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Annex B. Agricultural area and yield projections

Zimbabwe

Scenario: Reference

1990

2010

Crop

Farm Type

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield (T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield (T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Maize








Large Scale Commercial

146.4

4.70

688

104.7

4.70

492

Small Scale Commercial

40.0

1.69

68

40.0

1.69

68

State-Run

0.3

6.91

2

0.3

6.91

2

Resettlement

80.9

1.88

152

80.9

2.54

205

Communal: Irrigated

2.4

5.12

12

2.4

6.90

16

Communal: Total

840.0

1.08

907

840.0

1.45

1222

TOTAL

1,110,0

1.65

1,830

1068.3

1.88

2006

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

-0.19%

0.65%

0.46%

Wheat








Large Scale Commercial

50.0

5.48

274

64.5

8.5

551

Small Scale Commercial

0.1

0.47

0

0.1

0.7

0

State-Run

3.2

4.24

14

4.2

6.6

28

Resettlement

0.3

3.72

1

0.4

5.8

2

Communal: Irrigated

0.4

1.88

1

0.5

2.9

1

Communal: Total

0.0

n/a

0

0.0

n/a

0

TOTAL

54.0

5.36

290

69.7

8.36

582

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.28%

2.24%

3.55%

Cotton








Large Scale Commercial

42.7

1.88

80

47.5

1.88

89

Small Scale Commercial

7.8

0.53

4

8.6

0.53

5

State-Run

4.3

2.53

11

4.8

2.53

12

Resettlement

17,6

0.86

15

19.6

0.86

17

Communal: Irrigated

0.3

1.94

1

0.4

1.94

1

Communal: Total

197.0

0.70

138

219.3

0.70

154

TOTAL

269.6

0.92

249

300.1

0.92

277

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.54%

0.00%

0.54%

Tobacco








Large Scale Commercial

58.4

2.20

128

62.1

3.37

209

Small Scale Commercial

0.3

0.90

0

0.3

1.38

0

State-Run

0.100

2.42

0

0.106

3.70

0

Resettlement

0.8

1.22

1

0.9

1.86

2

Communal: Irrigated

0.0

2.08

0

0.0

3.18

0

Communal: Total

1.7

0.83

1

1.8

1.26

2

TOTAL

61.3

2.14

131

65.1

3.28

214

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.31%

2.15%

2.46%

Sugar Cane


Large Scale Commercial

32.6

95.01

3093

51.2

131.60

6742

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.29%

1.64%

3.97%

Sorghum








Large Scale Commercial

6.8

2.93

20

6.8

2.93

20

Small Scale Commercial

0.8

0.55

0

0.8

0.55

0

State-Run

0.108

2.06

0

0.108

2.06

0

Resettlement

2.1

0.49

1

2.1

0.49

1

Communal: Irrigated

0.0

1.71

0

0.0

1.71

0

Communal: Total

102.0

0.48

49

102.0

0.48

49

TOTAL

111.9

0.63

71

111.9

0.63

71

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Other








Large Scale Commercial

158.2

2.81

445

158.2

2.81

445

Small Scale Commercial

21.5

0.68

15

20.6

0.68

14

State-Run

3.378

2.14

7

1.946

2.14

4

Resettlement

40.3

0,62

25

38,2

0.62

24

Communal: Irrigated

2.6

4.60

12

2.5

4.60

11

Communal: Total

536.6

0.49

265

514.1

0.49

254

TOTAL

762.5

1.01

769

735.5

1.01

742

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

-0.18%

0.00%

-0.18%

Total







Large Scale Commercial

495.0


4,728.9

495.0


8,548.4

Small Scale Commercial

70.4


87.0

70.4


87.0

State-Run

11.4


34.6

11.4


46.8

Resettlement

142.1


195.6

142.1


250.6

Communal: Irrigated

5.7


25.7

5.7


30.0

Communal: Total

1,677.2


1,360.3

1,677.2


1,680.4

TOTAL

2,401.8


6,432.1

2,401.8


10,643.3

Zimbabwe

Scenario: Moderate Improvement

1990

2010

Crop

Farm Type

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Maize








Large Scale Commercial

146.4

4.70

688

191.0

6.14

1,172

Small Scale Commercial

40.0

1.69

68

52.1

2.21

115

State-Run

0.340

6.91

2

0.444

9.02

4

Resettlement

80.9

1.88

152

105.6

2.46

260

Communal: Irrigated

2.4

5.12

12

3.1

6.69

21

Communal: Total

840.0

1.08

907

1096.2

1.41

1,545

TOTAL

1,110.0

1.65

1,830

1448.5

2.15

3,116

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.34%

1.34%

2.70%

Wheat








Large Scale Commercial

50.0

5.48

274

61.5

6.74

414.4

Small Scale Commercial

0.1

0.47

0

0.1

0.58

0

State-Run

3.2

4.24

14

4.0

5.22

21

Resettlement

0.3

3.72

1

0.4

4.57

2

Communal: Irrigated

0.4

1.88

1

0.4

2.31

1

Communal: Total

0.0

n/a

0

0.0

n/a

0

TOTAL

54.0

5.36

290

66.4

6.60

438

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.04%

1.04%

2.09%

Cotton








Large Scale Commercial

42.7

1.88

80

58.5

2.58

151

Small Scale Commercial

7.8

0.53

4

10.6

0.73

8

State-Run

4.3

2.53

11

5.9

3.47

20

Resettlement

17.6

0.86

15

24.1

1.18

29

Communal: Irrigated

0.3

1.94

1

0.4

2.66

1

Communal: Total

197.0

0.70

138

270.1

0.96

259

TOTAL

269.6

0.92

249

369.6

1.27

468

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.59%

1.59%

3,21%

Tobacco








Large Scale Commercial

58.4

2.20

128

78.5

2.96

232

Small Scale Commercial

0.3

0.90

0.23

0.3

1.21

0.42

State-Run

0.100

2.42

0.24

0.134

3.25

0.44

Resettlement

0.8

1.22

1

1.1

1.64

2

Communal: Irrigated

0.0

2.08

0.08

0.0

2.80

0.14

Communal: Total

1.7

0.83

1

2.2

1,11

2

TOTAL

61.3

2.14

131

82.4

2.88

237

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.49%

1.49%

3.00%

Sugar Cane









Large Scale Commercial

32.6

95.01

3093

40.0

116.8

4678.4

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990




1.04%

1.04%

2.09%

Sorghum Large Scale Commercial

6.8

2.93

20

8.8

3.74

33

Small Scale Commercial

0.8

0.55

0

1.0

0.70

1

State-Run

0.108

2.06

0

0.138

2.63

0

Resettlement

2.1

0.49

1

2.7

0.63

2

Communal: Irrigated

0.0

1.71

0

0.0

2.19

0

Communal: Total

102.0

0,48

49

130.5

0.61

80

TOTAL

111.9

0.63

71

143.2

0.81

116

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.24%

1.24%

2.50%

Other








Large Scale Commercial

158.2

2.81

445

212.6

3.78

804

Small Scale Commercial

21.5

0.68

15

28.9

0.91

26

State-Run

3.378

2,14

7

4.541

2.87

13

Resettlement

40.3

0.62

25

54.2

0.83

45

Communal: Irrigated

2.6

4.60

12

3.5

6.18

22

Communal: Total

536.6

0.49

265

721.2

0.66

479

TOTAL

762.5

1.01

769

1,025.0

1.36

1,389

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.49%

1.49%

3.00%

Total







Large Scale Commercial

495.0


4,728.9

650.9


7,485.0

Small Scale Commercial

70.4


87.0

93.2


150.4

State-Run

11.4


34.6

15.1


58.9

Resettlement

142.1


195.6

188.1


338.2

Communal: Irrigated

5.7


25,7

7.6


44.9

Communal: Total

1,677.2


1,360,3

2,220.3


2,365.5

TOTAL

2,401.8


6,432,1

3,175.1


10,443.0

Zimbabwe

Scenario: Accelerated Growth

1990

2010

Crop

Farm Type

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Maize









Large Scale Commercial

146.4

4.70

688

191.0

6.14

1,172

Small Scale Commercial

40.0

1.69

68

52.1

2.21

115

State-Run

0.3

6.91

2

0.4

9.02

4

Resettlement

80.9

1.88

152

105.6

2.46

260

Communal: Irrigated

2.4

5.12

12

3.1

6,69

21

Communal: Total

840.0

1.08

907

896.2

1.41

1,263

Shift from Comm-Maize to High-Input

200.0

6.14

1,227

TOTAL

1,110.0

1.65

1,830

1448.5

2.80

4,062

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.34%

2.69%

4.07%

Wheat









Large Scale Commercial

50.0

5.48

274

61.5

6,74

414.4

Small Scale Commercial

0.1

0.47

0

0.1

0.58

0

State-Run

3.2

4.24

14

4.0

5.22

21

Resettlement

0.3

3.72

1

0.4

4.57

2

Communal: Irrigated

0.4

1.88

1

0.4

2.31

1

Communal: Total

0.0

n/a

0

0.0

n/a

0

Shift from Comm-Other to High-Input

30.0

6.74

202

TOTAL

54.0

5.36

290

96.4

6.64

640

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.94%

1.07%

4.05%

Cotton









Large Scale Commercial

42.7

1.88

80

58.5

2.58

151

Small Scale Commercial

7.8

0.53

4

10.6

0.73

8

State-Run

4.3

2.53

11

5.9

3.47

20

Resettlement

17.6

0.86

15

24.1

1.18

29

Communal: Irrigated

0.3

1.94

1

0.4

2,66

1

Communal: Total

197.0

0.70

138

220.1

0.96

211

Shift from Comm-Cotton to High-Input

50.0

2.58

129

TOTAL

269.6

0.92

249

369.6

1.49

549

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.59%

2.40%

4.03%

Tobacco









Large Scale Commercial

58.4

2.20

128

78.5

2.96

232

Small Scale Commercial

0.3

0.90

0.23

0.3

1.21

0.42

State-Run

0.100

2.42

0.24

0.134

3.25

0.44

Resettlement

0.8

1.22

1

1.1

1.64

2

Communal: Irrigated

0.0

2.08

0.08

0.0

2.80

0.14

Communal: Total

1.7

0.83

1

2.2

1,11

2

Shift from Comm-Other to High-Input

17.0

2.96

50

TOTAL

61.3

2.14

131

99.4

2.89

288

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.45%

1.51%

4.00%

Sugar Cane




Large Scale Commercial

32.6

95.01

3093

40.0

116.8

4678.4

Shift from Comm-Other to High-Input

18,0

116.8

2103.3

TOTAL

32.6

95.0

3092.9

58.0

116.8

6781.7

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.93%

1.04%

4.00%

Sorghum









Large Scale Commercial

6.8

2.93

20

8.8

3.74

33

Small Scale Commercial

0.8

0.55

0

1.0

0.70

1

State-Run

0.108

2.06

0

0.138

2.63

0

Resettlement

2.1

0.49

1

2.7

0.63

2

Communal: Irrigated

0.0

1.71

0

0.0

2.19

0

Communal: Total

102.0

0.48

49

117.5

0.61

72

Shift from Comm-Sorghum to High-Input

13.0

3.74

49

TOTAL

111.9

0.63

71

143.2

1.09

157

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.24%

2.77%

4.05%

Other








Large Scale Commercial

158.2

2.81

445

212.6

3.78

804

Small Scale Commercial

21.5

0.68

15

28.9

0.91

26

State-Run

3.378

2.14

7

4.5

2.87

13

Resettlement

40.3

0.62

25

54.2

0.83

45

Communal: Irrigated

2.6

4.60

12

3.5

6.18

22

Communal: Total

536.6

0.49

265

546.2

0.66

362

Shift from Comm-Other to High-Input

110.0

3.78

416

TOTAL

762.5

1.01

769

960.0

1.76

1,689

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.16%

2.82%

4.01%

Total

Large Scale Commercial

495.0


4,728.9

650.9


7,485,0

Small Scale Commercial

70.4


87.0

93.2


150.4

Tanzania

Scenario: Reference

1990

2010

Crop

Farm Type

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Tobacco




Small Scale

22.0

0.60

13

22.0

0.60

13

Large Scale

1.0

0.60

1

1.0

0.60

1

TOTAL

23.0

0.60

14

23.0

0.60

14

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0:00%

0.00%

0.00%

Sugar Cane




Small Scale

0.0

0.00

0

-

-

-

Large Scale

15.0

116.30

1,745

15.0

116.30

1,745

TOTAL

15.0

116.30

1,745

15.0

116.30

1,745

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Maize




Small Scale

1,469.0

1.40

2,057

2,710.2

2.21

5,991

Large Scale

23.2

3.00

70

42.8

4.74

203

TOTAL

1,492.2

1.42

2,126

2,753.0

2.25

6,194

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.11%

2.31%

5.49%

Tea




Small Scale

0.0

0.00

0

-

-

-

Large Scale

11.0

1.20

13

11.0

1.20

13

TOTAL

11.0

1.20

13

11.0

1.20

13

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Sisal




Small Scale

0.0

0.00

0

-

-

-

Large Scale

66.0

0.80

53

66.0

0.80

53

TOTAL

66.0

0.80

53

66.0

0.80

53

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Coffee




Small Scale

102,0

0.40

41

102.0

0.40

41

Large Scale

12.0

0.40

5

12.0

0.40

5

TOTAL

114.0

0.40

46

114.0

0.40

46

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Pyrethrum




Small Scale

0.0

0.00

0

-

-


Large Scale

4.0

0.35

1

4.0

0.35

1

TOTAL

4.0

0.35

1

4.0

0.35

1

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Wheat




Small Scale

35.0

1.60

56

35.0

1.60

56

Large Scale

32.0

2.20

7.0

32.0

2.20

70

TOTAL

67.0

1.89

126

67.0

1.89

126

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.00%

0,00%

0.00%

Paddy




Small Scale

339.0

1.90

644

567.0

1.90

1,077

Large Scale

3.0

2.90

9

5.0

2.90

15

TOTAL

342.0

1.91

653

572.0

1.91

1,092

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.60%

0.00%

2.60%

Other




Small Scale

1500.0

n/a

n/a

1,500.0

n/a

n/a

Large Scale

44.0

n/a

n/a

44.0

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

1,544.0

n/a

n/a

1,544.0

n/a

n/a

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.00%



Total



Small Scale

3467.0

n/a

n/a

4936.2

n/a

n/a

Large Scale

211.2

n/a

n/a

232.8

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

3678.2

n/a

n/a

5169.0

n/a

n/a

Tanzania

Scenario: Moderate Improvement

1990

2010

Crop

Farm Type

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Tobacco




Small Scale

22.0

0.60

13

20.1

0.70

14

Large Scale

1.0

0.60

1

0.9

0.70

1

TOTAL

23.0

0.60

14

21.0

0.70

15

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

-0.45%

0.77%

0.32%

Sugar Cane




Small Scale

-

0.00

0

-

0.00

0

Large Scale

15.0

116.30

1,745

35.0

98.00

3,430

TOTAL

15.0

116.30

1,745

35.0

98.00

3,430

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

4.33%

-0.85%

3.44%

Maize




Small Scale

1,469.0

1.40

2,057

3,059.7

1.97

6,013

Large Scale

23.2

3.00

70

48.3

4.21

203

TOTAL

1,492.2

1.42

2,126

3,108.0

2.00

6,216

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.74%

1.71%

5.51%

Tea




Small Scale

-

0.00

0

-

0.00

0

Large Scale

11.0

1.20

13

22.0

1.40

31

TOTAL

11.0

1.20

13

22.0

1.40

31

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.53%

0.77%

4.33%

Sisal




Small Scale

-

0.00

0

-

0.00

0

Large Scale

66.0

0.80

53

55.0

0.80

44

TOTAL

66.0

0.80

53

55.0

0.80

44

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

-0.91%

0.00%

-0.91%

Coffee




Small Scale

102.0

0.40

41

106.5

0.50

53

Large Scale

12.0

0.40

5

12.5

0.50

6

TOTAL

114.0

0.40

46

119.0

0.50

60

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.21%

1.12%

1.34%

Pyrethrum




Small Scale

-

0.00

0

-

0.00

0

Large Scale

4.0

0.35

1

4,0

0.35

1

TOTAL

4.0

0.35

1

4.0

0.35

1

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Wheat




Small Scale

35.0

1.60

56

47.0

1.70

80

Large Scale

32.0

2.20

70

43.0

2.33

100

TOTAL

67.0

1.89

126

90.0

2.00

180

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.49%

0.29%

1.78%

Paddy




Small Scale

339.0

1.90

644

675.0

2.59

1,747

Large Scale

3.0

2.90

9

6.0

3.95

24

TOTAL

342.0

1.91

653

681.0

2.60

1,771

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.50%

1.56%

5.12%

Other




Small Scale

1,500.0

n/a

n/a

2,355.0

n/a

n/a

Large Scale

44.0

n/a

n/a

69.1

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

1,544.0

n/a

n/a

2,424.1

n/a

n/a

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.28%



Total




Small Scale

3,467.0

n/a

n/a

6,263.3

n/a

n/a

Large Scale

211.2

n/a

n/a

295.8

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

3,678.2

n/a

n/a

6,559.1

n/a

n/a

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.93%



Tanzania

Scenario: Accelerated Growth

1990

2010

Crop

Farm Type

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
(
'000 T)

Area
(
'000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Tobacco




Small Scale

22.0

0.60

13

20.1

0.70

14

Large Scale

1.0

0.60

1

23.0

0.70

16

TOTAL

23.0

0.60

14

43.1

0.70

30

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.19%

0.77%

3.99%

Sugar Cane




Small Scale

-

0.00

0

-

0.00

0

Large Scale

15.0

116.30

1,745

39.0

98.00

3,822

TOTAL

15.0

116.30

1,745

39.0

98.00

3,822

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

4.89%

-0.85%

4.00%

Maize




Small Scale

1,469.0

1,40

2,057

2,276.9

1.97

4,474

Large Scale

23.2

3,00

70

831.1

4.21

3,500

TOTAL

1,492.2

1.42

2,126

3,108.0

2.00

7,974

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.74%

1.71%

6.83%

Tea




Small Scale

-

0.00

0

-

0.00

0

Large Scale

11.0

1.20

13

22.0

1.40

31

TOTAL

11.0

1.20

13

22.0

1.40

31

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.53%

0.77%

4.33%

Sisal




Small Scale


0.00

0


0.00

0

Large Scale

66.0

0.80

53

145.0

0.80

116

TOTAL

66.0

0.80

53

145.0

0.80

116

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

4.01%

0.00%

4.01%

Coffee




Small Scale

102.0

0.40

41

106.5

0.50

53

Large Scale

12.0

0.40

5

94.0

0.50

47

TOTAL

114.0

0.40

46

200.5

0.50

100

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.86%

1.12%

4.02%

Pyrethrum




Small Scale

-

0.00

0

-

0.00

0

Large Scale

4.0

0.35

1

9.0

0.35

3

TOTAL

4.0

0.35

1

9.0

0.35

3

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

4.14%

0.00%

4.14%

Wheat




Small Scale

35.0

1.60

56

47.0

1.70

80

Large Scale

32.0

2.20

70

85.0

2.33

198

TOTAL

67.0

1.89

126

132.0

2.00

278

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.45%

0.29%

4.02%

Paddy




Small Scale

339.0

1.90

644

675.0

2.59

1,747

Large Scale

3.0

2.90

9

6.0

3.95

24

TOTAL

342.0

1.91

653

681.0

2.60

1,771

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.50%

1.56%

5.12%

Other




Small Scale

1,500.0

n/a

n/a

2,355.0

n/a

n/a

Large Scale

44.0

n/a

n/a

69.1

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

1,544,0

n/a

n/a

2,424.1

n/a

n/a

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.28%



Total




Small Scale

3,467.0

n/a

n/a

5,480.5

n/a

n/a

Large Scale

211.2

n/a

n/a

1,323.2

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

3,678.2

n/a

n/a

6,803.7

n/a

n/a

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.12%



Sudan

Scenario: Reference

1990

2010

Crop

Farm Type

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Sorghum





Irrigated

652

1.50

975

1,053

1.50

1,580

Rainfed Mechanized

2,860

0.50

1,430

4,618

0.30

1,385

Traditional

1,094

0.30

328

1,766

0.18

318

TOTAL

4,606

0.59

2,736

7,437

0.44

3283

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2,42%

-1.47%

0.91%

Wheat





Irrigated

178

1.39

247

195

1.39

271

Rainfed Mechanized

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

Traditional

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

TOTAL

178

1.39

247

195

1.39

271

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.46%

0.00%

0.46%

Groundnuts





Irrigated

140

1.80

252

151

1.80

272

Rainfed Mechanized

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

Traditional

439

0.40

176

477

0.30

143

TOTAL

579

0.74

428

628

0,66

415

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.41%

-0.56%

-0.15%

Sesame





Irrigated

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

Rainfed Mechanized

545

0.18

98

671

0.15

101

Traditional

354

0.12

42

436

0.10

44

TOTAL

899

0.16

141

1,107

0.13

144

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.05%

-0.91%

0.13%

Sunflower




Irrigated

0

0.00

0

42

0.58

24

Rainfed Mechanized

71

0.29

21

127

0.29

37

TOTAL

71

0.29

21

169

0.36

61

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

4.43%

1.12%

5.60%

Sugar Cane



Irrigated

78

54.90

4,282

165

40.00

6,600

TOTAL

78

54.90

4,282

165

40.00

6,600

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.82%

-1.57%

2.19%

Cotton




Irrigated

311

1.43

445

85

1.70

145

Rainfed Mechanized

9

0.30

3

3

0.30

1

TOTAL

320

1.40

447

88

1.65

145

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

-6.25%

0.84%

-5.47%

Millet





Irrigated

2

0.70

1

2

0.70

1

Rainfed Mechanized

53

0.40

21

76

0.40

30

Traditional

1,526

0.10

153

2,175

0.10

218

TOTAL

1,581

0.11

175

2,253

0.11

249

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.79%

-0.01%

1.78%

Total




Irrigated

1,361

4.56

6,206

1,693

5.25

8,893

Rainfed Mechanized

3,538

0.44

1,573

5,495

0.28

1,554

Traditional

3,413

0.20

699

4,854

0.15

722

TOTAL

8,312

1.02

8,477

12,042

0.93

11169

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.87%

-0.47%

1.39%

Sudan

Scenario: Moderate Improvement

1990

2010

Crop

Farm Type

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Sorghum





Irrigated

652

1.50

578

375

2.10

758

Rainfed Mechanized

2,860

0.50

1,430

4,478

0.80

3,582

Traditional

1,094

0.30

328

1,742

0.60

1,045

TOTAL

4,606

0.59

2736

6,595

0.82

5415

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.81%

1.63%

3.47%

Wheat





Irrigated

178

1.39

247

330

2.40

792

Rainfed Mechanized

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

Traditional

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

TOTAL

178

1.39

247

330

2.40

792

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.13%

2.77%

5.99%

Groundnuts





Irrigated

140

1.80

252

286

1.60

458

Rainfed Mechanized

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

Traditional

439

0.40

176

426

0.70

298

TOTAL

579

0.74

428

712

1.06

756

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.04%

1.83%

2.89%

Sesame





Irrigated

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

Rainfed Mechanized

545

0.18

98

360

0.60

216

Traditional

354

0.12

42

168

0.40

67

TOTAL

899

0.16

141

528

0.54

283

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

-2.63%

6.36%

3.56%

Sunflower




Irrigated

0

0.00

0

42

0.60

25

Rainfed Mechanized

71

0.29

21

78

0.40

31

TOTAL

71

0.29

21

120

0.47

56

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.66%

2.44%

5.17%

Sugar Cane



Irrigated

78

54.90

4,282

99

80.80

7,999

TOTAL

78

54.90

4,282

99

80.80

7,999

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.20%

1.95%

3.17%

Cotton




Irrigated

311

1.43

445

344

2.00

688

Rainfed Mechanized

9

0.30

3

136

0.60

82

TOTAL

320

1,40

447

480

1.60

770

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.05%

0.69%

2.75%

Millet





Irrigated

2

0.70

1

0

0.00

0

Rainfed Mechanized

53

0.40

21

37

0.80

30

Traditional

1,526

0.10

153

1,100

0.50

550

TOTAL

1,581

0,11

175

1,137

0.51

580

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

-1.63%

7.93%

6.16%

Total





Irrigated

1,361

4.56

6,206

1,476

7.28

10,750

Rainfed Mechanized

3,538

0.44

1,573

5,089

0.77

3,941

Traditional

3,413

0.20

699

3,436

0.56

1,910

TOTAL

8,312

1.02

8,477

10,001

1.66

16601

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

0.93%

2.47%

3.42%

Sudan

Scenario: Accelerated Growth

1990

2010

Crop

Farm Type ('C

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Area
('000 Ha)

Yield
(T/Ha)

Production
('000 T)

Sorghum





Irrigated

652

1.50

978

752

2.10

1,579

Rainfed Mechanized

2,860

0.50

1,430

4,478

0.80

3,582

Traditional

1,094

0.30

328

1,365

0.60

819

TOTAL

4,606

0.59

2736

6,595

0.91

5981

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.81%

2.14%

3.99%

Wheat





Irrigated

178

1.39

247

330

2.40

792

Rainfed Mechanized

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

Traditional

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

TOTAL

178

1.39

247

330

2.40

792

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.13%

2.77%

5.99%

Groundnuts





Irrigated

140

1.80

252

486

1.60

778

Rainfed Mechanized

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

Traditional

439

0.40

176

226

0.70

158

TOTAL

579

0.74

428

712

1.31

936

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.04%

2.92%

3.99%

Sesame





Irrigated

0

0.00

0

0

0.00

0

Rainfed Mechanized

545

0.18

98

400

0.60

240

Traditional

354

0.12

42

168

0.40

67

TOTAL

899

0.16

141

568

0.54

307

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

-2.27%

6.40%

3.99%

Sunflower




Irrigated

0

0.00

0

42

0.60

25

Rainfed Mechanized

71

0.29

21

78

0.40

31

TOTAL

71

0.29

21

120

0.47

56

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.66%

2,44%

5.17%

Sugar Cane



Irrigated

78

54.90

4,282

120

80.80

9,696

TOTAL

78

54.90

4,282

120

80.80

9,696

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

2.18%

1.95%

4.17%

Cotton




Irrigated

311

1.43

445

450

2.00

900

Rainfed Mechanized

9

0,30

3

136

0.60

82

TOTAL

320

1.40

447

586

1.68

982

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

3.07%

0.91%

4.01%

Millet





Irrigated

2

0.70

1

0

0.00

0

Rainfed Mechanized

53

0.40

21

37

0.80

30

Traditional

1,526

0.10

153

1,100

0.50

550

TOTAL

1,581

0.11

175

1,137

0,51

580

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

-1.63%

7.93%

6.16%

Total





Irrigated

1,361

4.56

6,206

2,180

6.32

13,770

Rainfed Mechanized

3,538

0.44

1,573

5,129

0.77

3,965

Traditional

3,413

0.20

699

2,859

0.56

1,594

TOTAL

8,312

1.02

8,477

10,168

1.90

19329

Average Annual Growth Rates From 1990

1.01%

3.16%

4.21%



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