FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - March 1998:

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NIGERIA


Area: 911 000 sq.km
Climate: Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid
Population: 116 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 260 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops: Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 43 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Shortages of fertilizers, improved seeds and pesticides were reported during the whole growing season. Nevertheless, following favourable growing conditions, global cereal production for 1997 is estimated at 22.2 million tonnes, which is 2.5 percent higher than last year. Production of roots and tubers is estimated at 58 million tonnes, which is slightly above average. Cash crops production is reported to have decreased, notably cocoa and rubber, as a result of agricultural policies in favour of food crops.

Food supply is still constrained by high levels of post-harvest losses and high distribution costs but is satisfactory following the marketing of the main crops. The cereal import requirement for 1998 is estimated at 1.3 million tonnes, including 1 million tonnes of wheat and 200 000 tonnes of rice.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

45

2 800

16 970

19 815

Normal Imports

850

350

80

1 280

of which: Structural food aid

-

-

-

-

1998 Domestic Availability

36

1 980

18 870

20 886

1997 Production (rice in paddy terms)

36

3 300

18 870

22 206

1997 Production (rice in milled terms)

36

1 980

18 870

20 886

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1998 Utilization

1036

2 180

18 970

22 186

Food Use

1005

1 930

14 581

17 516

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

31

250

4 049

4 330

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

200

200

Possible stock build up

-

-

140

140

1998 Import Requirement

1 000

200

100

1 300

Anticipated commercial imports

1 000

200

100

1 300

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

-

-

-

-

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

9

17

126

151

Indexes





1997 production as % of normal:




112

1998 import requirement as % of normal:




102

1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:




-


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