FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.2, August 1999 UGANDA 46

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UGANDA

Area:
200 000 sq.km
Climate:
North-east is semi-arid, rest of the country is tropical wet-dry; main rainy period is March-October
Population:
21.69 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 320 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country
Logistics:
Ports: Mombasa (Kenya) and Dar es Salaam (Tanzania); roads and railways inadequate
Major foodcrops:
Roots, tubers, plantains, pulses, maize, millet, sorghum
Marketing year:
January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
35 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Recent reports indicate that western parts of Uganda is faced with severe food shortages due to a prolonged drought which has affected crop production and livestock. More than half a million farmers are reported to be facing severe food shortages and in need of urgent assistance. Thousands more are reported to be moving to northern Tanzania in search of water and pasture. The worst hit counties are Nyabushozi, Kashari and Ibanda in Mbarara, and Ruhinda and Ruhaama in Bushenyi and Ntungamo respectively. Food difficulties also persist in northern areas, where 400 000 people remain displaced by persistent insurgency. International food aid is being provided.

Elsewhere, the outlook for the harvest of the 1999 main season cereal crops, which has started in some parts of the country, is generally favourable. In Lake Victoria basin, including Rakai, and eastern region, a normal harvest is anticipated, despite drier weather in late May and June. In the north, where the rainy season extends from April through November, crop conditions were reported to be normal. Cereal production is expected to increase in Kitgum and Gulu due to abundant rainfall, availability of inputs and improved security that allowed increased access to cultivable land.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 9 78 1 810 1 897
Normal Imports 18 5 10 33
of which: Structural food aid 15 - 10 25
1999 Domestic Availability 14 51 1 650 1 715
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) 9 77 1 630 1 716
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) 9 51 1 630 1 690
Possible stock drawdown 5 - 20 25
1999 Utilization 84 57 1 700 1 841
Food Use 83 57 1 245 1 385
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 1 - 325 326
Exports or Re-exports - - 130 130
Possible stock build up - - - -
1999 Import Requirement 70 6 50 126
Anticipated commercial imports 70 4 - 74
Food aid needs - 2 50 52
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges 12 - - 12
Of which: Delivered 6 - - 6
Donor-financed purchases - - 12 12
Of which: for local use - - 6 6
for export - - 6 6
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year) 4 3 57 64
Indexes        
1999 production as % of normal:       90
1998 import requirement as % of normal:       382
1998 food aid requirement as % of normal:       208


FAO/GIEWS - August 1999

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