FAO/GIEWS: Africa Report No.1, April 2000 ZIMBABWE 48

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ZIMBABWE

Area:
387 000 sq.km
Climate:
Centre and north-east tropical wet-dry; south and west semi-arid; rainy season: November-March
Population:
12.25 million (1999 estimate); G.N.P. per caput: US$ 610 (1998)
Specific characteristics of the country:
Land-locked country; exporter and importer of grain
Logistics:
Exports and imports through Mozambique or South Africa
Major foodcrops:
Maize, wheat, millet, sorghum
Marketing year:
April/March; Lean season: February-April
Share of cereals in total calorie intake:
66 percent


CURRENT SITUATION


Heavy rains in the second dekad of March aggravated the situation in southern and eastern provinces severely affected by floods in late February, following Cyclone Eline. Latest estimates of the Cyclone damage indicate that 100 persons have died, 96 000 have been directly affected, including 20 000 displaced people sheltered in camps, and some 500 000 people who have been indirectly affected. Floods also resulted in serious damage to infrastructure. Worst affected areas are the lowlands along the Save and Tanganda rivers, particularly the district of Chipinge, in the province of Manicaland, where 90 000 persons, or one quarter of the population is in need of food assistance. Flooding has extensively damaged crops along river valleys and water channels in the affected provinces. In particular, in the semi-arid southern Matabeleland province, production in irrigated areas will be reduced by the damage to infrastructure, including farm dams. However, a detailed assessment of the crop losses is not yet available

Although floods have not affected the main maize growing areas of the northeast, where the bulk of cereal crops are produced, this year's maize production is forecast to decrease due to a reduction in the area planted. Heavy rains since mid-February may also result in yield reductions.


CEREAL SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE FOR THE 1999/2000 MARKETING YEAR (in thousand tonnes)


  Wheat Rice Coarse grains Total
Normal Production 240 4 1 880 2 124
Normal Imports 55 20 - 75
of which: Structural food aid 5 - - 5
1999/2000 Domestic Availability 330 - 1 718 2 048
1999 Production (rice in paddy terms) 320 - 1 688 2 008
1999 Production (rice in milled terms) 320 - 1 688 2 008
Possible stock drawdown 10 - 30 40
1999/2000 Utilization 400 25 2 168 2 593
Food Use 356 25 1 649 2 030
of which: local purchase requirement - - - -
Non-food use 15 - 501 516
Exports or Re-exports 29 - 18 47
Possible stock build up - - - -
1999/2000 Import Requirement 70 25 450 545
Anticipated commercial imports 70 25 450 545
Food aid needs - - - -
Current Aid Position        
Food aid pledges - - - -
of which: Delivered - - - -
Donor-financed purchases - - 18 18
of which: for local use - - - -
for export - - 18 18
Estimated Per Caput Consumption (kg/year) 29 2 135 166
Indexes        
1999 production as % of normal:       95
1999/2000 import requirement as % of normal:       727
1999/2000 food aid requirement as % of normal:       -


FAO/GIEWS - April 2000

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