FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1998 -

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RWANDA


Area: 25 000 sq.km
Climate: Highland rainy climate with moderate temperature (200C); two rainy seasons

(February-May and September-November)
Population: 7.884 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 210 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country
Logistics: Ports: Mombasa (Kenya) and Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); roads and railway inadequate
Major foodcrops: Roots, tubers, pulses, plantains, sorghum, maize
Marketing year: January/December; Lean season: November-December
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 25 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Planting of the 1999 first season foodcrops is complete. Growing conditions are satisfactory following generally normal to above-normal rains in September and October. However, persistent insecurity in north-western prefectures continues to cause massive population displacements, disrupting agricultural activities. Reduced harvests are anticipated in these areas, hindering the recovery of agricultural production.

The output of the 1998 second season foodcrops, harvested in the middle of the year, was estimated to be substantially higher than the same season last year and around the pre-civil strife level of 1990. As a result, prices of food staples have declined over recent months.

The number of displaced persons in north-western prefectures has continued to increase. The food and nutritional situation of the displaced is reported to be serious. Food assistance is being provided to some 360 000 in Ruhengeri, Gisenyi and Gikongoro prefectures.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 10 9 276 295
Normal Imports 10 6 3 19
of which: Structural food aid 3 1 3 7
1998 Domestic Availability 7 7 213 227
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) 7 10 208 225
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 7 7 208 222
Possible stock drawdown - - 5 5
1998 Utilization 32 24 369 425
Food Use 27 23 346 396
of which: local purchase requirement - - 2 2
Non-food use - 1 23 24
Possible stock build up 5 - - 5
1998 Import Requirement 25 17 156 198
Anticipated commercial imports 12 7 25 44
Food aid needs 13 10 131 154
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 34 10 141 185
of which: Delivered 12 5 130 147
Donor-financed local purchases - - 2 2
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 3 3 44 50
Indexes



1998 production as % of normal:


76
1998 import requirement as % of normal:


1 042
1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:


2 200

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