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Table 34. Turkey. Co-integration tests, ARDL long run coefficients and ECM representation (monthly data)


Dependent variable

Regressors

Dependent variable

Regressors

sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKWHWS

TKWHRP


dTKWHWS

dTKWHWS1

dTKWHWS3

dWRWHRP6


ecm(-1)


0.77

-0.13


0.17

-0.15

-0.32


-0.20


4.08

-3.25


2.57

-2.11

-2.39


-4.75

sample: Jan 1985 - May 2001

TKWHPR

WRWHRP


dTKWHPR

dWRWHRP

ecm(-1)





0.94

-0.11


0.08

-0.08





2.52

-3.05


2.70

-2.82




sample: Jan 1985 - May 2001

TKMZPR

WRMZRP


dTKMZPR

dWRMZRP

ecm(-1)





0.61

-0.11


0.05

-0.09





2.17

-2.89


1.93

-2.70




sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKRIWS

WRRIRP


dTKRIWS

dTKRIWS8

dWRRIRP

ecm(-1)




0.56

-0.18


0.22

0.08

-0.14




2.78

-4.30


3.11

2.46

-3.33



sample: Jan 1985 - May 2001

TKRIPR

WRRIRP


dTKRIPR

dWRRIRP

ecm(-1)





0.51

-0.22


0.07

-0.15





2.76

-4.28


2.24

-3.61




sample: Jan 1985 - May 2001

TKSYPR

WRSYRP


dTKSYPR

dTKSYPR2

dWRSYRP2

dWRSYRP6


ecm(-1)


0.45

-0.23


0.18

-0.34

-0.48


-0.34


2.63

-4.06


2.51

-1.94

-2.86


-5.99

sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKSFWS

WRSFRP


dTKSFWS

dWRSFRP5

dWRSFRP6

ecm(-1)




0.55

-0.11


0.14

0.13

-0.06




2.02

-3.27


2.33

2.18

-2.39



sample: Jan 1985 - May 2001

TKWHWS

TKWHPR


dTKWHWS

dTKWHWS1

dTKWHWS2

dTKWHWS3

dTKWHPR

ecm(-1)


0.85

-0.39


0.20

0.15

-0.16

0.45

-0.34


8.36

-5.22


2.88

2.11

-2.22

4.83

-5.58

sample: Jan 1985 - May 2001

TKRIWS

TKRIPR


dTKRIWS

dTKRIWS4

dTKRIWS8

dTKRIPR

ecm(-1)



0.87

-0.30


0.14

0.34

0.47

-0.33



8.36

-4.63


1.98

4.79

6.45

-5.74


sample: Jan 1982 - May 2001

TKRIRT

TKRIWS


dTKRIRT

dTKRIWS

ecm(-1)





0.71

-0.25


0.46

-0.28





11.32

-3.72


11.77

-6.09




see Table 1 for variables' names

* figures reported are the ADF coefficients and t values for the level of the residual of the static regression between the two variables reported on the left. This corresponds to the Engle and Granger (1987) test for cointegration

source: own calculation on ESCB price data


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