FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1999 MALI 28

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MALI

Area:
1 220 000 sq.km
Climate:
From north to south: arid, semi-arid and tropical wet-dry; rainy season: May-October
Population:
10.22 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 260 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; land-locked sahelian country
Logistics:
Roads inadequate during rainy season; river transport important; rail link to Dakar (Senegal)
Major foodcrops:
Millet, sorghum, rice, maize
Marketing year:
November/October; Lean season: July-September
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
75 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Abundant and well-distributed rains since August benefited crop development and maintained adequate soil moisture in most productive zones. Pastures of good quality are available across the country. Surveys reported isolated Desert Locusts in a few areas in the Timetrine and the Adrar des Iforas. During September, mature adults and swarms were reported near Aguelhok, Tessalit and in the Tilemsi Valley, and numbers are expected to increase in these areas and could extend to parts of Tamesna. Once vegetation starts to dry out, some concentration and grouping may occur.

A joint FAO/CILSS Crop Assessment Mission from 25 to 29 October estimated 1999 cereal production at 2 951  700 tonnes (rice in paddy equivalent), exceeding the previous 1998 record by 16 percent. The estimated output is 28 percent above the five-year average. Production of rice increased by 13 percent and 41 percent respectively compared to 1998 and the average for the last five years, while coarse grains production increased by 17 percent and 23 percent respectively.

Following two successive bumper crops, the overall food situation is satisfactory. Markets are well supplied and cereal prices remain low. Although some areas may be in deficit, no food aid in coarse grains is required.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

4

566

1 730

2 300

Normal Imports

50

50

5

105

of which: Structural food aid

10

-

2

12

1999/2000 Domestic Availability

15

551

2 128

2 694

1999 Production (rice in paddy terms)

15

810

2 128

2 953

1999 Production (rice in milled terms)

15

551

2 128

2 694

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1999/2000 Utilization

65

601

2 128

2 794

Food Use

64

405

1 625

2 094

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

10

10

Non-food use

1

105

333

439

Exports or Re-exports

-

50

50

100

Possible stock build up

-

40

120

160

1999/2000 Import Requirement

50

50

-

100

Anticipated commercial imports

45

50

-

95

Food aid needs

5

-

-

5

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

3

-

-

3

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

6

40

159

205

Indexes

       

1999 production as % of normal:

     

128

1999/2000 import requirement as % of normal:

     

95

1999/2000 food aid requirement as % of normal:

     

42


FAO/GIEWS - December 1999

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