FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - March 1998:

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MALAWI


Area: 94 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry climate with one rainy season (November-May)
Population 11.57 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 170 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country; importer and exporter of grain
Logistics: Imports/exports through Beira (Mozambique) or Dar es Salaam (Tanzania)
Major foodcrops: Maize, pulses, roots, tubers, rice
Marketing year: April/March; Lean season: February-March
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

The outlook for the 1997/98 cereal crop is generally good. Despite a late start of the season, rainfall in most parts of the country has so far been very favourable. The rains have been generally light in the south but moderate to heavy in the north, resulting in flooding in some areas with loss of property and lives. Total area planted is expected to be comparable to the 1996/97 level but may be somewhat reduced as a result of the late start of rains. The supply of major agricultural inputs is considered adequate. Harvest prospects are therefore generally favourable. Overall, the 1998 crop is anticipated to be comparable to last year’s average level but could be higher if conditions continue to be favourable in southern areas. An improvement in harvest outcome will help reduce the country’s need to import cereals to meet its requirements. WFP plans to support a four month safety net programme through food-for-work and vulnerable group feeding activities.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997/98 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

2

35

1 330

1 367

Normal Imports

40

3

40

83

of which: Structural food aid

-

-

40

40

1997/98 Domestic Availability

6

32

1 615

1 653

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

3

50

1 615

1 668

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

3

32

1 615

1 650

Possible stock drawdown

3

-

-

3

1997/98 Utilization

51

34

1 915

2 000

Food Use

51

27

1 740

1 818

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

12

12

Non-food use

-

5

175

180

Exports or Re-exports

-

1

-

1

Possible stock build up

-

1

-

1

1997/98 Import Requirement

45

2

300

347

Anticipated commercial imports

45

2

150

197

Food aid needs

-

-

150

150

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

-

-

9

9

of which: Delivered

-

-

5

5

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

12

12

of which: for local use

-

-

12

12

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

4

2

147

153

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




122

1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:




418

1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:




375


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