DAIRY: PROJECTIONS TO 2010
|
PRODUCTION |
TOTAL CONSUMPTION |
PER CAPUT |
IMPORTS |
EXPORTS |
| Base Year |
Projected |
Growth Rates |
|
Base Year |
Projected |
Growth Rates |
|
Base Year |
Projected |
|
Base Year |
Projected |
Growth Rates |
|
Base Year |
Projected |
Growth Rates |
|
| Period 1/ |
2010 |
92-99 |
99-2010 |
|
Period 1/ |
2010 |
92-99 |
99-2010 |
|
Period 1/ |
2010 |
|
Period 1/ |
2010 |
92-99 |
99-2010 |
|
Period 1/ |
2010 |
92-99 |
99-2010 |
|
| (..000 tonnes..) |
(.% per year..) |
|
(..000 tonnes..) |
(.% per year..) |
|
(...Kg/person...) |
|
(..000 tonnes..) |
(.% per year..) |
|
(..000 tonnes..) |
(.% per year..) |
|
|
| WORLD |
565845.0 |
665219.0 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
|
565844.0 |
665071.0 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
|
79.1 |
84.7 |
|
39491.0 |
51079.0 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
|
40908.0 |
51228.0 |
3.3 |
2.1 |
|
|
|
| DEVELOPING |
222785.0 |
293242.0 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
|
243198.0 |
319648.0 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
|
45.8 |
53.3 |
|
24195.0 |
33919.0 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
|
3782.0 |
7514.0 |
15.1 |
6.4 |
|
|
|
| AFRICA |
23219.0 |
28270.0 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
|
28292.0 |
35133.0 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
|
34.1 |
33.4 |
|
5242.0 |
7060.0 |
1.5 |
2.7 |
|
169.0 |
197.0 |
8.3 |
1.4 |
|
| N.AFRICA |
7215.0 |
8865.0 |
5.1 |
1.9 |
|
9928.0 |
12345.0 |
3.4 |
2.0 |
|
63.8 |
67.4 |
|
2783.0 |
3551.0 |
-0.0 |
2.2 |
|
70.0 |
70.0 |
19.1 |
-0.0 |
|
| Algeria |
1383.0 |
1738.0 |
5.1 |
2.1 |
|
3357.0 |
3844.0 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
|
109.1 |
100.4 |
|
1975.0 |
2108.0 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
|
| Egypt |
3642.0 |
4445.0 |
5.5 |
1.8 |
|
4046.0 |
5194.0 |
5.3 |
2.3 |
|
50.6 |
57.0 |
|
434.0 |
779.0 |
4.7 |
5.5 |
|
30.0 |
30.0 |
14.7 |
-0.0 |
|
| Morocco |
1170.0 |
1232.0 |
2.7 |
0.5 |
|
1247.0 |
1603.0 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
|
34.6 |
39.9 |
|
113.0 |
407.0 |
-2.2 |
12.4 |
|
36.0 |
36.0 |
132.2 |
0.0 |
|
| SUB-SAHARA |
16004.0 |
19405.0 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
|
18364.0 |
22788.0 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
|
27.6 |
26.5 |
|
2459.4 |
3510.0 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
|
99.0 |
127.0 |
3.8 |
2.3 |
|
| Kenya |
2460.0 |
3057.0 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
|
2486.0 |
3174.0 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
|
83.5 |
89.6 |
|
29.0 |
120.0 |
-7.8 |
-3.6 |
|
3.0 |
3.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Mali |
470.0 |
571.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
|
510.0 |
598.0 |
8.4 |
2.4 |
|
46.6 |
41.1 |
|
40.0 |
27.0 |
13.1 |
2.6 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
27.0 |
-0.1 |
|
| Nigeria |
380.0 |
458.0 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
|
1439.0 |
1859.0 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
|
12.5 |
12.7 |
|
1061.0 |
1402.0 |
2.3 |
13.9 |
|
1.0 |
1.0 |
-26.9 |
-0.1 |
|
| Zimbabwe |
297.0 |
366.0 |
-4.4 |
1.9 |
|
247.0 |
290.0 |
-5.4 |
1.4 |
|
20.0 |
21.5 |
|
15.0 |
16.0 |
26.8 |
0.4 |
|
65.0 |
93.0 |
5.5 |
3.4 |
|
|
| LATIN AM. & CARIB. |
57112.0 |
75879.0 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
|
62326.0 |
80670.0 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
|
110.9 |
127.2 |
|
7835.0 |
10400.0 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
|
2620.0 |
5609.0 |
22.2 |
7.2 |
|
| CENT. AMERICA |
11154.0 |
13532.0 |
3.0 |
1.8 |
|
13881.0 |
18253.0 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
|
95.4 |
108.4 |
|
2944.0 |
4978.0 |
1.1 |
4.9 |
|
216.0 |
257.0 |
22.7 |
1.6 |
|
| Costa Rica |
642.0 |
791.0 |
4.7 |
1.9 |
|
643.0 |
755.0 |
5.1 |
1.5 |
|
158.1 |
162.7 |
|
25.0 |
30.9 |
10.4 |
2.0 |
|
24.0 |
68.0 |
0.2 |
9.8 |
|
| Mexico |
8820.0 |
10491.0 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
|
11112.0 |
14670.0 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
|
101.7 |
119.8 |
|
2397.0 |
4284.0 |
0.1 |
5.4 |
|
105.0 |
105.0 |
31.4 |
-0.0 |
|
| CARIBBEAN |
1522.0 |
1602.0 |
-0.2 |
0.5 |
|
2512.0 |
2824.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
|
59.1 |
70.8 |
|
1001.0 |
1236.0 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
|
11.0 |
14.0 |
-14.4 |
1.9 |
|
| S. AMERICA |
44436.0 |
60744.0 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
|
45933.0 |
59593.0 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
|
122.3 |
140.3 |
|
3890.0 |
4187.0 |
7.9 |
0.7 |
|
2393.0 |
5337.0 |
23.1 |
7.6 |
|
| Argentina |
10380.0 |
12964.0 |
6.4 |
2.0 |
|
8882.0 |
9226.0 |
3.9 |
0.4 |
|
229.8 |
210.0 |
|
104.0 |
105.0 |
-14.2 |
0.1 |
|
1602.0 |
3843.0 |
33.2 |
8.3 |
|
| Brazil |
19673.0 |
29129.0 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
|
21743.0 |
30961.0 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
|
121.6 |
155.2 |
|
2088.0 |
1849.0 |
17.1 |
-1.1 |
|
18.0 |
18.0 |
-15.9 |
-0.0 |
|
| Chile |
2070.0 |
3327.0 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
|
2151.0 |
2918.0 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
|
118.3 |
150.1 |
|
178.0 |
85.0 |
-1.5 |
-6.6 |
|
98.0 |
493.0 |
21.3 |
15.8 |
|
| Colombia |
5726.0 |
7570.0 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
|
5805.0 |
7623.0 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
|
121.9 |
138.7 |
|
127.0 |
101.0 |
13.5 |
-2.0 |
|
48.0 |
48.0 |
47.1 |
-0.0 |
|
| Uruguay |
1475.0 |
1881.0 |
4.8 |
2.2 |
|
882.0 |
980.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
200.1 |
219.4 |
|
9.0 |
9.0 |
22.3 |
0.3 |
|
602.0 |
910.0 |
14.3 |
3.8 |
|
| Venezuela |
1354.0 |
1356.0 |
-2.4 |
0.0 |
|
2026.0 |
2355.0 |
-0.7 |
1.4 |
|
85.3 |
81.9 |
|
677.0 |
1005.0 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
|
6.0 |
6.0 |
8.6 |
-0.0 |
|
|
| ASIA |
142386.0 |
189003.0 |
4.4 |
2.6 |
|
152407.0 |
203608.0 |
4.3 |
2.7 |
|
38.8 |
47.3 |
|
11013.0 |
16311.0 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
|
992.0 |
1706.0 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
|
| NEAR EAST |
21495.0 |
24404.0 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
|
24077.0 |
27521.0 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
|
80.7 |
76.6 |
|
2801.0 |
3430.0 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
|
220.0 |
313.0 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
|
| Iran, Islamic Rep. |
5391.0 |
6811.0 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
|
5442.0 |
6860.0 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
|
56.6 |
71.5 |
|
52.0 |
52.0 |
-28.0 |
-0.1 |
|
2.0 |
2.0 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
|
| Saudi Arabia |
825.0 |
984.0 |
6.8 |
1.6 |
|
1737.0 |
1998.0 |
6.2 |
1.3 |
|
83.1 |
69.4 |
|
1046.0 |
1148.0 |
5.9 |
0.9 |
|
135.0 |
133.0 |
7.1 |
-0.1 |
|
| Turkey |
9908.0 |
10526.0 |
-0.6 |
0.6 |
|
9987.0 |
10649.0 |
-0.6 |
0.6 |
|
130.4 |
121.0 |
|
101.0 |
122.0 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
|
21.0 |
0.0 |
9.5 |
0.0 |
|
| S. ASIA |
105402.0 |
142597.0 |
4.8 |
2.8 |
|
106317.0 |
142920.0 |
4.8 |
2.7 |
|
70.6 |
83.9 |
|
974.0 |
1007.0 |
5.2 |
0.3 |
|
59.0 |
685.0 |
16.8 |
25.0 |
|
| India |
75903.0 |
102728.0 |
4.3 |
2.8 |
|
75869.0 |
102077.0 |
4.3 |
2.7 |
|
65.6 |
79.8 |
|
23.0 |
32.0 |
-6.4 |
3.0 |
|
58.0 |
684.0 |
21.6 |
25.2 |
|
| Pakistan |
25949.0 |
35003.0 |
6.9 |
2.8 |
|
26087.0 |
35117.0 |
6.9 |
2.7 |
|
158.4 |
168.0 |
|
138.0 |
113.0 |
4.4 |
-1.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
-44.1 |
-0.5 |
|
| S.E. ASIA |
15489.0 |
22002.0 |
4.2 |
3.2 |
|
22013.0 |
33167.0 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
|
10.5 |
15.0 |
|
7238.0 |
11873.0 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
|
714.0 |
709.0 |
6.3 |
-0.1 |
|
| China |
10514.0 |
15597.0 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
|
10820.0 |
16876.0 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
|
7.9 |
11.7 |
|
475.0 |
1447.0 |
13.8 |
10.7 |
|
170.0 |
169.0 |
18.0 |
-0.0 |
|
| Korea Rep. |
2167.0 |
2545.0 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
|
2395.0 |
3506.0 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
|
26.9 |
50.6 |
|
224.0 |
966.0 |
2.4 |
14.2 |
|
5.0 |
5.0 |
35.1 |
-0.0 |
|
| Malaysia |
48.0 |
77.0 |
2.5 |
4.5 |
|
1140.0 |
1583.0 |
1.5 |
3.0 |
|
48.2 |
57.5 |
|
1215.0 |
1628.0 |
1.5 |
2.7 |
|
122.0 |
122.0 |
2.1 |
-0.1 |
|
| Thailand |
432.0 |
696.0 |
16.2 |
4.4 |
|
1348.0 |
2252.0 |
6.7 |
4.8 |
|
22.0 |
33.7 |
|
998.0 |
1639.0 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
|
83.0 |
83.0 |
9.2 |
-0.0 |
|
|
| OCEANIA |
68.0 |
91.0 |
-1.1 |
2.7 |
|
172.0 |
237.0 |
0.9 |
2.9 |
|
17.2 |
18.6 |
|
105.0 |
148.0 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
|
0.3 |
2.0 |
-4.5 |
17.6 |
|
|
|
| DEVELOPED |
247024.0 |
267281.0 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
228112.0 |
241393.0 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
216.5 |
228.0 |
|
10974.0 |
11512.0 |
2.5 |
0.4 |
|
31302.0 |
37399.0 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
|
|
| N. AMERICA |
81183.0 |
90611.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
83578.0 |
92588.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
254.0 |
264.6 |
|
5397.0 |
5178.0 |
1.3 |
-0.4 |
|
3002.0 |
3200.0 |
5.5 |
0.6 |
|
| Canada |
8176.0 |
8601.0 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
|
7701.0 |
7920.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
204.5 |
212.8 |
|
382.0 |
386.0 |
2.1 |
0.1 |
|
857.0 |
1067.0 |
6.9 |
2.0 |
|
| USA |
73007.0 |
82009.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
|
75877.0 |
84668.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
260.0 |
272.8 |
|
5015.0 |
4792.0 |
1.2 |
-0.4 |
|
2145.0 |
2133.0 |
5.0 |
-0.1 |
|
|
| W. EUROPE |
132072.0 |
130674.0 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
|
122480.0 |
126091.0 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
251.0 |
264.8 |
|
2765.0 |
2859.0 |
7.6 |
0.3 |
|
12356.0 |
7442.0 |
-1.9 |
-4.5 |
|
| EU15 |
126190.0 |
125183.0 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
|
117149.0 |
120454.0 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
250.2 |
264.1 |
|
2276.0 |
2295.0 |
9.5 |
0.1 |
|
11317.0 |
7024.0 |
-1.9 |
-4.2 |
|
| Switzerland |
3876.0 |
3558.0 |
-0.2 |
-0.8 |
|
3466.0 |
3628.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
|
287.7 |
297.4 |
|
403.0 |
447.0 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
|
814.0 |
377.0 |
-0.9 |
-6.8 |
|
|
| OCEANIA |
21276.0 |
32644.0 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
|
7498.0 |
7062.0 |
1.9 |
-0.5 |
|
237.7 |
269.3 |
|
455.0 |
470.0 |
8.1 |
0.3 |
|
15651.0 |
26052.0 |
7.1 |
4.7 |
|
| Australia |
10229.0 |
16172.0 |
5.5 |
4.3 |
|
4729.0 |
5732.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
|
239.6 |
272.4 |
|
405.0 |
430.0 |
7.4 |
0.5 |
|
5905.0 |
10869.0 |
11.9 |
5.7 |
|
| New Zealand |
11047.0 |
16472.0 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
|
2769.0 |
1330.0 |
4.9 |
-6.5 |
|
228.1 |
253.4 |
|
50.0 |
40.0 |
15.7 |
-2.0 |
|
9746.0 |
15183.0 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
|
|
| OTHER |
12492.0 |
13352.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
|
14556.0 |
15653.0 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
|
74.0 |
78.4 |
|
2357.0 |
3006.0 |
-0.1 |
2.2 |
|
294.0 |
705.0 |
2.6 |
8.3 |
|
| Japan |
8497.0 |
8530.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
10634.0 |
11265.0 |
-0.1 |
0.5 |
|
71.0 |
75.6 |
|
2148.0 |
2746.0 |
-0.4 |
2.3 |
|
11.0 |
11.0 |
35.9 |
-0.1 |
|
| South Africa |
2767.0 |
3294.0 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
|
2598.0 |
2715.0 |
2.1 |
0.4 |
|
62.8 |
63.0 |
|
100.0 |
101.0 |
-2.0 |
0.1 |
|
268.0 |
680.0 |
3.0 |
8.8 |
|
|
|
| TRANSITIONAL |
96036.0 |
104696.0 |
-3.5 |
0.8 |
|
94534.0 |
104029.0 |
-3.3 |
0.9 |
|
164.5 |
184.3 |
|
4322.0 |
5648.0 |
10.9 |
2.5 |
|
5824.0 |
6315.0 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
|
|
| E. EUROPE |
29848.0 |
32176.0 |
-1.5 |
0.7 |
|
28629.0 |
30488.0 |
-0.8 |
0.6 |
|
192.1 |
212.6 |
|
1745.0 |
1734.0 |
8.2 |
-0.1 |
|
2965.0 |
3422.0 |
-3.9 |
1.3 |
|
| Hungary |
2142.0 |
2293.0 |
-1.2 |
0.6 |
|
2052.0 |
2251.0 |
-0.6 |
0.8 |
|
175.5 |
211.3 |
|
173.0 |
178.0 |
12.8 |
0.3 |
|
262.0 |
220.0 |
-0.3 |
-1.6 |
|
| Poland |
12381.0 |
13867.0 |
-1.1 |
1.0 |
|
11240.0 |
12176.0 |
-0.7 |
0.7 |
|
199.8 |
228.8 |
|
590.0 |
604.0 |
14.9 |
0.2 |
|
1731.0 |
2296.0 |
-1.0 |
2.6 |
|
| Romania |
4791.0 |
4896.0 |
2.6 |
0.2 |
|
4860.0 |
4908.0 |
2.7 |
0.1 |
|
199.3 |
210.1 |
|
77.0 |
20.0 |
1.7 |
-11.5 |
|
8.0 |
8.0 |
-11.4 |
-0.0 |
|
| Czech R |
2746.0 |
3020.0 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
|
2365.0 |
2644.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
|
202.5 |
243.2 |
|
134.0 |
139.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
|
515.0 |
515.0 |
0.0 |
-0.0 |
|
|
| CIS |
62893.0 |
68954.0 |
-4.3 |
0.8 |
|
63408.0 |
70970.0 |
-4.2 |
1.0 |
|
152.8 |
172.2 |
|
2290.0 |
3624.0 |
11.8 |
4.3 |
|
1774.0 |
1608.0 |
17.8 |
-0.9 |
|
| Belarus |
4905.0 |
5072.0 |
-2.2 |
0.3 |
|
4466.0 |
4716.0 |
-3.2 |
0.5 |
|
223.9 |
229.5 |
|
25.0 |
26.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
|
464.0 |
382.0 |
23.1 |
-1.8 |
|
| Russian Fed. |
32600.0 |
35589.0 |
-5.1 |
0.8 |
|
33651.0 |
37667.0 |
-4.8 |
1.0 |
|
152.3 |
181.4 |
|
1986.0 |
3003.0 |
13.0 |
3.8 |
|
935.0 |
925.0 |
15.0 |
-0.1 |
|
| Ukraine |
13493.0 |
15243.0 |
-4.6 |
1.1 |
|
13201.0 |
14998.0 |
-4.8 |
1.2 |
|
162.8 |
184.4 |
|
47.0 |
0.0 |
50.3 |
0.0 |
|
339.0 |
246.0 |
19.3 |
-2.9 |
|
|
| BALTIC |
3295.0 |
3566.0 |
-4.1 |
0.7 |
|
2497.0 |
2571.0 |
-5.8 |
0.3 |
|
160.5 |
189.5 |
|
287.0 |
289.0 |
33.9 |
0.1 |
|
1085.0 |
1284.0 |
6.9 |
1.6 |
|
|
| LIFDC |
158058.0 |
207021.0 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
|
167469.0 |
221078.0 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
|
39.1 |
45.7 |
|
10344.0 |
15625.0 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
|
932.0 |
1568.0 |
7.9 |
4.8 |
|
| LDC |
18529.0 |
22497.0 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
|
20093.0 |
24910.0 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
|
27.3 |
26.6 |
|
1585.0 |
2434.0 |
-0.4 |
4.0 |
|
20.0 |
22.0 |
4.3 |
0.5 |
|
| NFIDC |
38585.0 |
50274.0 |
5.3 |
2.4 |
|
42204.0 |
55379.0 |
5.1 |
2.5 |
|
97.7 |
107.0 |
|
3722.0 |
5207.0 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
|
103.0 |
103.0 |
1.5 |
-0.0 |
|
| 1/ 1998-2000 Average |