FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2001 MALI 28

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MALI

Area:
1 220 000 sq.km
Climate:
From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; rainy season: May-October
Population:
10.45 million (2001 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$240 (1999)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked Sahelian country
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season; river transport important; rail link to Dakar (Senegal)
Major foodcrops:
Millet, sorghum, rice, maize
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
75 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Seasonably dry conditions prevail. Off season crops production is underway. A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission estimated the 2000 cereal production at 2 386 300 tonnes. This is 17.5 percent below last year's record (2 893 600 tonnes) but is very close to the average of the last five years. Desert Locusts were reported in December in the northern Adrar des Iforas near Tadjilit, Amsir, and In-Tillit. Low numbers of adults are likely to persist in a few wadis of the Adrar des Iforas and perhaps in the Timetrine area. Some of these could move northwards during periods of warm southerly winds.

Following two successive bumper crops in 1998 and 1999, farmers stocks have been replenished. They were estimated by the national statistical service at 520 000 tonnes just before 2000 harvest. The national security stock is also at its recommended level of 35 000 tonnes (plus 25 000 tonnes in the form of "financial" security stock). Therefore, the overall food situation is satisfactory. However, some areas may be at risk of food shortages following poor harvests, notably in Mopti, Gao, Kidal, Tombouctou and northern Ségou regions. The SAP (national early warning system) classified 400 000 persons as at risk of "food difficulties" in the "cercles" of Douentza, Mopti, Bandiagaraand Youvarou in Mopti region, Niafunké and Gourma-Rharous in Tombouctou region, Gao, Ansongo, Bourem and Ménaka in Gao region and in Kidal and Abéïbara in Kidal region. It recommended the distribution of 10 790 tonnes millet and sorghum to these populations during 3 months.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000/01 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Previous five years average production 5 625 1 767 2 397
Previous five years average imports 47 59 5 111
2000/01 Domestic Availability 10 507 1 841 2 358
2000 Production (rice in paddy terms) 10 745 1 631 2 386
2000 Production (rice in milled terms) 10 507 1 631 2 148
Possible stock drawdown - - 210 210
2000/01 Utilization 60 547 1 841 2 448
Food Use 59 400 1 581 2 040
of which: local purchase requirement - - 10 10
Non-food use 1 97 248 346
Exports or Re-exports - 50 12 62
Possible stock build up - - - -
2000/01 Import Requirement 50 40 - 90
Anticipated commercial imports 40 40 - 80
Food aid needs 10 - - 10
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - 1 1 2
of which: Delivered - 1 1 2
Donor-financed purchases - - 2 2
of which: for local use - - 2 2
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 6 38 151 195
Indexes        
2000 production as % of average:       100
2000/01 import requirement as % of average:       81


FAO/GIEWS - April 2001

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