FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1998 -

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CHAD


Area: 1 259 000 sq.km
Climate: From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: May-Oct.
Population: 7.23 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: U.S.$ 240 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country: Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country.
Logistics: Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops: Millet and sorghum, roots and tubers, tree nuts
Marketing year: November/October; Lean season: August-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake: 52 percent


CURRENT SITUATION

Cumulative rainfall is above average and above last year's level in many areas. In the Sudano-Sahelian zone, heavy rains flooded rice crops but provided abundant ground water supplies in low-lying areas, which is favourable for recession sorghum crops. The pest situation remained relatively calm during the season. Pasture is abundant and no major livestock disease has been reported so far. A joint CILSS/FAO Crop Assessment Mission which visited the country in mid-October estimated the total cereal production at 1 277 000 tonnes, which is 30 percent above the 1997/98 output. It is also 9 percent above the last record crop in 1994/95. Output of cereals has increased compared to last year, with the exception of rice which is lower this year (-11 percent) as a result of adverse weather conditions and shortage of inputs. The overall food supply situation is satisfactory.



CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 3 83 828 914
Normal Imports 50 10 10 70
of which: Structural food aid 4 1 10 15
1998/99 Domestic Availability 1 74 1 176 1 251
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms) 1 100 1 176 1 277
1998 Production (rice in milled terms) 1 69 1 176 1 246
Possible stock drawdown - 5 - 5
1998/99 Utilization 61 86 1 176 1 323
Food Use 60 74 840 973
of which: local purchase requirement - - 20 20
Non-food use 1 12 186 199
Exports or Re-exports - - 30 30
Possible stock build up - - 120 120
1998/99 Import Requirement 60 12 - 72
Anticipated commercial imports 50 10 - 60
Food aid needs 10 2 - 12
Current Aid Position



Food aid pledges 13 - - 13
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 8 10 116 135
Indexes



1998 production as % of normal:


140
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:


103
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:


80

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