FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1998 -

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GUINEA-BISSAU


Area: 28 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: May-October
Population: 1.11 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 250 (1995)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics: Port capacity being improved; roads inadequate, particularly during the rainy season; river transport important
Major foodcrops: Rice, coarse grains, oils and fats, roots and tubers
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: May-August
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 64 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Agricultural activities are hampered by on-going civil disturbances. Fighting, which started in Bissau on 7 June, intensified and spread to other towns in late June/early July. No information on crop prospects has been received from the country but insecurity is likely to impede normal agricultural activities at the critical planting period. Satellite imagery indicates that rains started in the east in mid-May, stopped in late May but resumed in early June, progressing over the entire country from mid-June.

Normally, in June, planting of coarse grains should commence in the east and the north and that of rice be undertaken in seedbeds. Transplanting should start in July/August after desalination of swamp rice fields following stronger rains. It is currently difficult to know how far areas planted will be reduced but 1998 production will certainly be reduced following the crisis.

The overall food supply situation has deteriorated following the military revolt which has displaced a large number of people in the country and suspended marketing activities to or from the capital.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1997/98 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production - 127 57 184
Normal Imports 7 70 - 77
of which: Structural food aid 1 4 - 5
1997/98 Domestic Availability 1 85 62 148
1997 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 128 62 190
1997 Production (rice in milled terms) - 85 62 147
Possible stock drawdown 1 - - 1
1997/98 Utilization 5 157 74 236
Food Use 5 112 50 167
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use - 15 22 37
Exports or Re-exports - 30 - 30
Possible stock build up - - 2 2
1997/98 Import Requirement 4 72 1/ - 76 1/
Anticipated commercial imports 3 70 - 73
Food aid needs 1 2 - 3
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 1 - - 1
of which: Delivered 1 - - 1
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 5 101 45 150
Indexes



1997 production as % of normal:


103
1997/98 import requirement as % of normal:


99
1997/98 food aid requirement as % of normal:


60

1/ Including 10 000 tonnes for re-export.

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