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APPENDIX 3: SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS ON INCOMES

Table 24: Sensitivity analysis net fishery (ZK)

 Total CostsTotal revenuesProfit% Change
Base Case Makungwa dam20 01637 60517 589 
10% increase variable costs21 90037 60515 705-11.0
10% increase fixed costs20 13337 60517 472-0.5
10% increase catch20 01641 36621 350+21.0
10% increase selling price offish20 01639 89919 883+13.0
Base Case Kangombe dam2 2222 652430 
10% increase variable costs2 3142 652338-21.0
10% increase fixed costs2 3532 652299-30.5
10% increase catch2 2222 917695+61.5
10% increase selling price of fish2 2222 747525+22.0
Base Case Lutembwe dam2 5513 098547 
10% increase variable costs2 6883 098410-25.0
10% increase fixed costs2 6693 098429-21.5
10% increase catch25513 408857+56.5
10% increase selling price of fish2 5513 191640+17.0

Table 25: Sensitivity analysis trap fishery (ZK)

 Total CostsTotal revenuesProfit% Change
Base Case Makungwa dam014 92514 925 
10% increase costs014 92514 9250.0
10% increase catch01641816418+10.0
10% increase selling price of fish015 29815 298+2.5
Base Case Kangombe dam012 92512 925 
10% increase costs012 92512 9250.0
10% increase catch01421814218+10.0
10% increase selling price of fish013 06613 066+ 1.0
Base Case Chadewa dam01221912219 
10% increase costs012 21912 2190.0
10% increase catch013 44113 441+10.0
10% increase selling price of fish012 46312 463+ 2.0

Table 26: Sensitivity analysis hook and line fishery (ZK)

 Total CostsTotal revenuesProfit% Change
Base Case Makungwa dam176 9866 969 
10% increase costs196 9866 9670.0
10% increase catch177 6857 668+10.0
10% increase selling price of fish177 1967 179+ 3.0
Base Case Kangombe dam162 5812 565 
10% increase costs182 5812 56300
10% increase catch162 8392 823+10.0
10% increase selling price of fish1626112 595+ 1.0
Base Case Chadewa dam167 2487 232 
10% increase costs187 2487 2300.0
10% increase catch167 9237 957+10.0
10% increase selling price of fish167 2927 276+ 0.5

Table 27: Sensitivity analysis fishery with other gear (ZK)

 Total CostsTotal revenuesProfit% Change
Base Case Makungwa dam011 864118640.0
10% increase costs01186411864 
10% increase catch013 05013 050+10.0
10% increase selling price of fish01191211912+0.5
Base Case Kangombe dam012 31412 3140.0
10% increase costs012 31412 314 
10% increase catch013 54513 545+10.0
10% increase selling price of fish012 38212 382+0.5
Base Case Chadewa dam05 9765 9760.0
10% increase costs05 9765 976 
10% increase catch06 5746 574+10.0
10% increase selling price of fish 5 9765 9760.0

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