FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - March 1998:

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ERITREA


Area: 124 320 sq.km
Climate: Highland areas: tropical wet/dry with unreliable rains. Lowlands: semi-arid to arid
Population: 2.899 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics: Roads inadequate, gateway to northern Ethiopia
Major foodcrops: Sorghum, teff, millet, maize, pulses
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: August-November
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 73 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Seasonal dry weather prevailed in most of the country in January and February. The 1997 main season grain output is estimated at the same reduced level of the previous year. Unseasonable rains in October, at harvest time, led to spoilage in stacks of harvested cereals and reduced yields of the crops already adversely affected by a dry spell in September, when the crops were at the critical maturing stage. Also, as a result of the unexpected heavy rains, high levels of locust infestations were reported in northern parts but control operations have been undertaken.

Cereal prices, which had increased sharply in November reflecting the anticipated poor output, continued to raise in January. With a below-average cereal harvest for the third consecutive year and a sharp reduction in grain import availability from neighbouring Ethiopia, the food situation will be tight in the year ahead.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

1997/98 Domestic Availability

12

-

118

130

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

12

-

118

130

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

12

-

118

130

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1997/98 Utilization

152

-

258

410

Food Use

152

-

258

410

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

-

-

-

-

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

1997/98 Import Requirement

140

-

140

280

Anticipated commercial imports

100

-

100

200

Food aid needs

40

-

40

80

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

44

-

4

48

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

52

-

89

141

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:





1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:





1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:






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