FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - March 1998:

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LIBERIA


Area: 96 000 sq.km
Climate: Southern half tropical wet, northern half tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: March-November
Population: 2.8 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Ports and roads adequate
Major foodcrops: Rice, roots and tubers, oils
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: July-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 48 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Following good climatic conditions, adequate security and agricultural inputs distribution, the preliminary estimate for cereal production is about 168 000 tonnes, which is 75 percent higher than previous year's level and about 60 percent of the pre-war level. Cassava production is about 280 000 tonnes, which is also substantially higher than the previous year’s level.

Following the stable security situation throughout the country humanitarian aid can be delivered in most areas and an improvement of the nutritional status of the population is reported. Food supply on the urban market is stable although most of the available food is coming from humanitarian assistance. Prices remain high on the urban markets and most people have turned to cassava as a substitute for rice. Nevertheless, all infrastructures have been destroyed by the war and are hampering the marketing of food commodities. A UN Consolidated Appeal has been issued, including agricultural rehabilitation programmes. Liberia remains heavily dependent on food aid, especially for the counties with a high number of returnees. In December, the number of refugees and displaced persons was estimated to be about 700 000, most of which are receiving food assistance. More than 14 000 new Sierra Leonean refugees have arrived as a result of fighting and insecurity in Sierra Leone. The Government has recently appealed for international assistance for more than 100 000 refugees. The stable security situation is allowing the return of Liberian refugees from neighbouring countries. Organized repatriation is underway for about 480 000 Liberian refugees in neighbouring countries and should be completed by the end of 1998, while it is estimated that 120 000 refugees have returned spontaneously. The cereal import requirement for 1998 (January/December), is currently estimated at 210 000 tonnes, of which 110 000 tonnes is food aid.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

-

76

1

77

Normal Imports

40

70

35

145

of which: Structural food aid

35

20

35

90

1998 Domestic Availability

-

112

2

114

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

-

168

-

168

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

-

112

-

112

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

2

2

1998 Utilization

90

182

52

324

Food Use

88

172

52

312

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

2

10

-

12

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

-

-

Possible stock build up

-

-

-

-

1998 Import Requirement

90

70

50

210

Anticipated commercial imports

10

40

50

100

Food aid needs

80

30

-

110

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

33

-

37

70

of which: Delivered

-

-

37

37

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

31

60

18

110

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




218

1998 import requirement as % of normal:




145

1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:




122


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