FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report - March 1998:

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UGANDA


Area: 200 000 sq.km
Climate: North-east is semi-arid, rest of the country is tropical wet-dry; main rainy period is March-October
Population: 21.0 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 240 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics: Ports: Mombasa (Kenya) and Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); roads and railways inadequate
Major foodcrops: Roots, tubers, plantains, pulses, maize, millet, sorghum
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 35 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Harvest of the 1997 second season food crops is completed. Yields obtained were lower than previously anticipated reflecting exceess of humidity, particularly for bean crops. Heavy rains from mid-November to early December, mainly in the eastern parts, resulted in floods and mudslides which caused loss of life, damage to housing and infrastructure and localized crop losses. The heavy rains have, however, improved pastures and livestock conditions, particularly in the Karamoja region, previously affected by prolonged dry weather. Prices of maize and beans, which by December 1997 had doubled in a year, have declined with the arrival of the new crop in the markets but remain at high levels reflecting reduced production and serious transport difficulties following the destruction caused in the road network by the rains. Food assistance to the population affected by civil conflict in northern parts is currently being provided, but the operations are being hampered by bad road conditions.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tons)


Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

9

78

1 810

1 897

Normal Imports

18

5

10

33

of which: Structural food aid

15

-

10

25

1998 Domestic Availability

9

51

1 680

1 740

1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)

9

77

1 680

1 766

1998 Production (rice in milled terms)

9

51

1 680

1 740

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1998 Utilization

59

57

1 690

1 806

Food Use

58

57

1 197

1 312

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

10

10

Non-food use

1

-

335

336

Exports or Re-exports

-

-

150

150

Possible stock build up

-

-

8

8

1998 Import Requirement

50

6

10

66

Anticipated commercial imports

46

-

-

46

Food aid needs

4

6

10

20

Current Aid Position





Food aid pledges

4

-

9

13

of which: Delivered

-

-

8

8

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

1

1

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

1

1

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year)

3

3

57

62

Indexes





1998 production as % of normal:




93

1998 import requirement as % of normal:




200

1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:




80


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