FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2000 NIGERIA 34

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NIGERIA

Area:
911 000 sq.km
Climate:
Mostly tropical wet-dry, south-west tropical wet, extreme north semi-arid
Population:
111 million (2000 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 300 (1998)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; coastal country
Logistics:
Ports adequate, roads inadequate during rainy season
Major foodcrops:
Roots and tubers, coarse grains, rice
Marketing year:
January/December; Lean season: April-May
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
43 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Substantial rains started in the south during the second dekad of March, allowing land preparation and planting of the first maize crop. The 1999 cereal production is estimated at 23.2 million tonnes.

The overall food supply situation is satisfactory. However, due to heavy rains, three hydroelectric dams released water in the Kaduna, Benue and Niger rivers in early October, causing flooding of villages located along the river banks. The Nigerian Government estimates that about 300 000 people have been affected by the flooding, and that several thousand hectares have been flooded in 5 States (Sokoto, Adamwara, Borno, Kwara and Niger). About 6 000 hectares of sugar cane plantation, expected to produce about 25 000 tonnes of sugar, have been flooded in central region. The south-eastern Bayelsa State and five districts in the Niger Delta (in the municipalities of Patani, Oshimili South, Ndokwa East, Burutu and Bomadi) have also been affected by floods. Rising waters in Lake Chad have also left an estimated 25 000 people homeless in northern Nigeria. The government approved in late 1999 the purchase of 55 000 tonnes of local grains as part of the country's strategic food reserve.

The government decided on 11 February to remove import duties and value-added tax on all agricultural inputs, including fertilizer. The government would no longer be involved in the importation and distribution of fertilizer.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 58 2 937 18 470 21 465
Normal Imports 1150 350 100 1 600
of which: Structural food aid - - - -
2000 Domestic Availability 158 2 038 19 712 21 908
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) 58 3 397 19 712 23 167
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) 58 2 038 19 712 21 808
Possible stock drawdown 100 - - 100
2000 Utilization 1 358 2 238 19 912 23 508
Food Use 1 286 1 848 15 783 18 917
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 52 390 3869 4 311
Exports or Re-exports 20 - 210 230
Possible stock build up - - 50 50
2000 Import Requirement 1 200 200 200 1 600
Anticipated commercial imports 1 200 200 200 1 600
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - - -
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 12 17 142 170
Indexes        
1999 production as % of normal:       108
2000 import requirement as % of normal:       100
2000 food aid requirement as % of normal:       -


FAO/GIEWS - April 2000

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