FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1998 -

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MALI


Area: 1 220 000 sq.km
Climate: From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: May-October
Population: 9.63 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 260 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country
Logistics: Roads inadequate during rainy season; river transport important; rail link to Dakar (Senegal)
Major foodcrops: Millet, sorghum, rice, maize
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 75 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Abundant rainfall provided sufficient soil moisture to allow good development of crops, even in traditionally dry zones. However, the early end of rains may have adversely affected yields in some northern areas of Kayes and Ségou regions. Water in the Niger and Senegal river valleys is normal and better than in 1997, favouring irrigated rice crops in Ségou and Mopti areas. But localized flooding in Tombouctou and Gao areas resulted in crop losses. The pest situation has been relatively calm. Pastures and water points are generally satisfactory.

A joint CILSS/FAO Crop Assessment Mission that visited the country in late October estimated the 1998 cereal production at 2 524 000 tonnes. This is 13 percent above average and 3 percent over the previous record output of 1994 (2 457 350 tonnes). Better yields and a substantial increase in the cultivated area (35 percent) were achieved compared to the 1993-97 average. Following this record crop, the food supply situation will be satisfactory in 1998/99.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 4 505 1 703 2 212
Normal Imports 50 40 5 95
of which: Structural food aid 15 - 2 17
1998/99 Domestic Availability 9 478 1 827 2 314
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) 9 688 1 827 2 524
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 9 468 1 827 2 304
Possible stock drawdown - 10 - 10
1998/99 Utilization 59 508 1 827 2 394
Food Use 58 395 1 497 1 950
of which: local purchase requirement - - 20 20
Non-food use 1 83 280 364
Exports or Re-exports - 30 30 60
Possible stock build up 1 - 20 21
1998/99 Import Requirement 50 30 - 80
Anticipated commercial imports 40 30 - 70
Food aid needs 10 - - 10
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 4 - - 4
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - 4 4
of which: for local use - - 4 4
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 6 40 150 195
Indexes



1998 production as % of normal:


114
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:


84
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:


59

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