|
1995/96
|
1996/97
|
1997/98
|
1998/99
|
1999/2000
forecast |
Change
1999/2000 over 1998/99 |
||
|
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/
|
(. . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . )
|
( percentage )
|
|||||
|
Wheat
|
548
|
589
|
613
|
595
|
579
|
-2.6
|
|
|
Coarse grains
|
810
|
920
|
905
|
905
|
891
|
-1.5
|
|
|
Rice, milled
|
370
|
383
|
387
|
382
|
387
|
1.3
|
|
|
(paddy)
|
(550)
|
(571)
|
(578)
|
(571)
|
(579)
|
1.4
|
|
|
All cereals (including milled rice)
|
1 728
|
1 892
|
1 905
|
1 882
|
1 858
|
-1.3
|
|
|
Developing countries
|
958
|
1 025
|
1 006
|
1 024
|
1 017
|
-0.7
|
|
|
Developed countries
|
770
|
867
|
899
|
858
|
841
|
-2.0
|
|
|
WORLD IMPORTS 2/
|
|||||||
|
Wheat
|
99
|
103
|
99
|
95
|
100
|
5.2
|
|
|
Coarse grains
|
95
|
90
|
90
|
91
|
92
|
1.9
|
|
|
Rice (milled)
|
19
|
19
|
28
|
22
|
20
|
-6.5
|
|
|
All cereals
|
214
|
212
|
217
|
207
|
212
|
2.5
|
|
|
Developing countries
|
151
|
150
|
159
|
152
|
154
|
1.3
|
|
|
Developed countries
|
62
|
62
|
58
|
55
|
59
|
5.8
|
|
|
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/
|
7.4
|
5.3
|
5.8
|
8.0
|
|||
|
WORLD UTILIZATION
|
|||||||
|
Wheat
|
562
|
577
|
589
|
595
|
595
|
0.0
|
|
|
Coarse grains
|
855
|
892
|
897
|
895
|
901
|
0.7
|
|
|
Rice (milled)
|
373
|
380
|
382
|
388
|
389
|
0.1
|
|
|
All cereals
|
1 790
|
1 849
|
1 868
|
1 879
|
1 885
|
0.4
|
|
|
Developing countries
|
1 078
|
1 107
|
1 114
|
1 131
|
1 140
|
0.8
|
|
|
Developed countries
|
712
|
741
|
754
|
748
|
745
|
-0.3
|
|
|
Per Caput Food Use
|
( . . . . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . . . .)
|
||||||
|
Developing countries
|
171
|
172
|
172
|
173
|
173
|
0.1
|
|
|
Developed countries
|
127
|
128
|
128
|
133
|
129
|
-3.4
|
|
|
WORLD STOCKS 5/
|
( . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . )
|
||||||
|
Wheat
|
103
|
114
|
137
|
138
|
122
|
-11.3
|
|
|
Coarse grains
|
102
|
131
|
143
|
146
|
140
|
-4.4
|
|
|
Rice (milled)
|
52
|
56
|
55
|
53
|
53
|
-1.2
|
|
|
All cereals
|
257
|
301
|
335
|
337
|
315
|
-6.7
|
|
|
Developing countries
|
152
|
174
|
161
|
157
|
146
|
-7.2
|
|
|
Developed countries
|
105
|
128
|
174
|
180
|
169
|
-6.3
|
|
|
Stocks as % of world
|
( . . . . .. percentage . . . . .)
|
||||||
|
cereal consumption
|
13.9
|
16.1
|
17.8
|
17.9
|
16.4
|
||
|
EXPORT PRICES 3/
|
( . . . . . . U.S.$/tonne . . . . . . .)
|
||||||
|
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/
|
336
|
352
|
316
|
315
|
315 5/
|
-15.2 7/
|
|
|
Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter)
|
216
|
181
|
142
|
121 6/
|
|||
|
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow)
|
159
|
135
|
112
|
95 6/
|
|||
|
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/
|
|||||||
|
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt
|
16.8
|
12.8
|
11.7
|
9.1 6/
|
|||
|
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 8/
|
( . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . .)
|
||||||
|
Roots & tubers production 1/
|
357
|
380
|
355
|
357
|
353
|
-1.1
|
|
|
Cereal production (milled rice) 1/
|
744
|
803
|
794
|
799
|
794
|
-0.6
|
|
|
Per caput production (kg.) 9/
|
211
|
224
|
219
|
217
|
212
|
-1.9
|
|
|
Cereal imports 2/
|
78.9
|
69.0
|
77.9
|
69.7
|
70.8
|
1.6
|
|
|
of which: Food aid 3/
|
6.4
|
4.4
|
5.3
|
5.6
|
|||
|
Proportion of cereal import
|
( . . . . . . percentage . . . . . .)
|
||||||
|
covered by food aid
|
8.1
|
6.4
|
6.8
|
8.0
|
|||
