FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1999 TANZANIA 44

Previous PageTable Of ContentsNext Page


TANZANIA

Area:
886 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry climate with two rainy seasons in north (November-December and March-May) and one in south (November-April)
Population:
32.30 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 210 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; cereal surplus production in south and south-west; cereal deficit in central and north-west. Distribution difficulties
Logistics:
Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice
Marketing year:
June/May; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


The harvesting season is near completion and official reports indicate that there are serious localised crop failures in several regions, particularly in Shinyanga Region, where cash and food crop production is anticipated to fall by as much as 40 percent. Preliminary estimates indicate total cereal production (maize, rice, wheat, sorghum and millet) in 1999 at 3.79 million tonnes, about 9 percent below last year's output due to erratic rains, reduced use of improved seeds and fertilizers and an outbreak of armyworms. By contrast, prospects for non-cereal crops (pulses, potatoes, cassava and plantains) are reported to be good.

With the onset of the dry season in central and northern parts of the country, the outlook for pastoralists is unfavorable due to reduced pasture and water supplies. In Dodoma and Singida Regions, where many households have been receiving food assistance since October 1998 the food supply situation has improved with the new harvest. Nationally maize prices have declined since April with the harvest and commercial sale of Government imports, but still remain much higher than at the same period last year. The Government is building stocks, with import plans of 175 000 tonnes, of which 50 000 have already arrived.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 85 607 3 230 3 922
Normal Imports 60 25 - 85
of which: Structural food aid 15 15 - 30
1999/2000 Domestic Availability 100 598 3 100 3 798
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) 90 920 3 100 4 110
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) 90 598 3 100 3 788
Possible stock drawdown 10 - - 10
1999/2000 Utilization 140 628 3 700 4 468
Food Use 135 454 3 114 3 703
of which: local purchase requirement - - 2 2
Non-food use 5 24 586 615
Exports or Re-exports - 150 - 150
Possible stock build up - - - -
1999/2000 Import Requirement 40 30 600 670
Anticipated commercial imports 40 25 530 595
Food aid needs - 5 70 75
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - 2 2
of which: Delivered - - 2 2
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 4 14 96 115
Indexes        
1999 production as % of normal:       105
1999/2000 import requirement as % of normal:       788
1999/2000 food aid requirement as % of normal:       250


FAO/GIEWS - August 1999

Previous PageTop Of PageTable Of ContentsNext Page