The first map indicates the total rainfall amount for the
whole month of August. Data are extracted from the RainFall Estimate (RFE)
Satellite Imagery as produced by NOAA/USGS/FEWS/USAID project. The RFE images
are obtained by interpolating various parameters recorded at ground and obtained
through remote sensing measurements as: rainfall, relative humidity, wind
speed, elevation, cold cloud temperatures.
The map below shows the forecasted yield of cereals (millet,
sorghum, maize) for the Sahelian countries for the 1998 cropping season, as
percent of the average yield of the last five years (1993-97). The map is
obtained by applying to each country a yield function which relates, in a
statistical way for the period 1982 to 1997, the output parameters from the
FAO crop specific water balance model to the crop yield. For 1998, the water
balance model is using average rainfall from 1st September to the end of the
crop cycle.