FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2000 TANZANIA 44

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TANZANIA

Area:
886 000 sq.km
Climate:
Tropical wet-dry climate with two rainy seasons in north (November-December and March-May) and one in south (November-April)
Population:
32.30 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 210 (1998)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Low-income food-deficit country; cereal surplus production in south and south-west; cereal deficit in central and north-west. Distribution difficulties
Logistics:
Serious shortage of rolling stock, fuel and spare parts
Major foodcrops:
Maize, roots, tubers, sorghum, pulses, plantains, rice
Marketing year:
June/May; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
60 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Harvesting of the 1999/2000 short "Vuli" season crops is well advanced in the bi-modal rainfall areas of the northern coastal belt and north-eastern, where the crop accounts for some 40 percent of the annual food supplies. Poor rains during the growing season have prompted farmers to drastically reduce plantings and have affected yields. Recent official reports suggest that the current Vuli crop is expected to be particularly poor in Arusha, Kilimanjaro and Tanga Regions.

The 1999/2000 cereal crop, mainly maize, is estimated at 4 million tonnes, about 8 percent below last year's output due to erratic rains, reduced use of inputs and an outbreak of armyworms. By contrast, production of other food crops, including beans, potatoes, cassava and plantains have increased by nearly 13 percent to 3.3 million tonnes.

Overall, the food supply situation is stable reflecting large maize imports in the latter half of 1999 and the maize export ban imposed by the Government. In January 2000, maize prices in several markets of the country were up to 56 percent lower than at the same period a year earlier and bean prices were up to 41 percent lower. However, food assistance is required for nearly 800 000 people identified as food insecure, mainly in the regions of Dodoma, Mara, Shinyanga, Singida, Tabora, Tanga and southern Mwanza, all of which have now suffered their third consecutive poor harvest. WFP school-feeding programme began in January 2000 in 128 primary schools in Dodoma region and is expected to expand to Arusha and Singida regions.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 85 607 3 230 3 922
Normal Imports 60 25 - 85
of which: Structural food aid 15 15 - 30
1999/2000 Domestic Availability 103 525 3 415 4 043
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) 73 800 3 415 4 288
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) 73 520 3 415 4 008
Possible stock drawdown 30 5 - 35
1999/2000 Utilization 143 565 3 785 4 493
Food Use 138 460 3 179 3 777
of which: local purchase requirement - - 1 1
Non-food use 5 105 526 636
Exports or Re-exports - - 80 80
Possible stock build up - - - -
1999/2000 Import Requirement 40 40 370 450
Anticipated commercial imports 30 35 300 365
Food aid needs 10 5 70 85
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - 8 8
of which: Delivered - - 8 8
Donor-financed purchases - - 1 1
of which: for local use - - 1 1
for export - - - -
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 4 14 98 117
Indexes        
1999 production as % of normal:       109
1999/2000 import requirement as % of normal:       482
1999/2000 food aid requirement as % of normal:       117


FAO/GIEWS - April 2000

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