FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 1999 ZAMBIA 47

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ZAMBIA

Area:
741 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry, one rainy season (November-April)
Population:
10.240 million (1997 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 380 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked country
Logistics:
Imports through Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); inadequate rail and road connections
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers
Marketing year:
May/April; Lean season: March-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
70 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Abundant rains in December and January, particularly in the central part of the country, enabled farmers to put more land into cultivation. Initial indications are that the area under coarse grains will be much higher than last year's level. However, input supply is reported to be inadequate in many areas. After the drought and flood reduced harvest of 1997/98, early prospects for the 1998/99 cereal crops are favourable.

The food supply situation for the current marketing year continues to be tight. To meet its domestic food shortfall, the country has been importing maize, largely from countries in the sub-region, including Mozambique, South Africa and Zimbabwe. Relief food assistance continues to be needed for vulnerable groups and those affected by drought. Food aid pledges by donors amount to 25 500 tonnes, of which 26z 000 tonnes have been delivered.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Normal Production
53
14
1 348
1 415
Normal Imports
35
4
65
104
of which: Structural food aid
25
-
45
70
1998/99 Domestic Availability
81
5
673
759
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)
71
6
632
709
1998 Production (rice in milled terms)
71
4
632
707
Possible stock drawdown
10
1
41
52
1998/99 Utilization
122
28
1 269
1 419
Food Use
118
26
1 154
1 298
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
1
1
Non-food use
4
2
115
121
Exports or Re-exports
-
-
-
-
Possible stock build up
-
-
-
-
1998/99 Import Requirement
41
23
596
660
Anticipated commercial imports
41
15
308
364
Food aid needs
-
8
288
296
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
6
1
19
26
of which: Delivered
6
1
19
26
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
1
1
of which: for local use
-
-
1
1
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)
12
3
113
127
Indexes
       
1998 production as % of normal:
     
50
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:
     
635
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:
     
423

FAO/GIEWS - April 1999

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