| 1994/95 | 1995/96 | 1996/97 | 1997/98 | 1998/99 forecast |
Change 1998/99 over 1997/98 |
|
| WORLD PRODUCTION 1/ | (. . . . . million tonnes . . . . . ) | (.percentage ) | ||||
| Wheat | 528 | 548 | 590 | 615 | 606 | -1.3 |
| Coarse grains | 892 | 812 | 923 | 908 | 907 | -0.1 |
| Rice, milled | 362 | 369 | 383 | 388 | 379 | -2.4 |
| (paddy) | (540) | (550) | (571) | (578) | (566) | -2.4 |
| All cereals (including milled rice) | 1 782 | 1 729 | 1 895 | 1 911 | 1 892 | -1.0 |
| Developing countries | 931 | 960 | 1 026 | 1 007 | 1 021 | 1.5 |
| Developed countries | 851 | 769 | 869 | 904 | 871 | -3.7 |
| WORLD IMPORTS 2/ |
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|
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| Wheat | 94 | 94 | 97 | 96 | 91 | -5.8 |
| Coarse grains | 89 | 93 | 88 | 87 | 89 | 1.4 |
| Rice (milled) | 21 | 20 | 19 | 24 | 20 | -15.4 |
| All cereals | 203 | 207 | 204 | 207 | 199 | -3.9 |
| Developing countries | 146 | 151 | 147 | 155 | 147 | -5.0 |
| Developed countries | 58 | 56 | 56 | 52 | 52 | -0.6 |
| FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/ | 9.4 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 8.0 4/ | -15.4 |
| WORLD UTILIZATION |
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|
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| Wheat | 557 | 565 | 579 | 596 | 604 | 1.3 |
| Coarse grains | 883 | 862 | 893 | 898 | 900 | 0.3 |
| Rice (milled) | 368 | 372 | 380 | 384 | 386 | 0.7 |
| All cereals | 1 808 | 1 799 | 1 852 | 1 877 | 1 890 | 0.7 |
| Developing countries | 1 052 | 1 080 | 1 109 | 1 113 | 1 129 | 1.5 |
| Developed countries | 756 | 718 | 743 | 764 | 761 | -0.4 |
| Per Caput Food Use | ( . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . .) | |
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| Developing countries | 170 | 170 | 172 | 171 | 172 | 0.3 |
| Developed countries | 127 | 128 | 128 | 129 | 129 | 0.0 |
| WORLD STOCKS 5/ | ( . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . ) | |
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| Wheat | 117 | 104 | 113 | 134 | 136 | 1.5 |
| Coarse grains | 146 | 103 | 130 | 134 | 139 | 3.7 |
| Rice (milled) | 54 | 52 | 56 | 57 | 53 | -7.0 |
| All cereals | 317 | 259 | 299 | 329 | 330 | 0.4 |
| Developing countries | 157 | 154 | 173 | 162 | 153 | -5.2 |
| Developed countries | 160 | 105 | 127 | 167 | 177 | 5.7 |
| Stocks as % of world | ( . . . . . . . .. percentage . . . . . . . .) | |
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| cereal consumption | 17.6 | 14.0 | 15.9 | 17.4 | 17.3 | |
| EXPORT PRICES 3/ | ( . . . . . . . U.S.$/tonne . . . . . . .) | |
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| Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/ | 289 | 336 | 352 | 316 | 323 6/ | -3.6 7/ |
| Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter) | 157 | 216 | 181 | 142 | 116 8/ | -20.6 7/ |
| Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow) | 104 | 159 | 135 | 112 | 94 8/ | -14.2 7/ |
| OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/ | |
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| From U.S. Gulf to Egypt | 19.0 | 16.8 | 12.8 | 11.7 | 8.0 8/ | -44.3 7/ |
| LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 9/ | ( . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . .) | |
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| Roots & tubers production 1/ | 344 | 360 | 379 | 371 | 371 | 0.0 |
| Cereal production 1/ | 861 | 887 | 952 | 934 | 943 | 1.0 |
| Per caput production (kg.) | 249 | 252 | 266 | 257 | 256 | -0.5 |
| Cereal imports 2/ | 71.9 | 77.0 | 65.1 | 73.5 | 64.4 | -12.3 |
| of which: Food aid 3/ | 7.9 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 7.2 | 50.0 |
| Proportion of cereal import | ( . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . .) | |
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| covered by food aid | 11.0 | 8.4 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 11.2 | |
SOURCE: FAO
Note: Totals and percentages computed from unrounded data.
1/ Data refer to the calendar year of the first year shown.
2/ July/June except for rice for which the data refer to the calendar year of the second year shown.
3/ July/June.
4/ Forecast based on donors’ budgetary allocations and their minimum contributions under the Food Aid Convention (FAC) 1995.
5/ Stock data are based on aggregate of national carryover levels at the end of national crop years.
6/ Average of quotations for January-August 1998.
7/ Change from corresponding period of previous year for which figures are not shown.
8/ Average of quotations for July-August 1998.
9/ Food deficit countries with per caput income below the level used by the World Bank to determine eligibility for IDA assistance (i.e. U.S.$ 1 505 in 1996), which in accordance with the guidelines and criteria agreed to by the CFA should be given priority in the allocations of food aid.