FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1998 -

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LIBERIA


Area: 96 000 sq.km
Climate: Southern half tropical wet, northern half tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: March-November
Population: 2.8 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: n.a.
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Ports and roads adequate
Major foodcrops: Rice, roots and tubers, oils
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: July-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 48 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Limited rainfall started in mid-March in the south and became widespread over the whole country in late March. Abundant precipitation was recorded over the entire country in April and May, followed by a seasonal decrease in June. Cumulative rainfall is above normal since the beginning of the growing season. Following these good climatic conditions, the main maize and rice crops, planted in April, are growing satisfactorily, as well as cassava and yams.

With a stable security situation throughout the country, humanitarian aid can be delivered and farming activities carried out in most areas, and an improvement in the nutritional status of the population is reported. Food supply on the urban market is stable. However, food prices remain high. Liberia remains heavily dependent on food aid. The number of refugees and displaced persons is currently estimated at 800 000, including some 56 000 new arrivals from Sierra Leone. Organised repatriation is underway for about 480 000 Liberian refugees in neighbouring countries and should be completed by the end of 1998. The cereal import requirement for 1998 (January/December), is currently estimated at 240 000 tonnes, including 130 000 tonnes of food aid.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production - 76 1 77
Normal Imports 40 70 35 145
of which: Structural food aid 35 20 35 90
1998 Domestic Availability - 112 2 114
1997 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 168 - 168
1997 Production (rice in milled terms) - 112 - 112
Possible stock drawdown - - 2 2
1998 Utilization 90 212 52 354
Food Use 88 202 52 342
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 2 10 - 12
Exports or Re-exports - - - -
Possible stock build up - - - -
1998 Import Requirement 90 100 50 240
Anticipated commercial imports 10 50 50 110
Food aid needs 80 50 - 130
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 7 - 5 12
of which: Delivered - - 1 1
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 31 71 18 120
Indexes



1997 production as % of normal:


218
1998 import requirement as % of normal:


166
1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:


144

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