Appendix 3: supplementary tables for Chapter 4

Content

Table A3.1. Population forecast
Table A3.2. Livestock population
Table A3.3. Human development Index
Table A3.4. Sector shares of gross domestic product
Table A3.5. Past gross domestic product
Table A3.6. GDP during the current five year plan period

Table A3.7. Expected rates of growth of GDP and population Table A3.1 Population forecast

Government predictions of population for the current (VIII) and next two five year plan (IX and X) periods, assuming declining population growth rates as indicated against each year.

Year	Population (million)	Growth Rate (%)
1997	0.619	2.92
1998	0.636	2.83
1999	0.654	2.74
2000	0.672	2.65
2001	0.689	2.56
2002	0.725	2.43
2003	0.742	2.35
2004	0.759	2.26
2005	0.775	2.17
2006	0.792	2.08
2007	0.808	1.99
2008	0.823	1.91
2009	0.838	1.82
2010	0.853	1.73
2011	0.867	1.63

(Source: VIII FYP)

Table A3.2 Livestock population

Livestock	1985	1986	1987	1988	1989	1990	1991	1992
	1 000
Cattle	347.4	340.3	357.0	357.4	349.9	358.6	335.5	310.0
Yak	31.3	35.7	30.1	35.6	37.1	33.0	31.5	30.2
Buffalo	n.a	n.a	5.2	4.3	4.7	4.3	2.6	0.9
Sheep	52.3	43.8	36.4	46.6	47.8	45.2	36.0	31.0
Goat	n.a	n.a	40.9	36.7	32.5	36.6	25.1	14.5
Horse	n.a	23.6	26.0	25.7	26.1	25.1	25.2	25.3

(Source: Wangchuk, 1998)

Table A3.3 Human development Index

Table A3.4 Sector Shares of gross domestic product (GDP) at 1980 prices

Sector	% GDP, 1985	% GDP, 1995	% Growth, 1985-95
Agriculture	54.9	38.0	2.9
Mining	0.8	1.3	11.6
Manufacturing	4.9	9.1	13.5
Electricity	0.4	8.3	48.2
Construction	11.1	10.8	6.5
Trade	8.7	6.0	3.0
Transport & Communications	5.2	8.2	11.8
Financial Services	5.6	7.4	9.8
Community & Social Services	8.2	10.9	9.8

(Source: VIIIFYP, 1996)

Table A3.5 Past gross domestic product (GDP) in 1980 prices

This table provides information on the inter-sectoral structural development of the agriculture sector of the gross domestic product (GDP) during past decade.

Sector	1985	1986	1987	1988	1989	1990	1991	1992	1993	1994	1995	Compound Growth (%), 1985-95
1. Agriculture	834	881	926	940	963	993	1025	1006	1045	1066	1119	2.9
1.1 Agriculture Proper	412	436	458	486	515	531	545	556	564	575	601	3.9
1.2 Livestock	169	177	185	192	202	212	229	202	227	232	246	3.8
1.3 Forestry and logging	254	267	283	263	247	250	250	249	254	259	271	1
2. Mining and quarrying	13	22	22	19	22	19	27	24	26	30	38	11.6
3. Manufacturing	75	71	105	110	129	158	187	209	217	224	268	13.5
4. Electricity & gas	6	60	229	225	222	204	200	210	232	230	245	48.2
5. Construction	169	142	152	129	136	137	116	157	182	280	317	6.5
6. Wholesale, retail trade, restaurant and hotels	132	143	142	129	134	135	145	161	164	170	178	3
7. Transport, storage and communication	79	84	91	122	142	172	182	192	223	231	242	11.8
8. Finance, insurance and real estate	110	126	136	141	163	212	209	215	238	245	281	9.8
9. Community, social & personal services (Govt.)	126	169	200	210	217	223	233	252	267	296	322	9.8
Less: Imputed bank service charges	-25	-24	-30	32	-41	-29	-21	-28	-45	-55	-63
Gross Domestic Product	1520	1675	1973	1994	2087	2225	2303	2397	2549	2716	2946	6.8
Growth rate of GDP over preceding year (%)	3.7	10.2	17.8	1.2	4.7	6.6	3.5	4.1	6.3	6.5	8.5

(Source: VIIIFYP, 1996)

Table A3.6 GDP during the current five year plan period

The government predicts following growth of GDP (in 1980 prices) during the current (VIII) five year plan. The table compares it with that during last five year plan.

Sector	Estimated Compound GDP Growth Rate
	Five Year Plan VII(1992-93 to 1996-97)	Five Year Plan VIII (1997-98 to 2001-02)
1. Agriculture
1.1 Agriculture Proper	2.4	2.5
1.2 Livestock	3.5	3.0
1.3 Forestry and logging	2.2	2.0
2. Mining and quarrying	14.1	19.4
3. Manufacturing	9.1	12.0
4. Electricity & gas	3.9	7.0
5. Construction	20.3	7.0
6. Trade and Commerce	3.7	4.0
7. Transport, storage and communication	5.9	10.0
8. Finance, insurance and real estate	7.7	10.0
9. Government services	6.7	6.0
Gross Domestic Product	5.8	6.5

(Source: VIIIFYP, 1996)

Table A3.7 Expected rates of growth of GDP and population

Bhutan plans to achieve following GDP growth rates during the VIII, IX and X five year plans (FYP). Table also presents estimated population and per capita income.

	Compound Rate of Growth
	VII FYP	VIII FYP	IX FYP	X FYP
GDP (Real)	5.8	6.5	7.5	7.2
Population	2.78	2.71	2.23	1.80
Per capita GDP	2.79	3.9	4.5	5.2

(Source: VIII FYP 1996)