios

Countries/Regions

1987-89 Average

2000 Baseline

2000 Uruguay Round

Growth Rates: 1987-89 to 2000 UR

Prod.

Import

Export

Cons.

Prod.

Import

Export

Cons.

Prod.

Import

Export

Cons.

Prod.

Import

Export

Cons.

thousand tonnes

percent per year
WORLD TOTAL 519507 114335 115505 537636 632471 117782 117792 631308 630888 114799 114782 629522 1.6 0.0 -0.1 1.3
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES 216310 68554 8491 280849 298301 86131 8830 374301 303444 80512 9979 372716 2.9 1.3 1.4 2.4
Africa 6598 11050 153 16983 9450 15196 154 24381 9333 15217 157 24276 2.9 2.7 0.2 3.0
Algeria 880 4158 0 4870 995 5753 0 6729 1014 5703 0 6699 1.2 2.7 - 2.7
Ethiopia 839 687 0 1560 1338 1166 0 2485 1349 1140 0 2471 4.0 4.3 - 3.9
Morocco 3463 1572 1 4520 4468 1650 1 6091 4330 1804 1 6100 1.9 1.2 0.0 2.5
Nigeria 47 325 0 372 195 371 0 564 196 360 0 555 12.6 0.9 - 3.4
Latin America 22074 8742 4368 26460 22186 16538 5611 33037 23353 15710 6362 32623 0.5 5.0 3.2 1.8
Argentina 9153 0 4101 5000 10855 0 5247 5602 11478 0 5934 5533 1.9 - 3.1 0.8
Brazil 5776 1675 8 7160 2988 6126 8 9098 3268 5688 8 8942 -4.6 10.7 0.0 1.9
Mexico 4152 709 170 5000 4673 1970 169 6457 4845 1710 170 6373 1.3 7.6 0.0 2.0
Peru 147 867 0 1098 176 1312 0 1486 179 1304 0 1481 1.7 3.5 - 2.5
Venezuela 0 1063 1 1128 0 1459 1 1456 0 1444 1 1441 - 2.6 0.0 2.1
Near East 36196 19750 3263 54799 54351 19583 2362 71288 55063 18993 2737 71029 3.6 -0.3 -1.5 2.2
Egypt 2914 6941 3 9893 6762 5003 3 11747 6894 4759 3 11640 7.4 -3.1 0.0 1.4
Iran Isl.Rep.of 6797 3522 1 10528 11808 1858 1 13559 11976 1685 1 13557 4.8 -6.0 0.0 2.1
Saudi Arabia 3015 310 1842 1868 3441 390 1051 2779 3501 390 1114 2775 1.3 1.9 -4.1 3.4
Syria 1581 1072 20 2605 4118 97 20 4158 4167 54 33 4151 8.4 -22.0 4.3 4.0
Turkey 18559 806 1335 19215 22395 893 1227 22028 22609 892 1525 21925 1.7 0.8 1.1 1.1
Far East 151442 28781 704 182393 212313 34511 700 245298 215694 30289 719 244492 3.0 0.4 0.2 2.5
Bangladesh 1054 1998 0 3052 1456 3357 0 4770 1472 3321 0 4752 2.8 4.3 - 3.8
China 87383 15427 86 104141 121830 11250 86 132672 122670 10577 26 132887 2.9 -3.1 -9.5 2.1
India 48201 679 104 50442 68162 2097 104 69874 69569 34 171 69209 3.1 -22.1 4.2 2.7
Indonesia 0 1720 8 1712 0 3198 8 3173 0 3013 8 2991 - 4.8 0.0 4.8
Korea Rep. 2 3508 23 3488 3 4925 23 4893 3 5010 23 4971 3.4 3.0 0.0 3.0
Pakistan 13037 1050 4 13870 18217 3314 4 21417 19312 1914 4 21139 3.3 5.2 0.0 3.6
Philippines 0 1066 5 1061 0 1844 5 1823 0 1811 5 1795 - 4.5 0 .0 4.5
Thailand 0 295 51 244 0 512 51 455 0 588 52 520 - 5.9 0.2 6.5
Other Developing 0 231 3 214 1 303 3 297 1 303 3 297 - 2.3 0.0 2.8
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES 303197 45781 107014 256787 334171 31651 108962 257007 327444 34287 104804 256805 0.6 -2.4 -0.2 0.0
North America 76225 955 56146 33644 98097 1172 60582 38466 95641 1176 57603 38882 1.9 1.7 0.2 1.2
Canada 22188 136 18259 6453 26077 157 18919 7293 26373 157 19138 7313 1.5 1.2 0.4 1.0
United States 54037 819 37887 27191 72020 1015 41663 31173 69268 1019 38465 31570 2.1 1.8 0.1 1.3
Western Europe 83089 17069 33112 65884 78878 18395 27809 69523 74688 19797 25087 69399 -0.9 1.2 -2.3 0.4
EC-12 78999 16048 31848 62085 74691 17561 26505 65795 71104 18858 24255 65705 -0.9 1.4 -2.2 0.5
Oth.Western Europe 4090 1021 1264 3799 4187 834 1304 3729 3584 939 833 3694 -1.1 -0.7 -3.4 -0.2
Eastern Europe 39392 3021 2635 38962 41502 1177 5425 37255 40234 2022 5605 36630 0.2 -3.3 6.5 -0.5
Poland 7995 2153 3 9993 9883 493 3 10374 8834 1349 3 10175 0.8 -3.8 0.0 0.2
Romania 7484 22 200 6754 6940 20 658 6306 6763 20 595 6185 -0.8 -0.8 9.5 -0.7
Former USSR 86688 18064 1587 104589 93964 3526 1583 96244 94632 2717 1591 96108 0.7 -14.6 0.0 -0.7
Oceania 13705 143 12631 3878 17314 251 13132 4422 18788 268 14483 4515 2.7 5.4 1.1 1.3
Australia 13479 29 12615 3550 17150 36 13116 4059 18633 36 14467 4146 2.7 1.8 1.1 1.3
Other Developed 4098 6529 903 9830 4415 7130 431 11097 3460 8308 434 11272 -1.4 2.0 -5.9 1.1
Japan 957 5688 397 6217 1378 5533 396 6510 1374 5564 399 6528 3.1 -0.2 0.0 0.4
South Africa 2904 20 496 2638 2804 744 25 3512 1851 1904 25 3677 -3.7 46.2 -22.0 2.8