FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 1999 NIGER 33

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NIGER

Area:
1 267 000 sq.km
Climate:
Northern part arid, southern part semi-arid with rains in June-October
Population:
9.80 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 200 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:
Millet and sorghum, pulses, roots and tubers
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Seasonably dry conditions prevail. The final official aggregate 1998 cereal production is estimated at a record 2.9 million tonnes, about 71 percent higher than in 1997 and about 35 percent above the average of the last five years. Some isolated Desert Locusts have been reported in February in a few areas of Tamesna.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory. Low cereal prices should facilitate local purchases for the reconstitution of the national security stock for which external assistance is required. However, the food supply situation is likely to be tight in some areas which are chronically food deficit, notably in Agadez, Diffa or Tillabery departments. In addition, the increase of petrol prices in Nigeria will increase transport costs and prices of imported food, notably in Maradi, Tahoua and Zinder departments.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Normal Production
4
66
1 991
2 061
Normal Imports
15
60
220
295
of which: Structural food aid
5
5
10
20
1998/99 Domestic Availability
12
36
2 903
2 952
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)
7
56
2 903
2 966
1998 Production (rice in milled terms)
7
36
2 903
2 947
Possible stock drawdown
5
-
-
5
1998/99 Utilization
27
121
3 023
3 172
Food Use
26
105
2 268
2 399
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
20
20
Non-food use
1
7
445
453
Exports or Re-exports
-
-
60
60
Possible stock build up
-
10
250
260
1998/99 Import Requirement
15
85
120
220
Anticipated commercial imports
10
80
120
210
Food aid needs
5
5
-
10
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
6
6
13
24
of which: Delivered
-
4
12
16
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
17
17
of which: for local use
-
-
17
17
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)
3
11
231
245
Indexes
       
1998 production as % of normal:
     
144
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:
     
75
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:
     
50

FAO/GIEWS - April 1999

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