Table 1.4.1. Summary of projected aquaculture production, 1992 to 2010 (from Muir, 1995)
|
|
Assumed growth |
Lower growth scenario |
Higher growth scenario |
Speculative long- term growth |
|||||||
|
Species group |
1992 Production |
% of total |
APR 86/92 |
APR 92/10 |
2010 mt |
APR 92/10 |
2010 mt |
APR 92/10 |
2010 mt |
APR 92/50 |
2050 mt |
|
Freshwater fish |
7,980,737 |
84.7 |
7.9 |
4.5 |
17,770,000 |
3.7 |
15,400,000 |
5.3 |
20,340,000 |
2.2 |
28,280,000 |
|
Diadromous fish |
1,080,698 |
11.5 |
7.6 |
3.8 |
2,130,000 |
3.2 |
1,900,000 |
4.8 |
2,510,000 |
2.3 |
3,960,000 |
|
Marine fish |
355,718 |
3.8 |
7.2 |
5.4 |
910,000 |
3.6 |
670,000 |
11.9 |
2,690,000 |
4.7 |
5,100,000 |
|
TOTAL FISH |
9,417,153 |
100 |
7.8 |
4.5 |
20,810,000 |
3.7 |
17,970,000 |
5.7 |
25,540,000 |
2.4 |
37,340,000 |
|
Freshwater Crustacea |
62,433 |
6.4 |
1.4 |
5.0 |
150,000 |
4.0 |
140,000 |
5.0 |
150,000 |
4.0 |
610,000 |
|
Total marine Crustacea |
919,483 |
93.6 |
18.6 |
3.3 |
1,650,000 |
2.3 |
1,390,000 |
4.4 |
2,000,000 |
1.8 |
2,650,000 |
|
TOTAL CRUSTACEA |
981,916 |
100 |
16.8 |
3.4 |
1,800,000 |
2.5 |
1,530,000 |
4.5 |
2,150,000 |
2.1 |
3,260,000 |
|
Freshwater molluscs |
256 |
-15.8 |
1.0 |
min |
0.5 |
min |
10.0 |
min |
10.0 |
min |
|
|
Marine molluscs |
3,500,463 |
100 |
6.5 |
6.0 |
9,980,000 |
3.9 |
7,000,000 |
6.6 |
1,098,000 |
2.6 |
15,350,000 |
|
TOTAL MOLLUSCS |
3,500,719 |
100 |
6.5 |
6.0 |
9,980,000 |
3.9 |
7,000,000 |
6.6 |
1,098,000 |
2.6 |
15,410,000 |
|
TOTAL AQ PLANTS |
5,389,789 |
100 |
8 |
5.5 |
14,230,000 |
4.0 |
10,920,000 |
6.3 |
16,310,000 |
3.9 |
49,020,000 |
|
Total Aquaculture Production (Includ. plants) |
19,289,577 |
5.1 |
47,000,000 |
3.7 |
37,000,000 |
6.0 |
55,000,000 |
3.0 |
105,000,000 |
||
|
Total Aquaculture Production (Exclud. plants) |
13,899,788 |
4.9 |
33,000,000 |
3.8 |
27,000,000 |
5.8 |
39,000,000 |
2.4 |
56,000,000 |
||