Widespread and abundant rains in January, which benefited crops in most parts of the country, were followed in February and March by light rainfall, particularly in the southern areas. Most affected by dry spells were the marginal farming areas of the south. Overall, crop conditions are good in the northern areas but poor in the drought-prone southern areas, which have received below normal rainfall so far. While early planted crops have reached maturity, late planted cereals, which experienced severe moisture stress in February, require more rain to reach maturity.
The current overall food supply situation is relatively tight. Since carryover stocks are expected to be lower than in the previous year, to help cushion the impact of a reduced output the country may become a net importer of cereals. Targeted food assistance may also be required for vulnerable groups in the southern dry areas where the harvest is likely to be poor.