|
1994/95
|
1995/96
|
1996/97
|
1997/98
|
1998/99
forecast |
Change 1998/99
over 1997/98 |
|||
| WORLD PRODUCTION 1/ | (. . . . . million tonnes . . . . . ) | (percentage ) | ||||||
|
Wheat
|
528
|
548
|
589
|
614
|
596
|
-2.9
|
||
|
Coarse grains
|
891
|
812
|
921
|
905
|
906
|
0.1
|
||
|
Rice, milled
|
362
|
369
|
383
|
387
|
375
|
-3.2
|
||
|
(paddy)
|
(540)
|
(550)
|
(571)
|
(577)
|
(560)
|
-2.9
|
||
|
All cereals (including milled rice)
|
1 781
|
1 730
|
1 893
|
1 906
|
1 877
|
-1.5
|
||
|
Developing countries
|
932
|
960
|
1 027
|
1 007
|
1 019
|
1.2
|
||
|
Developed countries
|
850
|
770
|
867
|
899
|
858
|
-4.6
|
||
|
WORLD IMPORTS 2/
|
||||||||
|
Wheat
|
93
|
94
|
98
|
96
|
93
|
-2.8
|
||
|
Coarse grains
|
89
|
93
|
90
|
89
|
91
|
1.4
|
||
|
Rice (milled)
|
20
|
19
|
19
|
27
|
22
|
-21.4
|
||
|
All cereals
|
203
|
207
|
207
|
213
|
206
|
-3.4
|
||
|
Developing countries
|
146
|
151
|
150
|
159
|
151
|
-5.1
|
||
|
Developed countries
|
57
|
55
|
57
|
54
|
54
|
1.4
|
||
|
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/
|
9.4
|
7.4
|
5.3
|
5.8
|
9.0 3/
|
54.8
|
||
|
WORLD UTILIZATION
|
||||||||
|
Wheat
|
554
|
563
|
576
|
590
|
598
|
1.3
|
||
|
Coarse grains
|
879
|
857
|
891
|
899
|
899
|
0.1
|
||
|
Rice (milled)
|
367
|
372
|
380
|
383
|
384
|
0.3
|
||
|
All cereals
|
1 800
|
1 793
|
1 848
|
1 871
|
1 881
|
0.5
|
||
|
Developing countries
|
1 051
|
1 080
|
1 110
|
1 116
|
1 128
|
1.1
|
||
|
Developed countries
|
749
|
713
|
738
|
756
|
754
|
-0.3
|
||
|
Per Caput Food Use
|
( . . . . . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . . . .)
|
|||||||
|
Developing countries
|
170
|
171
|
172
|
172
|
172
|
0.3
|
||
|
Developed countries
|
127
|
127
|
128
|
128
|
129
|
0.3
|
||
|
WORLD STOCKS 5/
|
( . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . )
|
|||||||
|
Wheat
|
118
|
104
|
115
|
137
|
137
|
-0.3
|
||
|
Coarse grains
|
145
|
103
|
131
|
141
|
143
|
1.3
|
||
|
Rice (milled)
|
55
|
52
|
56
|
55
|
50
|
-9.0
|
||
|
All cereals
|
318
|
260
|
303
|
333
|
330
|
-1.1
|
||
|
Developing countries
|
157
|
154
|
175
|
162
|
156
|
-3.6
|
||
|
Developed countries
|
161
|
106
|
127
|
171
|
174
|
1.4
|
||
|
Stocks as % of world
|
( . . . . . . .. percentage . . . . . . . .)
|
|||||||
|
cereal consumption
|
17.7
|
14.1
|
16.2
|
17.7
|
17.4
|
|||
|
EXPORT PRICES 3/
|
( . . . . . . . U.S.$/tonne . . .. . . . .)
|
|||||||
|
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/
|
289
|
336
|
352
|
316
|
315
|
-0.3
|
||
|
Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter)
|
157
|
216
|
181
|
142
|
122 7/
|
-16.9 6/
|
||
|
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow)
|
104
|
159
|
135
|
112
|
95 7/
|
-16.9 6/
|
||
|
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/
|
||||||||
|
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt
|
19.0
|
16.8
|
12.8
|
11.7
|
8.7 7/
|
-31.5 6/
|
||
|
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 8/
|
( . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . .)
|
|||||||
|
Roots & tubers production 1/
|
343
|
357
|
380
|
355
|
357
|
0.5
|
||
|
Cereal production (milled rice) 1/
|
724
|
747
|
804
|
783
|
794
|
1.3
|
||
|
Per caput production (kg.) 9/
|
209
|
212
|
225
|
216
|
215
|
-0.2
|
||
|
Cereal imports 2/
|
72.0
|
77.6
|
67.0
|
76.7
|
67.6
|
-11.8
|
||
|
of which: Food aid 3/
|
7.9
|
6.4
|
4.4
|
5.3
|
5.6
|
6.2
|
||
|
Proportion of cereal import
|
( . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . .)
|
|||||||
|
covered by food aid
|
11.0
|
8.3
|
6.6
|
6.9
|
8.3
|
|||
