FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 1999 SENEGAL 37

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SENEGAL

Area:
192 000 sq.km
Climate:
Semi-arid in north, tropical wet-dry in south, with rains in June-October
Population:
9.23 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 550 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; coastal sahelian country
Logistics:
Port capacity adequate; gateway to Mali.
Major foodcrops:
Millet and sorghum, rice, maize, wheat
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: August-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
61 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Seasonably dry conditions prevail. Recession crops are generally developing satisfactorily in the Senegal river region. The final official estimate of 1998 rainfed cereal production is 1 008 000 tonnes, about 23 percent above the 1997 reduced harvest but 3 percent above the average of the last five years. With favourable prospects for recession and off-season crops, total cereal production is forecast at slightly over 1 million tonnes.

The overall food supply situation is expected to improve. Markets are well supplied. Prices of rice are generally stable. Prices of millet and sorghum were declining in early February and are much lower than in 1998. However, some localized food supply difficulties are likely for vulnerable populations affected by successive poor harvests, notably in the centre and the north. The cereal import requirement for the 1998/99 marketing year (November/October) is estimated at about 800 000 tonnes, mainly rice and wheat.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Normal Production
-
180
816
996
Normal Imports
190
425
70
685
of which: Structural food aid
3
5
4
12
1998/99 Domestic Availability
-
126
827
953
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)
-
181
827
1 008
1998 Production (rice in milled terms)
-
126
827
953
Possible stock drawdown
-
-
-
-
1998/99 Utilization
235
631
892
1 758
Food Use
230
610
746
1 586
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
10
10
Non-food use
5
22
131
157
Exports or Re-exports
-
-
-
-
Possible stock build up
-
-
15
15
1998/99 Import Requirement
235
505
65
805
Anticipated commercial imports
230
500
60
790
Food aid needs
5
5
5
15
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
-
7
-
7
of which: Delivered
-
7
-
7
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
1
1
of which: for local use
-
-
1
1
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)
25
66
81
172
Indexes
       
1998 production as % of normal:
     
101
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:
     
118
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:
     
125

FAO/GIEWS - April 1999

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