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ANNEX 3

ASIA SMALLHOLDER DAIRY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY AND INVESTMENT PLAN LOGICAL FRAMEWORK

Narrative Summary

Verifiable Indicators a/

Means of Verification a/

Assumptions and Risks

Overall Strategic Objectives:

  • A glass of Asian milk per day for every Asian child
  • Per capita milk consumption data
  • Household consumption and nutrition surveys
  • Sufficient productive capacity exists
  • Regional self-reliance and dairy food security
  • Regional dairy products balance sheet
  • Imports, exports and domestic production data converted to LMEs
  • Governments will maintain policies which favour self-reliance and food security
  • Smallholders better linked to formal markets and enable to become commercial dairy entrepreneurs
  • Number of smallholders who graduate to become commercial farmers
  • Amount of smallholder milk in formal sector
  • Quantities of milk delivered per farmer
  • Formal markets will be more attractive and remunerative than informal markets
  • Each link in the dairy food chain becomes more efficient, productive and profitable in a socially and environmentally responsible manner
  • Productivity and profitability at each stage in the value chain
  • Social and environmental impact of dairy sector
  • Special-purpose value chain studies to estimate productivity and profitability
  • Studies on social and environmental impacts
  • Enabling environment enhanced (see Pillar 3)
  • Higher earnings for safer quality milk
  • Relationship between milk prices and quality measures
  • Milk price and quality data collected by dairy enterprises and supporting institutions
  • Dairy processors and farmers will recognize that quality-based payment is a win-win
  • Regional and national recognition of the multiple benefits of smallholder dairy production
  • Specific inclusion of smallholders in national dairy development policies
  • Budget allocations to dairy development
  • Government policy documents
  • Official budgets & investments
  • Regional and national authorities will adopt pro-poor agricultural and rural development policies

Pillar 1: Human Resource Development and Knowledge Management

Pillar 1 Objectives:

  • Provide smallholders with appropriate skills training
  • Skill levels of dairy smallholders
  • Evaluation reports of training programmes
  • Smallholders are willing to be trained
  • Provide training to other value chain actors
  • Skill levels of other value chain actors
  • Evaluation reports of training programmes
  • Value chain actors are willing to be trained
  • Effective monitoring and evaluation of sectoral development
  • National and regional M&E systems, including baseline surveys
  • M&E reports prepared by dairy development agencies
  • Dairy agencies recognize the importance of M&E
  • Support regional collaboration in knowledge management through smallholder dairy network
  • Formal network created and operational
  • Reports and website of smallholder dairy network
  • Regional dairy organizations are willing to invest in collaborative activities such as sharing information & experiences

Pillar 2: Improving Productivity and Competitiveness

Pillar 2 Objectives:

  • Prepare “menu of options” for dairy development models
  • Comprehensive inventory of models identified and described
  • Reports on available dairy development models and their characteristics
  • Successful models can be identified to cover most circumstances
  • Select dairy development models appropriate for local conditions
  • “Menu of options” used to select appropriate models
  • Studies of success/failure rates for various dairy development models
  • Assist smallholder dairy sector to compete for resources
  • Smallholder dairy sector able to procure the necessary resources
  • Statistics on level of production from smallholder versus commercial sub-sectors
  • Necessary resources are available and accessible to smallholders
  • Assist smallholder dairy sector to compete in product markets
  • Smallholder dairy products competitive with commercial products and imports
  • Statistics on sales of products derived from smallholder versus commercial production
  • Barriers preventing smallholder access to markets can be overcome or circumvented
  • Increase milk yields, quality and profitability
  • Amount and quality of milk produced by smallholders
  • Cost of production and profitability
  • Production statistics and milk quality data collected by processing enterprises
  • Cost of production and profitability data from FAOSTAT, IFCN, national statistics
  • Genetic resources, feed supplies and animal health services are adequate

Pillar 3: Strengthening Linkages Between Farmers and Consumers

Pillar 3 Objectives:

  • Improve farmer access to marketing channels
  • Number of farmers with good, poor and marginal access to markets
  • Studies on farmers’ access to various marketing channels
  • Farmers will take advantage of improving market access
  • Increase opportunities for smallholders to access the formal sector
  • Percentage of smallholder milk marketed formally
  • Milk production and marketing statistics
  • Farmers will recognize opportunities, and are able to access the formal sector
  • Strengthen price incentives to deliver quality milk
  • Pricing systems linked to objective quality measurement
  • Statistics on milk prices and their correlation with quality criteria
  • Pricing systems incorporate adequate incentives to drive quality improvements
  • Create competitive supply chain conditions
  • Number of value chain actors and evidence of competitive conditions
  • Presence/absence of anecdotal evidence of anti-competitive behaviour
  • Correlation between CIF/FOB and local prices
  • Anti-competitive behaviour can be identified and curtailed
  • Create fair and transparent pricing systems
  • Pricing systems being used
  • Farm-retail price differences
  • Correlation between milk prices and quality
  • Farmers and value chain actors will respond positively to fair and transparent pricing
  • Diversify the range of dairy products on offer
  • Number and range of local products in the market
  • Product range on offer in retail outlets
  • Amount of smallholder milk used to manufacture these products
  • Market is ready to accept new products
  • Smallholder milk is suitable for manufacturing new products
  • Educate consumers on the nutritional benefits of dairy products
  • Consumer awareness and consumption levels
  • Consumer awareness surveys
  • Consumption levels versus other foods
  • Consumers will recognize the benefits and adjust consumption patterns
  • Stimulate consumer demand (e.g. school milk)
  • Consumer awareness and consumption levels
  • Consumption levels in target groups (e.g. school children)
  • Consumer demand will respond
  • Reduce losses (qualitative/quantitative) in the dairy chain
  • Qualitative and quantitative loss data
  • Quantity of milk produced compared with quantity processed and marketed
  • Value of final products vs. farmgate value

Pillar 4 Enhancing the Enabling Environment

Pillar 4 Objectives:

  • Develop a smallholder inclusive policy framework
  • Published national policy documents
  • National policy documents approved by Governments
  • Political interest & motivation for smallholder participation in dairy markets
  • Create a conducive legal and regulatory framework
  • Laws and regulations relating to commercial transactions and dairy sector specifically
  • Laws and regulations in place
  • Number of successful legal or regulatory enforcement actions
  • Governments will have the political will to create and enforce laws and regulations
  • Ensure a favourable macro-economic framework
  • Macro-economic statistics: inflation, interest rates, exchange rates c
  • Official economic statistics
  • Competent macro-economic management and absence of major external shocks

  • Create supportive institutions and farmer organizations
  • Assessment of institutional capacity and number/capacity of farmer organizations
  • Studies on institutional capacity and farmer organizations
  • Governments are prepared to support dairy development institutions
  • Effective farmer organizations are formed and sustained
  • Ensure that necessary inputs are available
  • Availability of dairy production inputs
  • Utilisation of inputs in the smallholder sector
  • Provide the necessary financial services
  • Accessibility of loans, insurance and other essential financial services
  • Records of financial institutions
  • Official economic statistics
  • Financial sector development will keep pace with evolving needs of the sector
  • Develop and maintain the necessary infrastructure
  • Inventory of transport and communications infrastructure
  • Observations and anecdotal reports on the adequacy of transport and communications infrastructure
  • Adequate funding is made available for infrastructure development and maintenance

a/ Most indicators will be monitored and evaluated at national level

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