FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - March 1998:

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GUINEA-BISSAU


Area: 28 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: May-October
Population: 1.11 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 250 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Port capacity being improved; roads inadequate, particularly during the rainy season; river transport important
Major foodcrops: Rice, coarse grains, oils and fats, roots and tubers
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: May-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 64 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Seasonably dry conditions prevail. A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission estimated 1997 aggregate cereal output at about 190 000 tonnes, which is 29 percent higher than 1996 level and above the average for the last five years.

Following this good harvest, the overall food supply situation is satisfactory. Markets are generally well supplied and prices remain mostly stable. Following entrance of Guinea-Bissau into the UMOA (Union Monétaire Ouest Africaine) and the Franc zone, food prices have increased somewhat, notably for rice. Cereal imports, including re-exports, during the 1997/98 marketing year are estimated at 76 000 tonnes.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997/98 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

-

127

57

184

Normal Imports

7

70

-

77

of which: Structural food aid

1

4

-

5

1997/98 Domestic Availability

1

85

62

148

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

128

62

190

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

85

62

147

Possible stock drawdown

1

-

-

1

1997/98 Utilization

5

157

72

234

Food Use

5

112

50

167

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

-

15

20

35

Exports or Re-exports

-

30 1/

-

30 1/

Possible stock build up

-

-

2

2

1997/98 Import Requirement

4

72 1/

-

76 1/

Anticipated commercial imports

3

70

-

73

Food aid needs

1

2

-

3

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

1

-

-

1

of which: Delivered

1

-

-

1

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

5

101

45

150

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




103

1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:




99

1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:




60


2/ Including 10 000 tons for re-export.

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