FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 1999 CHAD 9

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CHAD

Area:
1 259 000 sq.km
Climate:
From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; one rainy season: May-Oct.
Population:
7.23 million (1998 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 240 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country.
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:
Millet and sorghum, roots and tubers, tree nuts
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: August-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
52 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Seasonably dry conditions prevail. Recession crops are developing satisfactorily. The final official estimate of aggregate 1998 cereal production is a record 1 269 000 tonnes, which is 29 percent above the previous year's output.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory in the Sahelian zone which gathered well above average harvests. Prices of cereals declined following the harvest. This should facilitate local purchases for the reconstitution of the national security stock (which was almost exhausted) for which external assistance is required. Some food supply difficulties are likely in areas of the Sudanian zone affected by successive poor harvests and/or flooding in 1998, notably in the Logone, Tandjilé and parts of Mayo-Kebbi. Prices of cereals decreased but remained above normal levels. Cash crop production was also reduced, limiting income for farmers.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1998/99 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 
Wheat
Rice
Coarse grains
Total
Normal Production
3
83
828
914
Normal Imports
50
10
10
70
of which: Structural food aid
4
1
10
15
1998/99 Domestic Availability
5
74
1 195
1 274
1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)
5
100
1 195
1 300
1998 Production (rice in milled terms)
5
69
1 195
1 269
Possible stock drawdown
-
5
-
5
1998/99 Utilization
65
86
1 195
1 346
Food Use
64
74
806
944
of which: local purchase requirement
-
-
20
20
Non-food use
1
12
189
202
Exports or Re-exports
-
-
20
20
Possible stock build up
-
-
180
180
1998/99 Import Requirement
60
12
-
72
Anticipated commercial imports
50
10
-
60
Food aid needs
10
2
-
12
Current Aid Position
       
Food aid pledges
2
-
1
3
of which: Delivered
2
-
1
3
Donor-financed purchases
-
-
4
4
of which: for local use
-
-
4
4
for export
-
-
-
-
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)
8
10
116
135
Indexes
       
1998 production as % of normal:
     
142
1998/99 import requirement as % of normal:
     
102
1998/99 food aid requirement as % of normal:
     
80

FAO/GIEWS - April 1999

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