FAO/GIEWS - Food Outlook No.1 - February 2000 p. 2

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BASIC FACTS OF THE WORLD CEREAL SITUATION

  1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000
forecast
Change 1999/2000
over 1998/99
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/ (. . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . ) (percentage)
Wheat 548 589 613 595 589 -1.0
Coarse grains 810 920 905 911 886 -2.7
Rice, milled 370 383 386 389 396 1.9
(paddy) (551) (571) (577) (582) (593) 1.9
All cereals (incl. milled rice) 1 728 1 892 1 904 1 895 1 872 -1.2
Developing countries 958 1 025 1 005 1 038 1 028 -1.0
Developed countries 771 867 900 857 844 -1.6
WORLD IMPORTS 2/  
Wheat 100 102 100 97 103 5.6
Coarse grains 95 91 90 93 96 3.3
Rice (milled) 20 19 28 25 24 -4.4
All cereals 214 211 218 215 222 3.5
Developing countries 151 150 159 157 161 2.2
Developed countries 63 62 59 57 62 7.0
FOOD AID IN CEREALS 3/ 7.4 5.5 6.2 9.5
WORLD UTILIZATION
Wheat 563 576 592 588 595 1.1
Coarse grains 856 894 896 898 893 -0.6
Rice (milled) 373 380 382 391 395 1.1
All cereals 1 791 1 850 1 870 1 877 1 882 0.3
Developing countries 1 078 1 107 1 111 1 139 1 143 0.4
Developed countries 713 743 759 738 739 0.1
Per Caput Food Use (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . kg/year . . . . . . . . . . . . . )
Developing countries 171 173 172 173 173 -0.2
Developed countries 128 129 130 130 130 0.0
WORLD STOCKS 5/ (. . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . )
Wheat 102 113 135 139 134 -3.6
Coarse grains 100 125 140 146 142 -3.3
Rice (milled) 52 56 55 56 58 3.3
All cereals 254 293 330 342 334 -2.3
Developing countries 152 173 164 170 169 -0.6
Developed countries 102 120 166 172 165 -4.1
Stocks as % of world (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . . . . . . )
cereal consumption 13.7 15.7 17.6 18.1 17.4
EXPORT PRICES 3/ (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . US$/tonne . . . . . . . . . . . . . )
Rice (Thai, 100%, 2nd grade) 1/ 336 352 316 315 253 -19.7
Wheat (U.S. No.2 Hard Winter) 216 181 142 120 111 -9.8
Maize (U.S. No.2 Yellow) 159 135 112 95 89 -6.3
OCEAN FREIGHT RATES 3/            
From U.S. Gulf to Egypt 16.8 12.8 11.7 9.3 13.2 57.1
LOW-INCOME FOOD-DEFICIT COUNTRIES 8/ (. . . . . . . . . . . million tonnes . . . . . . . . . . . . )
Roots & tubers production 1/ 359 378 372 359 364 1.3
Cereal production (milled rice) 1/ 744 802 783 809 810 0.1
Per caput production (kg.) 9/ 212 224 216 219 216 -1.5
Cereal imports 2/ 79.2 69.3 78.6 71.3 71.2 -0.2
of which: Food aid 3/ 6.4 4.6 5.5 6.8
Proportion of cereal import (. . . . . . . . . . . . . . percentage . . . . . . . . . . . . )
covered by food aid 8.1 6.6 7.0 9.5

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