FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 1999 MADAGASCAR 26

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MADAGASCAR

Area:
582 000 sq.km
Climate:
Eastern coast is tropical wet, the rest tropical wet-dry. Rains in October-March; tropical cyclones
Population:
14.38 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 250 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Dilapidated roads and lack of spare parts and tyres
Major foodcrops:
Rice, roots, tubers, maize, fruit
Marketing year:
April/March; Lean season: February/March
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Rainfall has been favourable so far for the 1998/99 crops. Abundant rains have been received since October, starting along the eastern coast and expanding north-eastward in November, gradually covering most crop growing areas. Thunderstorms in the Mozambique Channel, which developed into Tropical Storm Alda in mid-January, missed southern Madagascar but brought abundant rains to many areas, particularly the Southwest. This also provided welcome relief to many southern areas where planting had been delayed for lack of rains. Overall, crops are reported in good vegetative condition in most growing areas.

The overall food supply situation in the country in the 1998/99 marketing year remains relatively stable. In the drought-prone south, markets are supplied with rice from other parts of the country. Relief assistance continues to be provided to vulnerable population groups.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Normal Production
7
2 476
152
2 635
Normal Imports
48
53
10
111
of which: Structural food aid
13
11
10
34
1998/99 Domestic Availability
11
1 553
162
1 726
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)
11
2 200
162
2 373
1998 Production (rice in milled terms)
11
1 496
162
1 669
Possible stock drawdown
-
57
-
57
1998/99 Utilization
81
1 683
167
1 931
Food Use
80
1 679
131
1 890
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
4
4
Non-food use
1
4
32
37
Exports or Re-exports
-
-
-
-
Possible stock build up
-
-
4
4
1998/99 Import Requirement
70
130
5
205
Anticipated commercial imports
60
110
5
175
Food aid needs
10
20
-
30
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
8
10
8
26
of which: Delivered
5
9
5
19
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
4
4
of which: for local use
-
-
4
4
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)
6
117
9
132
Indexes
       
1998 production as % of normal:
     
90
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:
     
185
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:
     
88

FAO/GIEWS - April 1999

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