FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - August 1997

NAMIBIA


Area: 824 000 sq.km
Climate: Mostly arid (south-west and coast) or semi-arid. Only north and north-east gets regular rainfall in November-April
Population: 1.69 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 2 000 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Arid to semi-arid country; cereal production mainly in the north
Logistics: Good road and railway network
Major foodcrops: Millet, maize, sorghum, wheat
Marketing year: May/April;
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 48 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

The 1996/97 agricultural season was characterized by average to above-average precipitation in the northern crop growing region. Rainfall was above average in most parts of the country during the first quarter of 1997, benefiting crops and pastures, although intermittent dry spells occurred in late February and early March in some areas. Precipitation was, however, below normal in April. As a result of larger area planted this year and increased yields, production of coarse grains is estimated at a record 164 000 tons, almost double last year’s output. Grazing conditions are good in most parts of the country.

The food supply situation in the country is satisfactory. However, despite the record harvest, cereal imports will be necessary during the 1997/98 marketing year to meet national consumption needs. This requirement, mostly wheat and maize, is expected to be covered by commercial channels.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997/98 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production (rice in paddy terms)

4

-

88

92

Normal Imports

30

-

31

61

of which: Structural food aid

1

-

2

3

1997/98 Domestic Availability

4

-

165

169

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

4

-

165

169

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

4

-

165

169

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1997/98 Utilization

49

-

217

266

Food Use

49

-

175

224

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

-

-

22

22

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

20

20

1997/98 Import Requirement

45

-

52

97

Anticipated commercial imports

45

-

52

97

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

1

-

-

1

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

29

-

103

132

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




184

1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:




159

1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:




-

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