FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.3, December 1999 NIGERIA 34

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NIGERIA

Area:
911 000 sq.km
Climate:
Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid
Population:
117 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 260 (1997)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics:
Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:
Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice
Marketing year:
January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
43 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Rains started later than normal over northern Nigeria, reaching these areas only in late May. However, despite the late planting, crop production is expected to be normal to above normal following widespread and abundant rainfall up to the end of October. Due to heavy rain, three hydroelectric dams released water in the Kaduna, Benue and Niger rivers in early October, causing flooding of villages located along the river banks and population displacements. The Nigerian Government estimates that about 300 000 people have been affected by the flooding, and that several thousand hectares have been flooded in 5 States (Sokoto, Adamwara, Borno, Kwara and mostly Niger State). Most displaced people have lost their homes and most of their crop fields, and have temporarily settled on higher ground. About 6 000 hectares of sugar cane plantation, expected to produce about 25 000 tonnes of sugar, have been flooded in central region. The south-eastern Bayelsa State and five districts in the Niger Delta (in the municipalities of Patani, Oshimili South, Ndokwa East, Burutu and Bomadi) have also been affected by floods.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory except in the flooded areas.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


 

Wheat

Rice

Coarse grains

Total

Normal Production

45

2 800

16 970

19 815

Normal Imports

850

350

80

1 280

of which: Structural food aid

-

-

-

-

1999 Domestic Availability

98

2 025

19 334

21 457

1998 Production (rice in paddy terms)

98

3 375

19 334

22 807

1998 Production (rice in milled terms)

98

2 025

19 334

21 457

Possible stock drawdown

-

-

-

-

1999 Utilization

1 798

2 345

19 434

23 577

Food Use

1 346

1 940

15 271

18 557

of which: local purchase requirement

-

-

-

-

Non-food use

52

405

3 913

4 370

Exports or Re-exports

50

-

120

170

Possible stock build up

350

-

130

480

1999 Import Requirement

1 700

320

100

2 120

Anticipated commercial imports

1 700

320

100

2 120

Food aid needs

-

-

-

-

Current Aid Position

       

Food aid pledges

-

-

-

-

of which: Delivered

-

-

-

-

Donor-financed purchases

-

-

-

-

of which: for local use

-

-

-

-

for export

-

-

-

-

Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/Year)

12

17

130

158

Indexes

       

1998 production as % of normal:

     

115

1999 import requirement as % of normal:

     

166

1999 food aid requirement as % of normal:

     

-


FAO/GIEWS - December 1999

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