FAO/GIEWS - Foodcrops & Shortages No.4, September/October 2000

NORTHERN AFRICA

ALGERIA (19 September)

The 2000 cereal crop is estimated at 1.1 million tonnes, some 35 percent below the 1999 output which was already below average, as a result of inadequate rainfall during the growing period. Wheat production is estimated at about 750 000 tonnes. This is much below average and some 37 percent below the 1999 output. The barley crop is also less than half of the five year average. Imports of cereals, mostly wheat, are forecast to increase to about 7 million tonnes for the 2000/01 (July/June) marketing year.

EGYPT (19 September)

Cereal production in 2000 is estimated at about 19 million tonnes, slightly over the 1999 above-average crop. The wheat crop is estimated at about 6.7 million tonnes, some 5 percent over the 1999 harvest. Coarse grain production is expected to decrease to 6.3 million tonnes compared to 6.8 million tonnes last year. The 2000 paddy crop is growing under generally normal conditions. Area planted to rice is estimated at about 660 000 hectares, which is slightly above last year's level. Production is anticipated to reach 6 million tonnes, compared to 5.8 million in 1999.

Imports of wheat in 2000/01 (July/June) are forecast at 6.8 million tonnes and coarse grains, mostly maize, at 4.2 million tonnes.

MOROCCO (19 September)

Cereal production in 2000 is estimated at about 2 million tonnes, which is only 53 percent of last year's below average crop, as a result of inadequate rainfall and high temperature during the growing season. The wheat crop is estimated at about 1.35 million tonnes, some 37 percent below the 1999 reduced output. Production of coarse grains, at 639 000 tonnes, is 62 percent below the 1999 level.

Imports of wheat in 2000/01 (July/June) are forecast at 3.2 million tonnes while coarse grain imports are estimated at 2.1 million tonnes.

TUNISIA (19 September)

The output of the 2000 cereal crop is estimated at about one million tonnes, some 45 percent lower than last year, as a result of inadequate rainfall during the growing period. Wheat production is put at 795 000 tonnes, compared to 1.4 million tonnes in 1999, while barley output dropped to 200 000 tonnes, about half of the previous year's level.

Imports of cereals in 2000/01 (July/June), mostly wheat and maize, are forecast at about 1.8 million tonnes.


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