FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1998 -

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GUINEA


Area: 246 000 sq.km
Climate: Tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: March/June to October/November
Population: 7.0 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 570 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; mountainous coastal country
Logistics: Ports and roads inadequate
Major foodcrops: Rice, roots and tubers, coarse grains
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 52 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Following widespread and abundant rainfall during the whole growing season, the main cereal crops are being harvested and prospects for the 1998 output are favourable.

Latest estimates put the total number of Liberian and Sierra Leonean refugees in Guinea at 614 000, of whom about 414 000 are Sierra Leoneans and 200 000 are Liberians. Organised repatriation is underway for the Liberian refugees and about 80 000 have been repatriated since the beginning of the year. However, new refugees have arrived from neighbouring Guinea Bissau, fleeing the on-going conflict.

The cereal import requirement for 1998 is estimated at 410 000 tonnes, mostly wheat and rice.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEA R (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production - 720 200 920
Normal Imports - 110 260 370
of which: Structural food aid 1 32 2 35
1998 Domestic Availability - 472 204 676
1997 Production (rice in paddy terms) - 707 204 911
1997 Production (rice in milled terms) - 472 204 676
Possible stock drawdown - - - -
1998 Utilization 115 742 229 1 086
Food Use 112 626 192 930
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 3 106 37 146
Exports or Re-exports - 10 - 10
Possible stock build up - - - -
1998 Import Requirement 115 270 25 410
Anticipated commercial imports 115 260 25 400
Food aid needs - 10 - 10
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges - 7 - 7
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 16 90 28 133
Indexes



1997 production as % of normal:


99
1998 import requirement as % of normal:


111
1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:


29

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